IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.3	#301
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.3	#231
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#281

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.1%	37.4%	10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.7	15.5

.500 or above	51.9%	93.2%	51.5%
.500 or above in Conference	65.3%	94.0%	65.0%
Conference Champion	13.2%	40.0%	12.9%
Last Place in Conference	6.3%	0.2%	6.4%

First Four	5.0%	6.9%	4.9%
First Round	8.2%	34.5%	8.0%
Second Round	0.2%	1.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 4	13 - 9	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2022	19	@ TCU	L	54-80	1%
Nov 18, 2022	355	Lindenwood	W	75-66	77%
Nov 19, 2022	268	Western Carolina	L	71-74	42%
Nov 20, 2022	331	@ McNeese St.	L	73-74	49%
Nov 27, 2022	95	@ SMU	L	62-79	7%
Dec 01, 2022	168	Texas St.	L	62-67	33%
Dec 10, 2022	299	@ Southern Miss	L	68-71	39%
Dec 13, 2022	299	Southern Miss	W	71-68	59%
Dec 17, 2022	259	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	68-74	31%
Dec 20, 2022	228	Pacific	L	69-71	42%
Dec 31, 2022	331	McNeese St.	W	76-70	68%
Jan 05, 2023	286	@ New Orleans	L	73-77	38%
Jan 07, 2023	316	@ SE Louisiana	L	73-75	43%
Jan 12, 2023	220	Nicholls St.	L	71-74	41%
Jan 14, 2023	343	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	69-67	55%
Jan 19, 2023	344	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	74-66	73%
Jan 21, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	72-64	74%
Jan 26, 2023	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	72-64	73%
Jan 28, 2023	338	@ Northwestern St.	W	75-74	52%
Feb 02, 2023	331	@ McNeese St.	L	73-74	49%
Feb 04, 2023	338	Northwestern St.	W	78-71	70%
Feb 09, 2023	348	@ Incarnate Word	W	69-67	56%
Feb 11, 2023	344	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	71-69	55%
Feb 16, 2023	298	Houston Christian	W	61-58	59%
Feb 18, 2023	298	@ Houston Christian	L	58-61	40%
Feb 23, 2023	316	SE Louisiana	W	76-72	62%
Feb 25, 2023	286	New Orleans	W	76-74	57%
Mar 01, 2023	220	@ Nicholls St.	L	68-77	24%
Projected Record						14 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.5	2.9	3.5	2.8	1.5	0.5		13.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	1.2	3.3	4.6	3.4	1.4	0.2				14.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.0	4.4	4.5	2.0	0.4	0.0					13.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.3	4.7	3.9	1.2	0.1							12.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.3	4.9	3.2	0.7	0.0								11.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.2	4.1	2.6	0.4	0.0									9.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.2	3.6	1.9	0.3	0.0										8.4	7th
8th				0.1	0.6	2.1	3.0	1.4	0.2	0.0											7.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.8	2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0												5.8	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.0														3.8	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.1	3.3	4.9	6.4	7.7	8.8	10.3	10.4	10.3	9.4	8.2	6.7	4.9	3.0	1.5	0.5			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	100.0%	1.5		1.5	0.1
16-2	92.4%	2.8		2.4	0.4
15-3	70.6%	3.5		2.4	1.0	0.1
14-4	43.2%	2.9		1.4	1.2	0.3	0.0
13-5	18.3%	1.5		0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1
12-6	4.6%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.2%	13.2		8.6	3.5	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		75.9%	75.9%		13.8										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.5%		58.8%	58.8%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.6
16-2	3.0%		46.4%	46.4%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	1.6
15-3	4.9%		36.7%	36.7%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	3.1
14-4	6.7%		27.5%	27.5%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	4.9
13-5	8.2%		17.7%	17.7%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.2	6.7
12-6	9.4%		12.9%	12.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.1	8.2
11-7	10.3%		8.0%	8.0%		16.0																0.0	0.8	9.4
10-8	10.4%		5.3%	5.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.5	9.9
9-9	10.3%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.9
8-10	8.8%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	8.6
7-11	7.7%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	7.6
6-12	6.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
5-13	4.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
4-14	3.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
3-15	2.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
2-16	1.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	15.5										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.3	7.4	88.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%