Preseason Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#313
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.1#339
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#334
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 4.6% 11.7% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.8% 12.0% 3.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 54.5% 37.9% 60.5%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 102 - 17
Quad 45 - 77 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 269   @ Miami (OH) L 65-71 27%    
  Nov 12, 2022 45   @ Saint Louis L 56-79 2%    
  Nov 16, 2022 281   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-72 52%    
  Nov 19, 2022 95   @ SMU L 58-76 6%    
  Nov 23, 2022 92   @ Central Florida L 57-75 6%    
  Nov 25, 2022 205   South Alabama L 60-68 26%    
  Nov 26, 2022 277   Robert Morris L 66-69 40%    
  Nov 27, 2022 222   Fairfield L 58-65 29%    
  Nov 30, 2022 138   Southern Illinois L 56-64 25%    
  Dec 03, 2022 132   @ Northern Iowa L 59-74 12%    
  Dec 07, 2022 256   Campbell L 60-61 45%    
  Dec 10, 2022 200   @ Ball St. L 64-75 18%    
  Dec 21, 2022 250   Bellarmine L 62-64 43%    
  Dec 29, 2022 161   @ Indiana St. L 61-74 15%    
  Jan 01, 2023 114   Murray St. L 60-70 22%    
  Jan 04, 2023 131   @ Missouri St. L 60-75 12%    
  Jan 07, 2023 180   Illinois St. L 64-70 32%    
  Jan 11, 2023 117   @ Bradley L 57-73 10%    
  Jan 14, 2023 212   Valparaiso L 62-66 36%    
  Jan 17, 2023 138   @ Southern Illinois L 53-67 13%    
  Jan 21, 2023 74   Drake L 59-73 13%    
  Jan 25, 2023 115   Belmont L 64-74 21%    
  Jan 28, 2023 212   @ Valparaiso L 59-69 21%    
  Feb 01, 2023 161   Indiana St. L 64-71 31%    
  Feb 04, 2023 247   @ Illinois-Chicago L 63-72 25%    
  Feb 08, 2023 132   Northern Iowa L 62-71 25%    
  Feb 12, 2023 131   Missouri St. L 63-72 25%    
  Feb 15, 2023 115   @ Belmont L 61-77 10%    
  Feb 18, 2023 114   @ Murray St. L 57-73 10%    
  Feb 23, 2023 247   Illinois-Chicago L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 26, 2023 180   @ Illinois St. L 61-73 17%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.9 3.8 1.4 0.2 12.0 10th
11th 0.3 2.3 5.5 6.7 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 20.9 11th
12th 7.0 11.9 11.9 8.4 3.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 44.3 12th
Total 7.0 12.2 14.2 14.3 12.7 10.6 8.5 6.5 4.8 3.4 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 55.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 27.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 6.0% 6.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 12.0% 8.0% 4.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.3%
15-5 0.1% 8.4% 8.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.3% 5.3% 5.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 0.5% 3.3% 3.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-8 1.0% 3.2% 3.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-9 1.5% 3.4% 3.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-10 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
9-11 3.4% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.4
8-12 4.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.8
7-13 6.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.4
6-14 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.5
5-15 10.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.6
4-16 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
3-17 14.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.3
2-18 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
1-19 12.2% 12.2
0-20 7.0% 7.0
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%