Preseason Rankings
Robert Morris
Horizon
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#277
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.5#201
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#313
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 13.5% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 31.0% 74.2% 30.1%
.500 or above in Conference 43.0% 76.3% 42.3%
Conference Champion 4.3% 16.1% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 1.1% 9.3%
First Four1.1% 0.8% 1.1%
First Round3.7% 13.1% 3.5%
Second Round0.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 36   @ Ohio St. L 61-82 2%    
  Nov 19, 2022 28   @ Dayton L 56-78 3%    
  Nov 25, 2022 198   Mercer L 68-73 34%    
  Nov 26, 2022 313   Evansville W 69-66 60%    
  Nov 27, 2022 205   South Alabama L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 01, 2022 171   @ Wright St. L 71-80 22%    
  Dec 03, 2022 195   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-73 25%    
  Dec 07, 2022 263   @ Central Michigan L 72-76 37%    
  Dec 10, 2022 159   Marshall L 77-81 38%    
  Dec 18, 2022 267   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-68 38%    
  Dec 21, 2022 291   St. Francis (PA) W 76-71 64%    
  Dec 29, 2022 197   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 31, 2022 215   Cleveland St. L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 05, 2023 223   @ Youngstown St. L 71-78 29%    
  Jan 09, 2023 333   IUPUI W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 12, 2023 214   @ Oakland L 71-78 28%    
  Jan 14, 2023 229   @ Detroit Mercy L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 19, 2023 306   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 21, 2023 347   @ Green Bay W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 27, 2023 229   Detroit Mercy L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 29, 2023 214   Oakland L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 02, 2023 195   Northern Kentucky L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 04, 2023 171   Wright St. L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 10, 2023 215   @ Cleveland St. L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 12, 2023 197   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-78 26%    
  Feb 16, 2023 347   Green Bay W 74-64 79%    
  Feb 18, 2023 306   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 21, 2023 223   Youngstown St. L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 23, 2023 333   @ IUPUI W 69-67 57%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.1 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.4 4.6 3.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 4.4 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.0 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 11th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.8 5.5 7.1 8.4 9.3 9.7 9.9 9.4 8.5 7.3 5.9 4.4 3.3 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 95.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
17-3 81.7% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 55.2% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 27.6% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 78.8% 78.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 52.2% 50.1% 2.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.3%
18-2 0.6% 32.4% 31.9% 0.5% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7%
17-3 1.2% 29.2% 29.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.0% 22.9% 22.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
15-5 3.3% 16.8% 16.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.7
14-6 4.4% 12.4% 12.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.9
13-7 5.9% 8.7% 8.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.4
12-8 7.3% 5.9% 5.9% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.9
11-9 8.5% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.1
10-10 9.4% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.1
9-11 9.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.7
8-12 9.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.6
7-13 9.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
6-14 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.4
5-15 7.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.1
4-16 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-17 3.8% 3.8
2-18 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 95.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%