IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
IUPUI
Horizon
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.3	#333
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.3	#350
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.0	#311

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.3	#338

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	5.9%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.5	15.5

.500 or above	14.0%	54.4%	13.5%
.500 or above in Conference	14.6%	45.9%	14.2%
Conference Champion	0.7%	5.3%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	30.9%	8.0%	31.2%

First Four	0.5%	0.9%	0.5%
First Round	0.7%	5.5%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 11	9 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	51	@ Iowa St.	L	51-75	1%
Nov 09, 2022	74	@ Drake	L	55-78	2%
Nov 14, 2022	362	@ Chicago St.	W	69-61	74%
Nov 23, 2022	346	Denver	W	68-66	56%
Nov 24, 2022	286	@ New Orleans	L	68-75	28%
Nov 25, 2022	265	The Citadel	L	68-74	31%
Dec 03, 2022	306	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	63-69	32%
Dec 05, 2022	347	@ Green Bay	L	63-64	47%
Dec 17, 2022	330	Eastern Illinois	W	66-63	58%
Dec 19, 2022	339	Southern Indiana	W	66-65	53%
Dec 20, 2022	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	66-65	55%
Dec 31, 2022	195	Northern Kentucky	L	60-67	28%
Jan 02, 2023	171	Wright St.	L	65-73	25%
Jan 07, 2023	223	@ Youngstown St.	L	63-75	17%
Jan 09, 2023	277	@ Robert Morris	L	64-72	26%
Jan 12, 2023	197	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	65-72	28%
Jan 14, 2023	215	Cleveland St.	L	64-70	30%
Jan 19, 2023	214	Oakland	L	65-71	31%
Jan 21, 2023	229	Detroit Mercy	L	64-69	33%
Jan 25, 2023	197	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	62-75	15%
Jan 29, 2023	215	@ Cleveland St.	L	61-73	16%
Feb 02, 2023	306	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	66-65	50%
Feb 04, 2023	347	Green Bay	W	66-61	65%
Feb 08, 2023	171	@ Wright St.	L	62-76	13%
Feb 12, 2023	195	@ Northern Kentucky	L	57-70	15%
Feb 17, 2023	214	@ Oakland	L	62-74	17%
Feb 19, 2023	229	@ Detroit Mercy	L	61-72	19%
Feb 23, 2023	277	Robert Morris	L	67-69	43%
Feb 25, 2023	223	Youngstown St.	L	66-72	32%
Projected Record						9 - 20	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0						2.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.0	1.2	0.5	0.1								3.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	1.5	1.6	0.7	0.1									4.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.9	2.3	2.0	0.7	0.1										6.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.6	3.2	2.6	0.8	0.1											8.6	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	2.9	4.3	2.9	0.7	0.1												11.8	8th
9th			0.0	0.5	2.3	4.9	5.4	3.0	0.8	0.1	0.0												17.0	9th
10th		0.3	2.2	5.3	6.7	5.3	2.2	0.4	0.0														22.3	10th
11th	2.3	5.4	6.6	5.1	2.5	0.8	0.1	0.0															22.8	11th

Total	2.3	5.7	8.8	10.8	11.5	11.8	11.0	9.5	7.8	6.2	4.7	3.5	2.7	1.6	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	94.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0
17-3	74.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	54.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	25.7%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	11.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.0%		48.8%	48.8%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
18-2	0.1%		35.4%	35.4%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-3	0.2%		22.6%	22.6%		13.8														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-4	0.3%		19.3%	19.3%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-5	0.6%		13.8%	13.8%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
14-6	0.9%		10.4%	10.4%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8
13-7	1.6%		6.1%	6.1%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5
12-8	2.7%		4.4%	4.4%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.6
11-9	3.5%		2.8%	2.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	3.4
10-10	4.7%		1.8%	1.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	4.6
9-11	6.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	6.1
8-12	7.8%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
7-13	9.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.4
6-14	11.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-15	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
4-16	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
3-17	10.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
2-18	8.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
1-19	5.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
0-20	2.3%																							2.3

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	15.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.6	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%