Preseason Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#165
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#203
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#122
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.2% 22.3% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.0 14.2
.500 or above 70.3% 83.3% 53.6%
.500 or above in Conference 70.5% 79.4% 59.1%
Conference Champion 21.2% 27.7% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 3.4% 9.8%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 1.8%
First Round16.5% 21.6% 9.9%
Second Round2.1% 3.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 56.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 54 - 7
Quad 410 - 314 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 141   Hofstra W 78-76 56%    
  Nov 11, 2022 246   @ Navy W 67-66 53%    
  Nov 14, 2022 236   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-75 51%    
  Nov 19, 2022 296   @ Marist W 72-67 67%    
  Nov 24, 2022 266   Army W 77-71 69%    
  Dec 03, 2022 201   @ Drexel L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 06, 2022 271   Lafayette W 75-66 77%    
  Dec 10, 2022 260   Monmouth W 75-67 75%    
  Dec 13, 2022 101   Iona L 73-78 35%    
  Dec 16, 2022 153   Delaware W 74-72 58%    
  Dec 31, 2022 167   Harvard W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 06, 2023 315   @ Columbia W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 07, 2023 217   @ Cornell L 79-80 47%    
  Jan 14, 2023 240   @ Brown W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 16, 2023 150   @ Penn L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 21, 2023 257   Dartmouth W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 28, 2023 146   @ Yale L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 03, 2023 217   Cornell W 82-77 66%    
  Feb 04, 2023 315   Columbia W 82-70 84%    
  Feb 11, 2023 257   @ Dartmouth W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 17, 2023 240   Brown W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 18, 2023 146   Yale W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 25, 2023 167   @ Harvard L 70-73 41%    
  Mar 04, 2023 150   Penn W 77-75 57%    
Projected Record 14 - 10 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.3 6.2 6.1 3.8 1.2 21.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.5 6.9 3.4 0.6 17.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.2 5.7 1.7 0.1 15.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 6.4 4.5 0.9 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.4 2.5 0.2 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.8 1.2 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.5 8th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.5 7.9 10.2 11.9 12.6 12.7 11.9 9.7 6.7 3.8 1.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.2    1.2
13-1 100.0% 3.8    3.6 0.2
12-2 90.8% 6.1    4.8 1.3 0.0
11-3 63.9% 6.2    3.4 2.4 0.4 0.0
10-4 27.5% 3.3    0.9 1.5 0.7 0.1
9-5 5.5% 0.7    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 21.2% 21.2 13.9 5.7 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.2% 78.2% 65.8% 12.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 36.3%
13-1 3.8% 59.2% 53.9% 5.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 11.3%
12-2 6.7% 43.0% 41.5% 1.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.8 2.6%
11-3 9.7% 31.6% 31.4% 0.2% 13.2 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 6.6 0.2%
10-4 11.9% 22.9% 22.8% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 9.2 0.1%
9-5 12.7% 15.8% 15.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 10.7
8-6 12.6% 11.6% 11.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 11.2
7-7 11.9% 7.8% 7.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 11.0
6-8 10.2% 5.2% 5.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.7
5-9 7.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.6
4-10 5.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.4
3-11 3.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-12 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-13 0.8% 0.8
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 17.2% 16.8% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 3.2 4.0 3.6 2.5 2.1 82.8 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 95.7% 5.9 2.6 9.4 17.2 14.8 18.0 11.9 7.8 8.5 1.9 1.9 1.9
Lose Out 0.0%