Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#300
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.6#275
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#332
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 8.3% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 19.0% 50.3% 16.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.1% 66.6% 38.9%
Conference Champion 3.3% 9.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 13.9% 4.1% 14.7%
First Four1.2% 1.9% 1.2%
First Round2.6% 7.3% 2.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 8.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 48 - 710 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 118   @ Towson L 57-72 8%    
  Nov 12, 2022 244   @ Siena L 60-68 25%    
  Nov 17, 2022 149   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-73 14%    
  Nov 21, 2022 254   Austin Peay L 62-66 38%    
  Nov 26, 2022 125   Florida Atlantic L 64-72 24%    
  Nov 29, 2022 312   @ American L 63-65 43%    
  Dec 05, 2022 124   @ Massachusetts L 65-80 12%    
  Dec 10, 2022 50   @ Providence L 54-75 4%    
  Dec 14, 2022 304   LIU Brooklyn W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 18, 2022 54   @ Loyola Chicago L 52-73 5%    
  Dec 20, 2022 294   @ Northern Illinois L 64-67 40%    
  Dec 28, 2022 20   @ Virginia L 45-70 2%    
  Dec 31, 2022 329   New Hampshire W 64-58 68%    
  Jan 05, 2023 236   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-73 26%    
  Jan 08, 2023 238   Umass Lowell L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 11, 2023 163   @ Bryant L 69-80 19%    
  Jan 14, 2023 325   @ NJIT L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 19, 2023 323   Binghamton W 70-65 65%    
  Jan 25, 2023 329   @ New Hampshire L 61-62 49%    
  Jan 28, 2023 337   Maine W 65-58 70%    
  Feb 01, 2023 238   @ Umass Lowell L 63-71 27%    
  Feb 04, 2023 104   Vermont L 60-70 22%    
  Feb 08, 2023 163   Bryant L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 11, 2023 323   @ Binghamton L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 15, 2023 236   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 18, 2023 337   @ Maine W 62-61 52%    
  Feb 25, 2023 325   NJIT W 67-62 65%    
  Feb 28, 2023 104   @ Vermont L 57-73 11%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.1 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.1 2.7 0.6 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.5 5.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 6.1 5.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.4 4.1 0.9 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 14.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.0 4.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.6 2.0 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.5 9th
Total 0.6 2.2 4.2 6.8 9.2 11.2 12.6 12.1 11.4 9.3 7.6 5.7 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 84.1% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-3 49.0% 1.1    0.5 0.4 0.1
12-4 20.5% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 52.8% 52.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 39.0% 39.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.9% 26.4% 26.2% 0.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.4%
13-3 2.2% 21.5% 21.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.7
12-4 3.7% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.2
11-5 5.7% 8.0% 8.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.2
10-6 7.6% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.2
9-7 9.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.0
8-8 11.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.1
7-9 12.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.0
6-10 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
5-11 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.2
4-12 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-13 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
2-14 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
1-15 2.2% 2.2
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.7 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%