Preseason Rankings
Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#86
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.0#300
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#90
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#85
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.4% 2.7% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 5.4% 6.1% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 20.5% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.1% 18.0% 3.6%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 9.7
.500 or above 45.7% 50.2% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 28.4% 31.1% 10.9%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.1% 13.8% 30.6%
First Four2.9% 3.1% 1.3%
First Round17.0% 18.9% 4.1%
Second Round9.1% 10.2% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 3.7% 0.5%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 86.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 23 - 45 - 13
Quad 34 - 29 - 15
Quad 45 - 014 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 217   Cornell W 81-69 87%    
  Nov 11, 2022 229   Detroit Mercy W 75-62 88%    
  Nov 14, 2022 337   Maine W 74-53 97%    
  Nov 18, 2022 123   George Mason W 68-65 61%    
  Nov 27, 2022 112   Rhode Island W 70-64 69%    
  Nov 30, 2022 98   @ Nebraska L 73-75 44%    
  Dec 03, 2022 7   @ Duke L 65-79 13%    
  Dec 06, 2022 329   New Hampshire W 73-52 95%    
  Dec 10, 2022 16   Villanova L 59-67 26%    
  Dec 13, 2022 359   Stonehill W 81-52 99%    
  Dec 21, 2022 34   Virginia Tech L 64-66 42%    
  Dec 30, 2022 52   @ Syracuse L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 03, 2023 40   Notre Dame L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 07, 2023 7   Duke L 68-76 27%    
  Jan 11, 2023 32   @ Miami (FL) L 66-74 25%    
  Jan 14, 2023 67   Wake Forest W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 17, 2023 2   @ North Carolina L 65-80 11%    
  Jan 21, 2023 40   @ Notre Dame L 64-72 27%    
  Jan 25, 2023 73   Louisville W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 28, 2023 20   @ Virginia L 54-64 20%    
  Jan 31, 2023 65   Clemson W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 04, 2023 52   Syracuse L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 08, 2023 34   @ Virginia Tech L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 11, 2023 69   North Carolina St. W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 14, 2023 109   @ Pittsburgh L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 18, 2023 42   @ Florida St. L 66-73 29%    
  Feb 22, 2023 20   Virginia L 57-61 37%    
  Feb 28, 2023 67   @ Wake Forest L 71-76 36%    
  Mar 04, 2023 97   Georgia Tech W 70-66 62%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.2 0.8 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.9 13th
14th 0.2 1.2 3.1 4.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 11.5 14th
15th 0.8 2.3 3.1 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.3 15th
Total 0.8 2.5 4.4 6.4 8.5 9.6 10.2 10.5 9.6 9.1 7.7 6.5 5.2 3.5 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 96.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 91.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 65.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 43.9% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 13.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 38.7% 61.3% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 21.1% 78.9% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.8% 99.7% 16.6% 83.1% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
15-5 1.6% 98.4% 9.2% 89.2% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.2%
14-6 2.4% 95.0% 8.5% 86.5% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 94.5%
13-7 3.5% 85.7% 6.7% 79.0% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 84.7%
12-8 5.2% 70.3% 4.7% 65.6% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 68.9%
11-9 6.5% 47.0% 4.8% 42.3% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.5 44.4%
10-10 7.7% 23.7% 4.6% 19.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 20.0%
9-11 9.1% 8.1% 3.1% 5.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 5.2%
8-12 9.6% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3 0.5%
7-13 10.5% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3 0.0%
6-14 10.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.1
5-15 9.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.5
4-16 8.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.5
3-17 6.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.4
2-18 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
1-19 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 18.4% 2.8% 15.6% 8.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 81.6 16.1%