Preseason Rankings
Oral Roberts
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#122
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.6#39
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#35
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#266
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 2.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.8% 47.4% 28.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 4.3% 0.3%
Average Seed 13.1 11.9 13.5
.500 or above 89.8% 98.8% 88.0%
.500 or above in Conference 96.1% 99.4% 95.4%
Conference Champion 38.9% 57.2% 35.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 1.3%
First Round31.2% 46.7% 28.2%
Second Round5.5% 12.7% 4.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 3.5% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 34 - 7
Quad 413 - 217 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 44   @ St. Mary's L 67-77 16%    
  Nov 14, 2022 5   @ Houston L 65-83 6%    
  Nov 15, 2022 241   @ Texas Southern W 80-76 62%    
  Nov 22, 2022 76   @ Utah St. L 74-82 26%    
  Dec 03, 2022 136   @ Tulsa L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 10, 2022 334   Central Arkansas W 95-77 93%    
  Dec 12, 2022 100   Liberty W 76-75 54%    
  Dec 16, 2022 131   Missouri St. W 82-78 63%    
  Dec 19, 2022 134   South Dakota St. W 88-84 64%    
  Dec 21, 2022 135   South Dakota W 82-78 64%    
  Dec 29, 2022 307   @ Nebraska Omaha W 89-80 77%    
  Dec 31, 2022 346   @ Denver W 86-72 86%    
  Jan 07, 2023 289   UMKC W 84-70 87%    
  Jan 12, 2023 288   Western Illinois W 91-77 87%    
  Jan 14, 2023 357   St. Thomas W 90-64 98%    
  Jan 19, 2023 216   @ North Dakota St. W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 21, 2023 322   @ North Dakota W 86-76 80%    
  Jan 26, 2023 346   Denver W 89-69 94%    
  Jan 28, 2023 307   Nebraska Omaha W 92-77 89%    
  Feb 04, 2023 289   @ UMKC W 81-73 74%    
  Feb 09, 2023 357   @ St. Thomas W 87-67 94%    
  Feb 11, 2023 288   @ Western Illinois W 88-80 74%    
  Feb 16, 2023 322   North Dakota W 89-73 90%    
  Feb 18, 2023 216   North Dakota St. W 82-74 74%    
  Feb 23, 2023 135   @ South Dakota L 79-81 45%    
  Feb 25, 2023 134   @ South Dakota St. L 85-87 45%    
Projected Record 17 - 9 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 3.2 7.9 11.8 10.3 5.0 38.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 5.3 8.6 6.9 2.1 24.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.2 5.7 2.5 0.3 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.9 2.8 0.7 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 3.2 4.8 7.4 9.7 12.3 14.4 15.2 13.9 10.3 5.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 5.0    5.0
17-1 100.0% 10.3    9.5 0.7
16-2 85.1% 11.8    8.8 3.0 0.1
15-3 52.3% 7.9    4.0 3.4 0.5 0.0
14-4 22.5% 3.2    1.0 1.5 0.6 0.1
13-5 5.2% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 38.9% 38.9 28.4 8.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 5.0% 79.0% 74.2% 4.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 18.6%
17-1 10.3% 62.8% 60.6% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.8 5.5%
16-2 13.9% 48.0% 47.3% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.2 1.1%
15-3 15.2% 37.3% 37.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.9 0.8 0.1 9.5 0.2%
14-4 14.4% 26.2% 26.2% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.2 10.6 0.0%
13-5 12.3% 21.0% 21.0% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.4 9.7
12-6 9.7% 14.0% 14.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 8.3
11-7 7.4% 11.1% 11.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 6.6
10-8 4.8% 7.7% 7.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.4
9-9 3.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.1
8-10 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 1.8
7-11 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
6-12 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 31.8% 31.2% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.5 6.2 8.3 7.0 4.2 2.1 68.2 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.8 7.8 8.2 23.9 27.5 22.7 7.8 2.0