Preseason Rankings
Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#307
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.7#51
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#241
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#344
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 11.8% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.0 15.3
.500 or above 10.9% 59.3% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 76.4% 37.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 12.0% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 1.9% 7.7%
First Four0.9% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round1.5% 10.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 51 - 13
Quad 48 - 69 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 6   @ Kansas L 64-94 0.3%   
  Nov 10, 2022 98   @ Nebraska L 74-91 6%    
  Nov 13, 2022 342   Idaho W 83-76 73%    
  Nov 16, 2022 200   Ball St. L 79-83 35%    
  Nov 21, 2022 29   @ Iowa L 71-95 2%    
  Nov 25, 2022 259   Louisiana Monroe L 76-80 38%    
  Nov 28, 2022 64   @ Mississippi St. L 63-84 4%    
  Dec 03, 2022 79   @ North Texas L 55-74 5%    
  Dec 07, 2022 74   @ Drake L 66-86 5%    
  Dec 10, 2022 140   @ Montana St. L 71-84 14%    
  Dec 19, 2022 346   Denver W 79-72 73%    
  Dec 21, 2022 51   @ Iowa St. L 61-83 4%    
  Dec 29, 2022 122   Oral Roberts L 80-89 23%    
  Dec 31, 2022 289   UMKC W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 05, 2023 288   @ Western Illinois L 79-83 37%    
  Jan 07, 2023 357   @ St. Thomas W 78-70 73%    
  Jan 12, 2023 322   North Dakota W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 14, 2023 216   North Dakota St. L 73-77 38%    
  Jan 19, 2023 134   @ South Dakota St. L 76-90 14%    
  Jan 21, 2023 135   @ South Dakota L 70-84 14%    
  Jan 26, 2023 289   @ UMKC L 73-77 38%    
  Jan 28, 2023 122   @ Oral Roberts L 77-92 11%    
  Feb 02, 2023 357   St. Thomas W 81-67 85%    
  Feb 04, 2023 288   Western Illinois W 82-80 56%    
  Feb 09, 2023 216   @ North Dakota St. L 70-80 22%    
  Feb 11, 2023 322   @ North Dakota L 77-79 44%    
  Feb 16, 2023 135   South Dakota L 73-81 27%    
  Feb 18, 2023 134   South Dakota St. L 79-87 27%    
  Feb 25, 2023 346   @ Denver W 76-75 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 3.5 1.7 0.2 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.3 4.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.8 6.0 3.4 0.8 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 5.6 5.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 16.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.6 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 14.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.3 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 4.4 10th
Total 0.3 1.3 2.9 5.2 7.4 9.9 11.4 12.3 11.7 10.3 8.9 6.8 5.0 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 56.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 26.8% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 25.0% 25.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 30.3% 27.8% 2.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.5%
16-2 0.4% 23.3% 23.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.8% 19.5% 19.2% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.4%
14-4 1.8% 13.7% 13.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.6
13-5 3.3% 8.9% 8.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.0
12-6 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.7
11-7 6.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.6
10-8 8.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.7
9-9 10.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.2
8-10 11.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.3
6-12 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-13 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-15 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.2
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%