Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
123 Akron 100.0%   14   22 - 10 13 - 5 22 - 11 13 - 5 +2.9      +0.4 169 +2.5 102 64.8 286 +3.8 115 +1.0 3
140 Toledo 0.0%   20 - 12 14 - 4 20 - 12 14 - 4 +1.7      +4.6 71 -2.8 255 72.2 77 +2.2 130 +3.5 1
143 Ohio 0.0%   19 - 13 13 - 5 19 - 13 13 - 5 +1.4      +1.8 130 -0.4 189 68.2 181 -1.0 182 +1.8 2
173 Kent St. 0.0%   15 - 17 8 - 10 15 - 17 8 - 10 -0.6      0.0 178 -0.6 194 66.8 238 -2.7 216 -5.9 8
234 Bowling Green 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 -3.7      -2.3 244 -1.4 214 68.7 163 -2.2 206 -3.0 5
256 Miami (OH) 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -5.0      -4.5 292 -0.5 190 67.9 189 -4.4 246 -4.3 6
263 Ball St. 0.0%   13 - 16 7 - 11 13 - 16 7 - 11 -5.2      -2.1 238 -3.1 264 66.6 240 -6.3 278 -7.8 9
271 Central Michigan 0.0%   17 - 14 12 - 6 17 - 14 12 - 6 -5.7      -6.7 325 +1.0 141 64.3 297 -1.6 192 -0.4 4
301 Western Michigan 0.0%   11 - 20 9 - 9 11 - 20 9 - 9 -7.7      -4.2 286 -3.5 280 70.1 126 -6.8 287 -4.8 7
306 Northern Illinois 0.0%   9 - 20 5 - 13 9 - 20 5 - 13 -8.2      -3.0 256 -5.2 336 70.1 127 -6.1 276 -9.8 11
324 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   11 - 18 6 - 12 11 - 18 6 - 12 -10.1      -6.1 319 -3.9 292 64.2 301 -7.4 294 -8.8 10
348 Buffalo 0.0%   3 - 27 2 - 16 3 - 27 2 - 16 -13.5      -7.2 334 -6.2 349 71.6 88 -16.2 356 -16.2 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Akron 2.0 100.0
Toledo 1.0 100.0
Ohio 2.0 100.0
Kent St. 8.0 100.0
Bowling Green 5.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 6.0 100.0
Ball St. 9.0 100.0
Central Michigan 4.0 100.0
Western Michigan 6.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 11.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 10.0 100.0
Buffalo 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 13 - 5 100.0
Toledo 14 - 4 100.0
Ohio 13 - 5 100.0
Kent St. 8 - 10 100.0
Bowling Green 10 - 8 100.0
Miami (OH) 9 - 9 100.0
Ball St. 7 - 11 100.0
Central Michigan 12 - 6 100.0
Western Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Northern Illinois 5 - 13 100.0
Eastern Michigan 6 - 12 100.0
Buffalo 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron
Toledo 100.0% 100.0
Ohio
Kent St.
Bowling Green
Miami (OH)
Ball St.
Central Michigan
Western Michigan
Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan
Buffalo


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.2 24.7 69.5 5.6
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.4% 0.1 91.6 8.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0