Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#263
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#278
Pace66.6#240
Improvement-0.1#194

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#238
First Shot-2.3#248
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#168
Layup/Dunks-4.8#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows+1.3#81
Improvement-1.1#246

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#264
First Shot-2.3#256
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#259
Layups/Dunks-5.1#337
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#101
Freethrows+1.4#82
Improvement+1.0#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 80 - 11
Quad 413 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 289   Old Dominion W 73-68 65%     1 - 0 -4.3 -2.4 -1.8
  Nov 18, 2023 224   @ Evansville L 50-74 33%     1 - 1 -24.6 -21.2 -3.9
  Nov 21, 2023 290   South Carolina Upstate W 75-58 66%     2 - 1 +7.6 +4.8 +4.3
  Nov 24, 2023 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-74 83%     3 - 1 +2.6 +10.5 -7.6
  Nov 28, 2023 193   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-90 28%     3 - 2 -25.1 -4.4 -22.7
  Dec 02, 2023 312   Bellarmine W 67-58 72%     4 - 2 -2.2 -7.3 +5.7
  Dec 06, 2023 349   @ Detroit Mercy W 68-65 72%     5 - 2 -8.3 -12.0 +3.6
  Dec 10, 2023 292   SIU Edwardsville W 83-71 67%     6 - 2 +2.3 +12.4 -9.1
  Dec 16, 2023 46   Indiana St. L 72-83 8%     6 - 3 -0.2 +1.0 -1.1
  Dec 21, 2023 69   @ Minnesota L 63-80 8%     6 - 4 -6.7 -1.4 -6.8
  Jan 02, 2024 173   @ Kent St. L 69-82 25%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -11.0 -0.6 -11.0
  Jan 06, 2024 271   Central Michigan L 65-71 62%     6 - 6 0 - 2 -14.3 -1.3 -13.6
  Jan 09, 2024 123   Akron L 76-80 30%     6 - 7 0 - 3 -3.7 +9.5 -13.5
  Jan 13, 2024 140   @ Toledo L 72-77 18%     6 - 8 0 - 4 -0.7 +7.2 -8.5
  Jan 16, 2024 324   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-62 59%     7 - 8 1 - 4 +6.5 +1.4 +5.3
  Jan 20, 2024 256   Miami (OH) L 80-87 OT 59%     7 - 9 1 - 5 -14.6 -3.9 -9.9
  Jan 23, 2024 348   @ Buffalo W 87-59 71%     8 - 9 2 - 5 +17.1 +4.7 +11.0
  Jan 27, 2024 306   Northern Illinois W 81-71 70%     9 - 9 3 - 5 -0.8 +0.8 -1.7
  Jan 30, 2024 234   Bowling Green L 72-81 54%     9 - 10 3 - 6 -15.3 -0.2 -15.5
  Feb 03, 2024 301   @ Western Michigan W 77-67 50%     10 - 10 4 - 6 +4.9 +3.8 +1.3
  Feb 06, 2024 143   Ohio L 79-84 OT 35%     10 - 11 4 - 7 -6.2 +1.1 -7.0
  Feb 10, 2024 187   @ Texas St. L 60-68 26%     10 - 12 -6.5 -4.0 -3.1
  Feb 17, 2024 256   @ Miami (OH) L 59-80 39%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -23.4 -9.2 -15.6
  Feb 20, 2024 306   @ Northern Illinois W 70-63 51%     11 - 13 5 - 8 +1.4 -7.8 +9.1
  Feb 24, 2024 324   Eastern Michigan L 56-58 76%     11 - 14 5 - 9 -14.6 -17.6 +2.8
  Feb 27, 2024 271   @ Central Michigan W 79-71 42%     12 - 14 6 - 9 +4.9 +11.6 -6.4
  Mar 02, 2024 301   Western Michigan L 76-78 OT 69%     12 - 15 6 - 10 -12.3 -4.5 -7.7
  Mar 05, 2024 173   Kent St. W 76-69 42%     13 - 15 7 - 10 +3.8 +0.1 +3.5
  Mar 08, 2024 234   @ Bowling Green L 70-80 34%     13 - 16 7 - 11 -11.1 -5.5 -5.2
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%