Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.9#349
Expected Predictive Rating-24.1#361
Pace67.6#207
Improvement+3.1#63

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#312
First Shot-3.1#270
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#325
Layup/Dunks-1.6#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#292
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement+4.0#25

Defense
Total Defense-8.3#359
First Shot-5.7#345
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#345
Layups/Dunks-1.3#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#324
Freethrows-0.2#204
Improvement-0.9#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 130 - 20
Quad 41 - 111 - 31


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 140   @ Toledo L 60-94 5%     0 - 1 -29.7 -15.8 -13.0
  Nov 10, 2023 34   @ Cincinnati L 61-93 1%     0 - 2 -17.6 -5.8 -10.4
  Nov 14, 2023 83   @ Mississippi L 69-70 3%     0 - 3 +8.4 +7.4 +0.9
  Nov 18, 2023 143   @ Ohio L 52-71 6%     0 - 4 -15.0 -18.5 +3.1
  Nov 21, 2023 324   Eastern Michigan L 72-76 45%     0 - 5 -16.6 +5.8 -23.1
  Nov 25, 2023 292   @ SIU Edwardsville L 67-81 19%     0 - 6 -18.5 +0.7 -21.1
  Nov 29, 2023 142   Oakland L 50-65 12%     0 - 7 -16.1 -20.8 +3.7
  Dec 02, 2023 197   @ Cleveland St. L 58-69 9%     0 - 8 0 - 1 -10.5 -11.0 -0.5
  Dec 06, 2023 263   Ball St. L 65-68 28%     0 - 9 -10.8 -12.4 +1.6
  Dec 10, 2023 40   @ Northwestern L 59-91 1%     0 - 10 -18.1 -7.3 -11.5
  Dec 18, 2023 180   @ Loyola Marymount L 56-76 8%     0 - 11 -18.3 -17.7 -0.8
  Dec 21, 2023 271   @ Central Michigan L 63-75 15%     0 - 12 -15.1 -8.6 -6.3
  Dec 23, 2023 56   @ North Carolina St. L 66-83 2%     0 - 13 -4.8 -4.3 +0.0
  Dec 29, 2023 361   @ IUPUI L 55-67 53%     0 - 14 0 - 2 -26.8 -19.3 -8.6
  Dec 31, 2023 164   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 56-91 7%     0 - 15 0 - 3 -32.5 -19.3 -10.3
  Jan 04, 2024 242   Green Bay L 51-69 24%     0 - 16 0 - 4 -24.7 -17.7 -9.7
  Jan 06, 2024 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 61-84 21%     0 - 17 0 - 5 -28.6 -20.5 -6.9
  Jan 13, 2024 194   Northern Kentucky L 76-81 18%     0 - 18 0 - 6 -9.3 +5.6 -15.1
  Jan 17, 2024 305   @ Robert Morris L 99-102 2OT 21%     0 - 19 0 - 7 -8.5 +3.3 -11.2
  Jan 20, 2024 141   Youngstown St. L 64-105 12%     0 - 20 0 - 8 -41.9 -9.9 -32.1
  Jan 25, 2024 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-87 11%     0 - 21 0 - 9 -16.4 -7.2 -8.6
  Jan 27, 2024 242   @ Green Bay L 64-78 12%     0 - 22 0 - 10 -15.5 -8.9 -6.8
  Feb 01, 2024 197   Cleveland St. L 65-77 19%     0 - 23 0 - 11 -16.6 -8.1 -9.3
  Feb 03, 2024 305   Robert Morris L 67-75 38%     0 - 24 0 - 12 -18.7 -2.8 -17.0
  Feb 08, 2024 156   @ Wright St. L 85-92 7%     0 - 25 0 - 13 -4.0 +11.2 -15.5
  Feb 10, 2024 194   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-79 9%     0 - 26 0 - 14 -11.1 -5.4 -5.5
  Feb 14, 2024 361   IUPUI W 81-66 72%     1 - 26 1 - 14 -5.0 -1.5 -3.6
  Feb 17, 2024 164   Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-83 15%     1 - 27 1 - 15 -16.7 +1.6 -19.5
  Feb 22, 2024 156   Wright St. L 78-93 14%     1 - 28 1 - 16 -17.2 -4.1 -12.8
  Feb 28, 2024 141   @ Youngstown St. L 55-69 6%     1 - 29 1 - 17 -9.7 -16.4 +6.7
  Mar 02, 2024 142   @ Oakland L 70-75 6%     1 - 30 1 - 18 -0.9 +11.5 -13.4
  Mar 05, 2024 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-83 11%     1 - 31 -4.4 +0.4 -4.6
Projected Record 1 - 31 1 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19 100.0% 100.0
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%