Pre-tourney Rankings
Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#195
Pace70.7#107
Improvement+1.7#112

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#254
First Shot-2.5#253
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#203
Layup/Dunks-1.3#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#290
Freethrows+1.1#91
Improvement+0.2#172

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#151
First Shot+1.0#145
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#220
Layups/Dunks-3.1#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#27
Freethrows-1.5#280
Improvement+1.5#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 34 - 66 - 12
Quad 48 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 106   @ Oklahoma St. W 64-59 18%     1 - 0 +12.2 -4.7 +17.0
  Nov 10, 2023 56   @ North Carolina St. L 64-84 10%     1 - 1 -7.8 -1.2 -7.7
  Nov 14, 2023 342   Prairie View L 74-79 89%     1 - 2 -20.7 -7.6 -12.9
  Nov 17, 2023 231   San Jose St. W 77-71 55%     2 - 2 +2.5 +7.4 -4.3
  Nov 19, 2023 185   Fordham W 59-45 45%     3 - 2 +12.9 -8.9 +22.5
  Nov 20, 2023 149   Missouri St. L 69-87 37%     3 - 3 -16.9 -4.0 -12.3
  Nov 29, 2023 112   @ Texas Arlington L 71-86 21%     3 - 4 -8.8 -2.0 -6.1
  Dec 02, 2023 170   Stephen F. Austin L 74-79 OT 53%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -8.0 -13.4 +6.4
  Dec 06, 2023 311   Northern Arizona L 76-78 80%     3 - 6 -13.1 -7.4 -5.5
  Dec 17, 2023 171   UTEP W 88-82 54%     4 - 6 +2.8 +8.4 -6.3
  Dec 21, 2023 104   @ Arkansas L 73-83 18%     4 - 7 -2.4 -3.3 +1.8
  Dec 30, 2023 127   @ Western Kentucky L 84-86 24%     4 - 8 +3.2 +8.7 -5.4
  Jan 06, 2024 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-89 OT 86%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -11.9 -4.5 -7.8
  Jan 11, 2024 59   @ Grand Canyon L 64-74 10%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +2.0 -3.3 +5.4
  Jan 13, 2024 195   @ California Baptist L 53-68 38%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -14.2 -15.6 +0.7
  Jan 18, 2024 134   @ Tarleton St. L 71-79 25%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -3.1 +2.4 -5.9
  Jan 20, 2024 112   Texas Arlington W 78-67 37%     6 - 11 2 - 4 +12.0 -4.5 +15.2
  Jan 25, 2024 283   Utah Tech W 82-60 74%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +13.1 +7.3 +6.0
  Jan 27, 2024 246   Southern Utah L 67-82 67%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -21.8 -10.8 -11.1
  Feb 01, 2024 134   Tarleton St. L 73-76 OT 42%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -3.3 -3.4 +0.1
  Feb 08, 2024 119   @ Seattle L 52-75 22%     7 - 14 3 - 7 -17.3 -17.0 +0.2
  Feb 10, 2024 169   @ Utah Valley L 45-74 33%     7 - 15 3 - 8 -26.6 -22.3 -4.6
  Feb 15, 2024 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-79 73%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -0.7 +5.7 -6.9
  Feb 17, 2024 170   @ Stephen F. Austin W 63-62 33%     9 - 15 5 - 8 +3.2 +0.2 +3.1
  Feb 22, 2024 195   California Baptist W 71-65 58%     10 - 15 6 - 8 +1.6 +2.1 -0.1
  Feb 24, 2024 59   Grand Canyon W 79-73 19%     11 - 15 7 - 8 +12.8 +12.0 +1.1
  Feb 29, 2024 246   @ Southern Utah W 77-68 47%     12 - 15 8 - 8 +7.4 +4.7 +3.0
  Mar 02, 2024 283   @ Utah Tech W 86-79 55%     13 - 15 9 - 8 +3.3 +7.0 -4.2
  Mar 07, 2024 119   Seattle W 64-59 39%     14 - 15 10 - 8 +5.5 -0.4 +6.4
  Mar 09, 2024 169   Utah Valley L 67-74 52%     14 - 16 10 - 9 -9.8 +2.4 -12.8
  Mar 13, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin L 57-60 43%     14 - 17 -3.4 -13.4 +9.9
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%