Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#86
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#77
Pace66.9#230
Improvement+1.0#133

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#143
First Shot+2.5#107
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#260
Layup/Dunks+5.5#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#222
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement+0.5#151

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#35
First Shot+2.6#98
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#12
Layups/Dunks+0.8#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#240
Freethrows+3.2#18
Improvement+0.5#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 02 - 0
Quad 21 - 03 - 0
Quad 37 - 510 - 5
Quad 415 - 125 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 306   @ Northern Illinois L 78-91 87%     0 - 1 -18.6 -7.8 -9.3
  Nov 14, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 71-81 OT 58%     0 - 2 -5.5 -2.8 -2.3
  Nov 21, 2023 130   UNC Wilmington W 86-56 66%     1 - 2 +32.5 +15.2 +18.8
  Nov 22, 2023 161   Murray St. W 67-57 73%     2 - 2 +10.2 -4.8 +15.2
  Nov 26, 2023 222   Austin Peay W 78-58 87%     3 - 2 +14.3 +3.0 +12.6
  Nov 29, 2023 186   East Tennessee St. W 72-61 83%     4 - 2 +7.3 +5.2 +3.1
  Dec 03, 2023 3   Auburn W 69-64 14%     5 - 2 +23.4 +11.9 +12.0
  Dec 13, 2023 258   @ Queens W 93-81 81%     6 - 2 +9.6 +15.7 -6.4
  Dec 16, 2023 212   Gardner-Webb W 80-59 81%     7 - 2 +18.3 +5.8 +12.2
  Dec 21, 2023 166   UNC Asheville L 63-76 74%     7 - 3 -13.1 -11.0 -2.1
  Dec 30, 2023 291   Louisiana Monroe W 67-55 93%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +2.4 -4.9 +8.2
  Jan 04, 2024 220   @ South Alabama W 91-84 OT 75%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +6.6 +7.4 -1.6
  Jan 06, 2024 131   @ Troy L 62-66 56%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +1.1 -6.5 +7.5
  Jan 11, 2024 307   @ Coastal Carolina W 70-45 87%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +19.3 -0.3 +21.5
  Jan 13, 2024 64   @ James Madison W 59-55 32%     11 - 4 4 - 1 +15.4 -6.7 +22.2
  Jan 17, 2024 216   Georgia St. W 76-68 87%     12 - 4 5 - 1 +2.5 +1.0 +1.7
  Jan 20, 2024 307   Coastal Carolina W 88-59 94%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +18.1 +9.6 +8.4
  Jan 25, 2024 259   Georgia Southern W 84-74 90%     14 - 4 7 - 1 +2.3 +2.8 -0.8
  Jan 27, 2024 64   James Madison W 82-76 52%     15 - 4 8 - 1 +12.2 +4.9 +6.8
  Feb 01, 2024 216   @ Georgia St. W 81-71 75%     16 - 4 9 - 1 +9.7 +5.0 +4.5
  Feb 03, 2024 259   @ Georgia Southern W 85-84 OT 81%     17 - 4 10 - 1 -1.5 +5.0 -6.5
  Feb 07, 2024 187   @ Texas St. L 56-63 69%     17 - 5 10 - 2 -5.5 -9.6 +3.7
  Feb 10, 2024 140   Toledo W 109-104 2OT 76%     18 - 5 +4.1 +7.0 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2024 236   Marshall W 73-58 88%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +8.7 -3.0 +11.4
  Feb 17, 2024 153   Louisiana W 85-73 79%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +10.1 +15.6 -5.0
  Feb 22, 2024 289   @ Old Dominion W 82-67 84%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +10.9 +10.0 +1.1
  Feb 24, 2024 236   @ Marshall W 65-58 77%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +5.9 -3.1 +9.4
  Feb 28, 2024 289   Old Dominion W 89-64 92%     23 - 5 15 - 2 +15.7 +12.6 +2.9
  Mar 01, 2024 133   Arkansas St. W 80-57 75%     24 - 5 16 - 2 +22.7 +3.4 +19.4
  Mar 09, 2024 259   Georgia Southern W 85-80 OT 86%     25 - 5 -0.1 +0.3 -0.8
  Mar 10, 2024 133   Arkansas St. L 65-67 66%     25 - 6 +0.3 +2.8 -3.0
Projected Record 25 - 6 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%