Pre-tourney Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#195
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#219
Pace61.2#345
Improvement-3.1#309

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#235
First Shot-4.1#289
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#68
Layup/Dunks-1.6#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#228
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-2.2#300

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#159
First Shot-0.9#198
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#76
Layups/Dunks-5.5#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#45
Freethrows-0.4#219
Improvement-1.0#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 36 - 66 - 11
Quad 48 - 614 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 317   Jackson St. W 80-66 82%     1 - 0 +2.3 +7.2 -3.8
  Nov 17, 2023 253   Portland St. L 63-66 71%     1 - 1 -10.4 -8.0 -2.6
  Nov 18, 2023 157   St. Thomas W 66-62 52%     2 - 1 +1.7 +2.0 +0.3
  Nov 19, 2023 329   Cal Poly W 67-58 87%     3 - 1 -4.9 -2.0 -1.8
  Nov 29, 2023 246   @ Southern Utah W 91-66 49%     4 - 1 +23.4 +14.5 +8.6
  Dec 06, 2023 283   Utah Tech L 69-72 75%     4 - 2 0 - 1 -11.9 -5.9 -6.0
  Dec 12, 2023 54   @ Oregon L 55-76 10%     4 - 3 -8.7 -9.7 +0.0
  Dec 16, 2023 202   @ UC Riverside W 70-69 42%     5 - 3 +1.4 +7.2 -5.6
  Dec 19, 2023 127   Western Kentucky L 70-73 43%     5 - 4 -3.0 -8.5 +5.8
  Dec 27, 2023 297   Chicago St. W 74-62 78%     6 - 4 +2.0 +8.7 -4.9
  Dec 30, 2023 280   @ New Mexico St. L 61-66 56%     6 - 5 -8.4 -14.6 +6.5
  Jan 04, 2024 169   @ Utah Valley L 58-65 34%     6 - 6 0 - 2 -4.6 -3.2 -2.2
  Jan 06, 2024 119   @ Seattle L 46-48 24%     6 - 7 0 - 3 +3.7 -17.1 +20.7
  Jan 11, 2024 134   Tarleton St. W 77-63 44%     7 - 7 1 - 3 +13.7 +11.6 +3.6
  Jan 13, 2024 204   Abilene Christian W 68-53 62%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +10.1 -2.2 +13.0
  Jan 20, 2024 246   Southern Utah W 83-76 69%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +0.2 +4.9 -4.7
  Jan 25, 2024 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 63-54 75%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +0.3 -4.9 +6.3
  Jan 27, 2024 170   @ Stephen F. Austin W 81-79 35%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +4.2 +9.4 -5.3
  Feb 03, 2024 119   Seattle L 60-61 41%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -0.5 +0.7 -1.3
  Feb 08, 2024 112   Texas Arlington W 64-63 39%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +2.0 -5.6 +7.7
  Feb 10, 2024 283   @ Utah Tech L 78-85 57%     12 - 9 6 - 5 -10.7 +7.7 -18.5
  Feb 15, 2024 169   Utah Valley L 46-69 54%     12 - 10 6 - 6 -25.8 -20.3 -7.5
  Feb 17, 2024 59   @ Grand Canyon L 76-79 10%     12 - 11 6 - 7 +9.0 +12.9 -4.0
  Feb 22, 2024 204   @ Abilene Christian L 65-71 42%     12 - 12 6 - 8 -5.7 -1.4 -4.7
  Feb 24, 2024 134   @ Tarleton St. L 65-82 26%     12 - 13 6 - 9 -12.1 -0.3 -13.5
  Feb 29, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin L 60-62 OT 55%     12 - 14 6 - 10 -5.0 -8.5 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2024 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-52 87%     13 - 14 7 - 10 +22.1 +18.7 +7.0
  Mar 07, 2024 112   @ Texas Arlington L 57-71 22%     13 - 15 7 - 11 -7.8 -13.4 +5.7
  Mar 09, 2024 59   Grand Canyon L 47-68 21%     13 - 16 7 - 12 -14.2 -15.0 -2.6
  Mar 13, 2024 169   Utah Valley W 74-63 OT 44%     14 - 16 +10.8 +6.1 +4.8
  Mar 14, 2024 119   Seattle L 57-81 32%     14 - 17 -20.9 -3.3 -21.4
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%