Pre-tourney Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#147
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#142
Pace67.3#217
Improvement+3.0#65

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#101
First Shot+4.1#68
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#261
Layup/Dunks-3.5#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.8#3
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement+2.8#46

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#223
First Shot-1.3#217
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#218
Layups/Dunks-1.4#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#337
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement+0.1#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 36 - 68 - 10
Quad 411 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 179   @ Louisville W 81-71 48%     1 - 0 +11.7 +3.6 +7.5
  Nov 14, 2023 312   Bellarmine W 72-64 87%     2 - 0 -3.2 -2.9 +0.2
  Nov 19, 2023 334   Tennessee Tech W 68-63 92%     3 - 0 -9.1 -4.1 -4.5
  Nov 24, 2023 224   Evansville L 77-85 OT 75%     3 - 1 -13.8 -6.1 -6.8
  Nov 26, 2023 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 72-56 95%     4 - 1 -1.0 -2.8 +2.6
  Nov 29, 2023 168   @ Lipscomb L 68-82 46%     4 - 2 -11.6 -7.7 -3.9
  Dec 03, 2023 128   @ Morehead St. L 80-87 35%     4 - 3 -1.8 +14.2 -16.5
  Dec 16, 2023 328   @ Alabama A&M W 88-72 82%     5 - 3 +7.4 +12.6 -5.5
  Dec 19, 2023 212   Gardner-Webb W 69-66 73%     6 - 3 -2.3 -3.1 +1.0
  Dec 22, 2023 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83-85 OT 56%     6 - 4 -2.4 -0.5 -1.7
  Dec 30, 2023 3   @ Auburn L 66-101 3%     6 - 5 -11.4 +4.2 -15.3
  Jan 03, 2024 90   @ Samford L 74-89 23%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -6.0 +1.6 -7.0
  Jan 06, 2024 144   Furman W 73-58 60%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +13.8 -6.4 +19.3
  Jan 11, 2024 359   VMI W 109-61 96%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +28.6 +22.4 +2.7
  Jan 13, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro L 54-70 62%     8 - 7 2 - 2 -17.9 -15.9 -3.5
  Jan 17, 2024 211   @ Mercer W 74-60 55%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +14.0 +7.7 +7.6
  Jan 21, 2024 186   @ East Tennessee St. W 81-74 49%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +8.5 +14.1 -5.3
  Jan 24, 2024 199   @ Wofford W 79-65 53%     11 - 7 5 - 2 +14.5 +8.2 +6.9
  Jan 27, 2024 267   The Citadel W 90-62 81%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +19.9 +18.3 +3.3
  Jan 31, 2024 121   @ Western Carolina W 91-85 33%     13 - 7 7 - 2 +11.7 +20.8 -9.1
  Feb 03, 2024 90   Samford L 56-78 40%     13 - 8 7 - 3 -18.2 -14.2 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2024 359   @ VMI W 88-84 92%     14 - 8 8 - 3 -10.2 +1.8 -12.4
  Feb 10, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro W 89-61 42%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +31.3 +30.7 +5.0
  Feb 14, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. W 84-71 68%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +9.3 +18.4 -7.9
  Feb 18, 2024 144   @ Furman L 65-82 40%     16 - 9 10 - 4 -13.0 -5.9 -7.7
  Feb 21, 2024 199   Wofford W 81-65 72%     17 - 9 11 - 4 +11.3 +9.8 +2.6
  Feb 24, 2024 267   @ The Citadel L 62-71 66%     17 - 10 11 - 5 -11.9 -9.4 -3.0
  Feb 28, 2024 211   Mercer W 84-75 73%     18 - 10 12 - 5 +3.8 +15.7 -11.1
  Mar 02, 2024 121   Western Carolina L 63-82 53%     18 - 11 12 - 6 -18.5 -4.0 -16.3
  Mar 09, 2024 199   Wofford W 75-57 63%     19 - 11 +15.9 +3.0 +13.7
  Mar 10, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. L 84-85 OT 59%     19 - 12 -2.1 +2.0 -3.9
Projected Record 19 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%