Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+22.7#1
Expected Predictive Rating+23.9#1
Pace63.1#323
Improvement+4.1#38

Offense
Total Offense+14.3#1
First Shot+12.8#1
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#83
Layup/Dunks+8.2#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#46
Freethrows+2.8#33
Improvement+1.4#106

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#11
First Shot+7.6#11
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#104
Layups/Dunks+3.6#57
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#49
Freethrows+0.3#175
Improvement+2.7#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 44.6% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 93.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round99.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen84.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight67.4% n/a n/a
Final Four48.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game32.7% n/a n/a
National Champion21.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a9 - 29 - 2
Quad 1b4 - 113 - 3
Quad 28 - 021 - 3
Quad 31 - 022 - 3
Quad 49 - 031 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 311   Northern Arizona W 95-52 99%     1 - 0 +31.9 +19.2 +13.6
  Nov 11, 2023 358   Stonehill W 107-67 99.8%    2 - 0 +21.0 +17.7 -0.1
  Nov 14, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 87-53 99.9%    3 - 0 +10.5 +9.4 +2.6
  Nov 19, 2023 82   Indiana W 77-57 92%     4 - 0 +26.8 +12.4 +15.5
  Nov 20, 2023 23   Texas W 81-71 81%     5 - 0 +23.2 +17.5 +6.3
  Nov 24, 2023 339   Manhattan W 90-60 99.7%    6 - 0 +15.1 +14.9 +1.5
  Nov 27, 2023 262   New Hampshire W 84-64 99%     7 - 0 +12.2 +2.8 +7.8
  Dec 01, 2023 20   @ Kansas L 65-69 73%     7 - 1 +12.3 +13.1 -1.5
  Dec 05, 2023 8   North Carolina W 87-76 69%     8 - 1 +28.6 +23.0 +5.6
  Dec 09, 2023 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 101-63 99.7%    9 - 1 +22.6 +21.0 +2.8
  Dec 15, 2023 15   Gonzaga W 76-63 76%     10 - 1 +28.3 +13.8 +15.4
  Dec 20, 2023 58   @ Seton Hall L 60-75 84%     10 - 2 0 - 1 -3.0 +1.1 -5.9
  Dec 23, 2023 25   St. John's W 69-65 87%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +14.5 +7.7 +7.3
  Jan 02, 2024 294   DePaul W 85-56 99%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +19.2 +11.2 +9.4
  Jan 05, 2024 63   @ Butler W 88-81 85%     13 - 2 3 - 1 +18.6 +23.3 -4.5
  Jan 10, 2024 57   @ Xavier W 80-75 84%     14 - 2 4 - 1 +17.1 +14.0 +3.1
  Jan 14, 2024 176   Georgetown W 80-67 98%     15 - 2 5 - 1 +9.6 +11.8 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2024 11   Creighton W 62-48 80%     16 - 2 6 - 1 +27.8 +2.7 +26.9
  Jan 20, 2024 35   @ Villanova W 66-65 78%     17 - 2 7 - 1 +15.4 +14.6 +1.0
  Jan 28, 2024 57   Xavier W 99-56 92%     18 - 2 8 - 1 +49.9 +26.9 +21.8
  Jan 31, 2024 50   Providence W 74-65 91%     19 - 2 9 - 1 +16.7 +9.5 +7.5
  Feb 03, 2024 25   @ St. John's W 77-64 75%     20 - 2 10 - 1 +28.7 +15.5 +14.2
  Feb 06, 2024 63   Butler W 71-62 93%     21 - 2 11 - 1 +15.4 +6.0 +10.0
  Feb 10, 2024 176   @ Georgetown W 89-64 96%     22 - 2 12 - 1 +26.8 +20.7 +8.3
  Feb 14, 2024 294   @ DePaul W 101-65 99%     23 - 2 13 - 1 +31.4 +29.3 +3.4
  Feb 17, 2024 12   Marquette W 81-53 80%     24 - 2 14 - 1 +41.7 +22.4 +22.0
  Feb 20, 2024 11   @ Creighton L 66-85 64%     24 - 3 14 - 2 +0.0 +13.9 -17.6
  Feb 24, 2024 35   Villanova W 78-54 89%     25 - 3 15 - 2 +33.2 +18.3 +16.9
  Mar 03, 2024 58   Seton Hall W 91-61 92%     26 - 3 16 - 2 +36.8 +31.6 +8.4
  Mar 06, 2024 12   @ Marquette W 74-67 64%     27 - 3 17 - 2 +25.9 +14.9 +11.4
  Mar 09, 2024 50   @ Providence W 74-60 82%     28 - 3 18 - 2 +26.9 +13.2 +14.3
  Mar 14, 2024 57   Xavier W 87-60 89%     29 - 3 +36.5 +20.3 +16.6
  Mar 15, 2024 25   @ St. John's W 95-90 75%     30 - 3 +20.7 +30.6 -9.8
  Mar 16, 2024 12   Marquette W 73-57 73%     31 - 3 +32.3 +12.6 +20.8
  Mar 22, 2024 209   Stetson W 87-62 98%    
Projected Record 32 - 3 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.1 93.6 6.4
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.1 93.6 6.4