Pre-tourney Rankings
Creighton
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#11
Expected Predictive Rating+15.0#14
Pace67.5#211
Improvement-0.4#206

Offense
Total Offense+9.8#12
First Shot+9.0#10
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#126
Layup/Dunks+3.4#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#301
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.7#6
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement+0.9#131

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#24
First Shot+6.5#18
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#176
Layups/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#2
Freethrows+5.7#1
Improvement-1.3#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 26.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen61.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight30.5% n/a n/a
Final Four13.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.8% n/a n/a
National Champion2.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 35 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 28 - 5
Quad 27 - 415 - 9
Quad 31 - 016 - 9
Quad 47 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 345   Florida A&M W 105-54 99%     1 - 0 +35.0 +30.7 +6.3
  Nov 11, 2023 266   North Dakota St. W 89-60 98%     2 - 0 +20.9 +15.9 +6.6
  Nov 14, 2023 49   Iowa W 92-84 79%     3 - 0 +15.8 +12.5 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2023 281   Texas Southern W 82-50 98%     4 - 0 +23.3 +14.9 +11.5
  Nov 22, 2023 92   Loyola Chicago W 88-65 83%     5 - 0 +29.3 +23.5 +6.2
  Nov 23, 2023 48   Colorado St. L 48-69 71%     5 - 1 -10.4 -18.0 +6.5
  Nov 30, 2023 106   @ Oklahoma St. W 79-65 81%     6 - 1 +21.2 +13.0 +8.8
  Dec 03, 2023 27   @ Nebraska W 89-60 53%     7 - 1 +44.6 +20.5 +23.1
  Dec 09, 2023 271   Central Michigan W 109-64 98%     8 - 1 +36.7 +32.5 +2.8
  Dec 13, 2023 73   @ UNLV L 64-79 73%     8 - 2 -4.9 +5.6 -12.8
  Dec 16, 2023 13   Alabama W 85-82 61%     9 - 2 +16.5 +14.8 +1.8
  Dec 20, 2023 35   Villanova L 66-68 OT 75%     9 - 3 0 - 1 +7.2 -3.4 +10.7
  Dec 30, 2023 12   @ Marquette L 67-72 40%     9 - 4 0 - 2 +13.9 +1.9 +12.1
  Jan 02, 2024 176   @ Georgetown W 77-60 91%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +18.8 +10.1 +10.7
  Jan 06, 2024 50   Providence W 69-60 80%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +16.7 +5.4 +11.7
  Jan 09, 2024 294   @ DePaul W 84-58 96%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +21.4 +9.9 +11.8
  Jan 13, 2024 25   St. John's W 66-65 72%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +11.5 -0.7 +12.2
  Jan 17, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 48-62 20%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +11.3 -8.8 +18.2
  Jan 20, 2024 58   @ Seton Hall W 97-94 3OT 66%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +15.0 +9.2 +5.2
  Jan 23, 2024 57   Xavier W 85-78 82%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +13.9 +16.5 -2.5
  Jan 27, 2024 294   DePaul W 85-62 98%     16 - 5 7 - 3 +13.2 +6.5 +6.6
  Feb 02, 2024 63   Butler L 98-99 83%     16 - 6 7 - 4 +5.4 +21.1 -15.6
  Feb 07, 2024 50   @ Providence L 87-91 OT 63%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +8.9 +17.1 -7.9
  Feb 10, 2024 57   @ Xavier W 78-71 66%     17 - 7 8 - 5 +19.1 +6.2 +12.4
  Feb 13, 2024 176   Georgetown W 94-72 96%     18 - 7 9 - 5 +18.6 +19.5 +0.0
  Feb 17, 2024 63   @ Butler W 79-57 68%     19 - 7 10 - 5 +33.6 +13.8 +20.4
  Feb 20, 2024 1   Connecticut W 85-66 36%     20 - 7 11 - 5 +39.1 +35.7 +7.0
  Feb 25, 2024 25   @ St. John's L 66-80 53%     20 - 8 11 - 6 +1.7 +2.1 -1.1
  Feb 28, 2024 58   Seton Hall W 85-64 82%     21 - 8 12 - 6 +27.8 +15.1 +12.5
  Mar 02, 2024 12   Marquette W 89-75 60%     22 - 8 13 - 6 +27.7 +24.7 +3.3
  Mar 09, 2024 35   @ Villanova W 69-67 58%     23 - 8 14 - 6 +16.4 +10.2 +6.3
  Mar 14, 2024 50   Providence L 73-78 72%     23 - 9 +5.3 +4.3 +1.2
  Mar 21, 2024 123   Akron W 77-63 89%    
Projected Record 24 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.9 2.8 23.4 50.8 22.2 0.8 100.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.9 2.8 23.4 50.8 22.2 0.8 100.0%