Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+21.0#2
Expected Predictive Rating+22.3#3
Pace60.6#349
Improvement-2.2#278

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#18
First Shot+3.6#78
After Offensive Rebound+5.1#4
Layup/Dunks-4.4#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#4
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#111
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement+0.5#152

Defense
Total Defense+12.2#2
First Shot+12.3#1
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#199
Layups/Dunks+9.6#3
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#85
Freethrows-1.0#255
Improvement-2.7#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 28.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 88.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round99.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen80.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight59.1% n/a n/a
Final Four39.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game23.8% n/a n/a
National Champion13.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 36 - 3
Quad 1b10 - 116 - 4
Quad 23 - 019 - 4
Quad 34 - 023 - 4
Quad 47 - 030 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 291   Louisiana Monroe W 84-31 99%     1 - 0 +43.4 +15.5 +33.4
  Nov 11, 2023 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 82-50 98%     2 - 0 +28.0 +6.5 +20.0
  Nov 13, 2023 209   Stetson W 79-48 98%     3 - 0 +25.8 +8.8 +20.9
  Nov 16, 2023 150   Towson W 65-49 96%     4 - 0 +17.1 +4.4 +15.0
  Nov 17, 2023 47   Utah W 76-66 83%     5 - 0 +20.7 +10.0 +10.9
  Nov 19, 2023 44   Dayton W 69-55 83%     6 - 0 +24.9 +15.2 +12.9
  Nov 24, 2023 158   Montana W 79-44 97%     7 - 0 +32.7 +12.6 +25.2
  Dec 01, 2023 57   @ Xavier W 66-60 80%     8 - 0 +18.1 -1.4 +19.4
  Dec 06, 2023 218   Rice W 75-39 98%     9 - 0 +30.5 +4.5 +29.5
  Dec 09, 2023 317   Jackson St. W 89-55 99%     10 - 0 +22.3 +10.9 +11.8
  Dec 16, 2023 42   Texas A&M W 70-66 82%     11 - 0 +15.3 +13.8 +2.1
  Dec 21, 2023 187   Texas St. W 72-37 98%     12 - 0 +31.3 +1.3 +30.5
  Dec 30, 2023 223   Penn W 81-42 98%     13 - 0 +33.3 +12.4 +26.0
  Jan 06, 2024 129   West Virginia W 89-55 96%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +33.9 +22.8 +14.0
  Jan 09, 2024 7   @ Iowa St. L 53-57 51%     14 - 1 1 - 1 +16.8 +1.9 +14.4
  Jan 13, 2024 31   @ TCU L 67-68 71%     14 - 2 1 - 2 +14.3 +9.4 +4.8
  Jan 17, 2024 26   Texas Tech W 77-54 84%     15 - 2 2 - 2 +33.4 +21.4 +16.2
  Jan 20, 2024 55   Central Florida W 57-42 90%     16 - 2 3 - 2 +22.0 -3.5 +27.1
  Jan 23, 2024 17   @ BYU W 75-68 64%     17 - 2 4 - 2 +24.1 +13.1 +11.5
  Jan 27, 2024 62   Kansas St. W 74-52 91%     18 - 2 5 - 2 +28.4 +14.0 +16.5
  Jan 29, 2024 23   @ Texas W 76-72 OT 69%     19 - 2 6 - 2 +19.8 +7.6 +12.1
  Feb 03, 2024 20   @ Kansas L 65-78 68%     19 - 3 6 - 3 +3.3 +8.2 -6.2
  Feb 06, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. W 79-63 95%     20 - 3 7 - 3 +18.0 +9.9 +8.7
  Feb 10, 2024 34   @ Cincinnati W 67-62 74%     21 - 3 8 - 3 +19.4 +10.5 +9.5
  Feb 17, 2024 23   Texas W 82-61 84%     22 - 3 9 - 3 +31.6 +17.2 +15.7
  Feb 19, 2024 7   Iowa St. W 73-65 70%     23 - 3 10 - 3 +23.6 +16.8 +7.3
  Feb 24, 2024 14   @ Baylor W 82-76 OT 62%     24 - 3 11 - 3 +23.9 +12.6 +11.1
  Feb 27, 2024 34   Cincinnati W 67-59 86%     25 - 3 12 - 3 +17.2 +5.3 +12.5
  Mar 02, 2024 37   @ Oklahoma W 87-85 75%     26 - 3 13 - 3 +16.1 +29.6 -13.4
  Mar 06, 2024 55   @ Central Florida W 67-59 80%     27 - 3 14 - 3 +20.2 +12.3 +9.0
  Mar 09, 2024 20   Kansas W 76-46 82%     28 - 3 15 - 3 +41.1 +15.2 +27.7
  Mar 14, 2024 31   TCU W 60-45 78%     29 - 3 +27.7 -1.5 +30.6
  Mar 15, 2024 26   Texas Tech W 82-59 78%     30 - 3 +36.0 +20.1 +17.7
  Mar 16, 2024 7   Iowa St. L 41-69 61%     30 - 4 -9.8 -12.6 -1.4
  Mar 22, 2024 163   Longwood W 76-55 96%    
Projected Record 31 - 4 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.1 88.3 11.7 0.0 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 88.3 11.7 0.0 100.0%