Pre-tourney Rankings
Liberty
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#148
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#159
Pace62.6#331
Improvement-8.9#360

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#138
First Shot+1.8#133
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#198
Layup/Dunks+1.7#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#32
Freethrows-3.1#348
Improvement-6.0#358

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#185
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#243
Layups/Dunks-3.5#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#44
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement-2.9#317
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 38 - 39 - 9
Quad 46 - 515 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 116   Charlotte W 71-59 42%     1 - 0 +15.3 +16.9 +1.4
  Nov 16, 2023 144   Furman W 88-74 49%     2 - 0 +15.4 +10.6 +4.3
  Nov 17, 2023 145   Wichita St. W 83-66 49%     3 - 0 +18.4 +8.5 +9.1
  Nov 19, 2023 109   Vermont W 71-61 40%     4 - 0 +14.0 +8.1 +6.7
  Nov 25, 2023 346   Maryland Eastern Shore W 99-62 94%     5 - 0 +21.0 +34.3 -9.1
  Nov 30, 2023 43   @ Florida Atlantic L 58-83 12%     5 - 1 -11.2 -5.2 -8.7
  Dec 01, 2023 100   College of Charleston L 67-76 35%     5 - 2 -3.8 -2.8 -1.4
  Dec 05, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 74-39 98%     6 - 2 +11.5 +9.6 +9.9
  Dec 09, 2023 59   Grand Canyon L 64-69 29%     6 - 3 +1.8 -1.0 +2.4
  Dec 13, 2023 293   Tennessee St. W 74-52 85%     7 - 3 +12.3 +4.9 +9.5
  Dec 20, 2023 169   @ Utah Valley W 79-63 45%     8 - 3 +18.4 +17.4 +2.2
  Dec 30, 2023 13   Alabama L 56-101 9%     8 - 4 -28.9 -10.9 -20.5
  Jan 06, 2024 127   @ Western Kentucky L 68-70 35%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +3.2 -9.5 +12.9
  Jan 10, 2024 207   Jacksonville St. L 51-61 73%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -15.0 -15.4 -1.0
  Jan 14, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 76-80 OT 27%     8 - 7 0 - 3 +3.7 +7.9 -4.2
  Jan 18, 2024 278   Florida International W 78-69 82%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +0.5 +10.2 -8.6
  Jan 20, 2024 138   Sam Houston St. W 82-66 58%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +15.2 +15.4 +0.9
  Jan 27, 2024 207   @ Jacksonville St. L 62-73 54%     10 - 8 2 - 4 -10.8 +1.1 -13.7
  Feb 01, 2024 280   @ New Mexico St. L 73-79 OT 67%     10 - 9 2 - 5 -9.4 -9.6 +1.1
  Feb 03, 2024 171   @ UTEP W 67-65 47%     11 - 9 3 - 5 +4.0 -0.9 +4.9
  Feb 08, 2024 265   Middle Tennessee W 88-53 81%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +27.0 +15.5 +12.2
  Feb 10, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech W 65-62 45%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +5.5 -2.7 +8.3
  Feb 17, 2024 138   @ Sam Houston St. L 73-83 38%     13 - 10 5 - 6 -5.6 +2.8 -8.3
  Feb 22, 2024 278   @ Florida International L 71-76 67%     13 - 11 5 - 7 -8.3 +0.6 -9.2
  Feb 29, 2024 280   New Mexico St. W 83-58 82%     14 - 11 6 - 7 +16.4 +20.8 -0.3
  Mar 02, 2024 171   UTEP L 51-67 67%     14 - 12 6 - 8 -19.2 -9.5 -12.5
  Mar 05, 2024 265   @ Middle Tennessee L 61-69 65%     14 - 13 6 - 9 -10.8 -6.0 -5.5
  Mar 09, 2024 127   Western Kentucky W 82-79 55%     15 - 13 7 - 9 +3.0 +6.1 -3.3
  Mar 14, 2024 171   UTEP L 57-66 57%     15 - 14 -9.6 -5.1 -5.5
Projected Record 15 - 14 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%