Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#265
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#223
Pace64.2#302
Improvement-1.4#249

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#306
First Shot-3.0#267
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#307
Layup/Dunks+0.1#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
Freethrows-2.5#332
Improvement+1.8#89

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#180
First Shot+0.2#173
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#222
Layups/Dunks-7.2#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#21
Freethrows+1.8#59
Improvement-3.2#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 134 - 16
Quad 48 - 312 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 194   Northern Kentucky W 74-57 46%     1 - 0 +12.7 +3.6 +9.9
  Nov 09, 2023 170   Stephen F. Austin W 67-62 OT 41%     2 - 0 +2.0 -8.6 +10.3
  Nov 13, 2023 121   Western Carolina L 64-66 29%     2 - 1 -1.5 -3.5 +1.8
  Nov 21, 2023 99   UAB L 57-58 22%     2 - 2 +1.6 -7.9 +9.4
  Nov 24, 2023 205   Illinois-Chicago L 40-70 38%     2 - 3 -32.3 -26.6 -9.3
  Nov 25, 2023 143   Ohio L 68-80 26%     2 - 4 -10.6 +1.1 -12.7
  Nov 26, 2023 217   UMKC W 63-59 40%     3 - 4 +1.1 -0.8 +2.4
  Dec 02, 2023 199   Wofford L 64-74 OT 47%     3 - 5 -14.7 -15.5 +1.2
  Dec 05, 2023 149   Missouri St. W 77-73 OT 35%     4 - 5 +2.5 +1.3 +1.0
  Dec 09, 2023 114   Belmont L 65-75 27%     4 - 6 -9.1 -2.8 -7.0
  Dec 19, 2023 21   @ St. Mary's L 34-71 3%     4 - 7 -20.9 -24.9 -1.8
  Dec 22, 2023 246   @ Southern Utah L 63-69 36%     4 - 8 -7.6 -7.9 -0.2
  Dec 30, 2023 161   @ Murray St. L 54-75 22%     4 - 9 -18.2 -17.1 -1.3
  Jan 11, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech L 52-60 23%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -5.5 -12.7 +6.3
  Jan 13, 2024 138   Sam Houston St. L 51-60 33%     4 - 11 0 - 2 -9.8 -14.1 +3.1
  Jan 18, 2024 171   @ UTEP L 59-73 24%     4 - 12 0 - 3 -12.0 -7.7 -4.4
  Jan 20, 2024 280   @ New Mexico St. L 62-73 42%     4 - 13 0 - 4 -14.4 -11.2 -3.2
  Jan 24, 2024 207   Jacksonville St. W 75-67 48%     5 - 13 1 - 4 +3.0 +3.1 +0.1
  Jan 27, 2024 278   Florida International W 79-61 62%     6 - 13 2 - 4 +9.5 +5.9 +4.6
  Feb 03, 2024 127   @ Western Kentucky L 65-88 16%     6 - 14 2 - 5 -17.8 -7.1 -9.6
  Feb 08, 2024 148   @ Liberty L 53-88 19%     6 - 15 2 - 6 -31.2 -17.7 -14.2
  Feb 10, 2024 278   @ Florida International W 68-66 42%     7 - 15 3 - 6 -1.3 -7.0 +5.7
  Feb 15, 2024 280   New Mexico St. W 76-69 62%     8 - 15 4 - 6 -1.6 +8.5 -9.3
  Feb 17, 2024 171   UTEP W 96-90 2OT 41%     9 - 15 5 - 6 +2.8 +9.9 -8.1
  Feb 21, 2024 207   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-76 29%     9 - 16 5 - 7 -7.8 +0.2 -8.4
  Feb 24, 2024 127   Western Kentucky W 74-72 30%     10 - 16 6 - 7 +2.0 -1.6 +3.5
  Mar 02, 2024 138   @ Sam Houston St. L 64-81 18%     10 - 17 6 - 8 -12.6 -0.6 -13.3
  Mar 05, 2024 148   Liberty W 69-61 35%     11 - 17 7 - 8 +6.6 +0.0 +7.3
  Mar 09, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 70-84 11%     11 - 18 7 - 9 -6.3 +5.6 -12.6
  Mar 13, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech W 70-67 16%     12 - 18 +8.1 +2.8 +5.3
  Mar 15, 2024 127   Western Kentucky L 54-85 22%     12 - 19 -28.4 -21.4 -4.0
Projected Record 12 - 19 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%