Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#128
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#123
Pace62.5#332
Improvement+2.4#85

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#134
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#42
Layup/Dunks-2.1#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#43
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement+1.5#104

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#142
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#131
Layups/Dunks+1.8#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#80
Freethrows-2.6#323
Improvement+0.9#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 23 - 6
Quad 419 - 222 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 13   @ Alabama L 73-105 7%     0 - 1 -13.3 +0.6 -12.4
  Nov 10, 2023 4   @ Purdue L 57-87 4%     0 - 2 -7.2 -5.4 -2.8
  Nov 14, 2023 211   Mercer W 74-66 77%     1 - 2 +2.8 -2.8 +5.5
  Nov 17, 2023 68   @ Penn St. L 51-74 23%     1 - 3 -12.6 -20.7 +10.0
  Nov 20, 2023 312   @ Bellarmine W 64-51 79%     2 - 3 +7.0 +2.1 +7.8
  Nov 29, 2023 222   @ Austin Peay W 61-50 62%     3 - 3 +10.5 -6.7 +18.9
  Dec 03, 2023 147   Chattanooga W 87-80 65%     4 - 3 +5.6 +16.4 -10.3
  Dec 10, 2023 247   @ North Alabama W 86-77 66%     5 - 3 +7.4 +18.1 -9.9
  Dec 19, 2023 82   @ Indiana L 68-69 25%     5 - 4 +8.4 +3.5 +4.9
  Dec 31, 2023 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 83-64 90%     6 - 4 1 - 0 +7.2 +3.0 +3.3
  Jan 04, 2024 334   Tennessee Tech W 82-57 93%     7 - 4 2 - 0 +10.9 +11.5 +1.9
  Jan 06, 2024 293   Tennessee St. W 78-68 87%     8 - 4 3 - 0 +0.3 +5.3 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2024 321   @ Eastern Illinois W 78-52 81%     9 - 4 4 - 0 +19.3 +9.8 +11.5
  Jan 13, 2024 292   @ SIU Edwardsville L 48-61 75%     9 - 5 4 - 1 -17.5 -22.5 +3.8
  Jan 18, 2024 215   Tennessee Martin W 84-66 78%     10 - 5 5 - 1 +12.5 +16.6 -2.0
  Jan 20, 2024 331   @ Southern Indiana W 81-70 86%     11 - 5 6 - 1 +2.2 +11.9 -8.7
  Jan 27, 2024 279   Western Illinois W 64-50 85%     12 - 5 7 - 1 +5.5 -2.0 +9.2
  Feb 01, 2024 293   @ Tennessee St. W 68-49 75%     13 - 5 8 - 1 +14.5 +2.8 +14.0
  Feb 03, 2024 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 67-60 86%     14 - 5 9 - 1 -1.9 +6.3 -6.6
  Feb 08, 2024 292   SIU Edwardsville W 79-68 87%     15 - 5 10 - 1 +1.3 +2.5 -1.1
  Feb 10, 2024 321   Eastern Illinois W 69-57 91%     16 - 5 11 - 1 +0.1 +1.1 +0.5
  Feb 15, 2024 193   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-69 56%     16 - 6 11 - 2 -0.1 +1.9 -2.2
  Feb 17, 2024 215   @ Tennessee Martin L 82-88 61%     16 - 7 11 - 3 -6.3 +4.9 -11.0
  Feb 20, 2024 331   Southern Indiana L 73-80 93%     16 - 8 11 - 4 -21.0 +1.8 -23.6
  Feb 22, 2024 279   @ Western Illinois W 78-57 72%     17 - 8 12 - 4 +17.7 +14.1 +5.6
  Feb 29, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 72-50 96%     18 - 8 13 - 4 +5.0 -6.0 +11.1
  Mar 02, 2024 356   Lindenwood W 67-49 96%     19 - 8 14 - 4 -0.2 -0.7 +3.8
  Mar 07, 2024 292   SIU Edwardsville W 78-63 82%     20 - 8 +7.9 +4.5 +3.9
  Mar 08, 2024 215   Tennessee Martin W 84-78 70%     21 - 8 +3.1 +2.5 +0.2
  Mar 09, 2024 193   Arkansas Little Rock W 69-55 66%     22 - 8 +12.3 +4.8 +9.6
  Mar 21, 2024 10   Illinois L 70-84 10%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.1 0.0 7.9 71.7 20.4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 7.9 71.7 20.4