Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#194
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#196
Pace69.2#149
Improvement+1.0#134

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#239
First Shot+0.2#172
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#318
Layup/Dunks+2.0#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#287
Freethrows+0.6#129
Improvement-0.9#233

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#156
First Shot+1.6#124
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#279
Layups/Dunks+1.6#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#286
Freethrows+1.6#64
Improvement+1.9#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 35 - 85 - 13
Quad 411 - 216 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 265   @ Middle Tennessee L 57-74 54%     0 - 1 -19.8 -12.2 -8.3
  Nov 09, 2023 65   @ Washington L 67-75 11%     0 - 2 +3.4 -1.2 +4.4
  Nov 19, 2023 34   @ Cincinnati L 66-90 7%     0 - 3 -9.6 +5.0 -15.8
  Nov 22, 2023 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 88-73 59%     1 - 3 +11.0 +12.3 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2023 350   LIU Brooklyn W 72-64 91%     2 - 3 -8.5 -8.1 -0.6
  Nov 29, 2023 305   Robert Morris W 77-59 80%     3 - 3 +7.3 -3.2 +10.3
  Dec 02, 2023 361   @ IUPUI W 71-55 89%     4 - 3 1 - 0 +1.2 -6.0 +7.6
  Dec 06, 2023 182   @ Illinois St. L 59-62 37%     4 - 4 -1.4 -5.4 +3.7
  Dec 09, 2023 123   Akron L 76-77 42%     4 - 5 -0.7 +9.2 -10.0
  Dec 17, 2023 208   @ Eastern Kentucky W 85-75 43%     5 - 5 +10.1 +3.8 +5.6
  Dec 21, 2023 21   @ St. Mary's L 56-92 6%     5 - 6 -19.9 -3.0 -20.3
  Dec 29, 2023 164   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 60-73 34%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -10.5 -11.3 +0.9
  Jan 04, 2024 141   Youngstown St. W 79-76 47%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +2.1 +8.1 -5.9
  Jan 07, 2024 197   @ Cleveland St. L 85-88 OT 41%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -2.5 +5.9 -8.2
  Jan 10, 2024 142   @ Oakland L 65-70 OT 29%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -0.9 -14.8 +14.5
  Jan 13, 2024 349   @ Detroit Mercy W 81-76 82%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -6.3 +4.6 -10.8
  Jan 18, 2024 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90-72 65%     8 - 9 4 - 3 +12.4 +10.1 +2.0
  Jan 20, 2024 242   Green Bay W 74-52 68%     9 - 9 5 - 3 +15.3 +8.4 +10.2
  Jan 25, 2024 164   Purdue Fort Wayne L 58-63 54%     9 - 10 5 - 4 -7.7 -17.2 +9.7
  Jan 28, 2024 141   @ Youngstown St. L 52-82 28%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -25.7 -16.0 -11.7
  Feb 04, 2024 156   Wright St. L 78-85 52%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -9.2 -8.1 -0.6
  Feb 08, 2024 142   Oakland W 99-89 OT 48%     10 - 12 6 - 6 +8.9 +13.9 -6.1
  Feb 10, 2024 349   Detroit Mercy W 79-67 91%     11 - 12 7 - 6 -4.5 -4.9 +0.2
  Feb 14, 2024 242   @ Green Bay W 58-57 49%     12 - 12 8 - 6 -0.5 -8.7 +8.4
  Feb 17, 2024 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-73 45%     12 - 13 8 - 7 -1.4 -1.1 -0.3
  Feb 22, 2024 197   Cleveland St. W 75-73 61%     13 - 13 9 - 7 -2.6 -0.5 -2.1
  Feb 25, 2024 361   IUPUI W 80-64 95%     14 - 13 10 - 7 -4.0 -2.6 -1.5
  Feb 28, 2024 305   @ Robert Morris W 70-60 64%     15 - 13 11 - 7 +4.5 +1.2 +4.4
  Mar 02, 2024 156   @ Wright St. L 88-94 32%     15 - 14 11 - 8 -3.0 -0.6 -1.7
  Mar 07, 2024 156   @ Wright St. W 99-97 OT 32%     16 - 14 +5.0 +5.7 -1.0
  Mar 11, 2024 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-82 55%     16 - 15 -10.0 -5.2 -4.5
Projected Record 16 - 15 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%