Pre-tourney Rankings
Oakland
Horizon
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#142
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#112
Pace67.1#222
Improvement-0.5#208

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#140
First Shot+1.9#129
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#205
Layup/Dunks-0.6#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#136
Freethrows-0.5#221
Improvement-1.2#249

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#171
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#213
Layups/Dunks+4.5#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#329
Freethrows+0.9#123
Improvement+0.7#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round6.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 21 - 02 - 5
Quad 37 - 69 - 11
Quad 414 - 023 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 38   @ Ohio St. L 73-79 12%     0 - 1 +8.0 +10.3 -2.7
  Nov 10, 2023 10   @ Illinois L 53-64 6%     0 - 2 +8.5 -9.4 +16.6
  Nov 14, 2023 234   Bowling Green W 81-62 77%     1 - 2 +12.7 -0.1 +11.5
  Nov 19, 2023 53   Drake L 77-85 21%     1 - 3 +2.0 +2.9 -0.5
  Nov 20, 2023 180   Loyola Marymount W 74-69 59%     2 - 3 +4.1 +6.0 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2023 236   Marshall W 78-71 69%     3 - 3 +3.3 -1.3 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2023 57   @ Xavier W 78-76 16%     4 - 3 +14.1 +14.2 -0.1
  Nov 29, 2023 349   @ Detroit Mercy W 65-50 88%     5 - 3 +3.7 -10.5 +15.2
  Dec 02, 2023 164   Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-98 66%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -23.7 +1.5 -24.5
  Dec 06, 2023 140   Toledo L 68-69 59%     5 - 5 -1.9 -7.6 +5.7
  Dec 08, 2023 324   @ Eastern Michigan W 77-63 80%     6 - 5 +6.5 +5.2 +2.0
  Dec 18, 2023 18   @ Michigan St. L 62-79 8%     6 - 6 +0.1 +9.7 -12.4
  Dec 20, 2023 44   @ Dayton L 67-91 13%     6 - 7 -10.5 +7.0 -20.7
  Dec 28, 2023 197   @ Cleveland St. L 67-75 54%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -7.5 -12.3 +5.5
  Dec 31, 2023 141   @ Youngstown St. W 88-81 39%     7 - 8 1 - 2 +11.3 +17.8 -6.5
  Jan 04, 2024 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 100-95 75%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -0.6 +7.1 -8.4
  Jan 06, 2024 242   Green Bay W 79-73 78%     9 - 8 3 - 2 -0.7 +6.7 -7.1
  Jan 10, 2024 194   Northern Kentucky W 70-65 OT 71%     10 - 8 4 - 2 +0.7 -12.5 +12.6
  Jan 13, 2024 361   @ IUPUI W 88-66 93%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +7.2 +8.7 -1.6
  Jan 17, 2024 141   Youngstown St. W 70-67 59%     12 - 8 6 - 2 +2.1 +2.3 +0.0
  Jan 25, 2024 242   @ Green Bay L 59-69 61%     12 - 9 6 - 3 -11.5 -6.5 -6.4
  Jan 27, 2024 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 91-87 2OT 57%     13 - 9 7 - 3 +3.6 -0.6 +3.5
  Feb 01, 2024 305   Robert Morris W 87-72 87%     14 - 9 8 - 3 +4.3 +15.3 -9.7
  Feb 03, 2024 197   Cleveland St. W 83-71 72%     15 - 9 9 - 3 +7.4 +14.3 -5.7
  Feb 08, 2024 194   @ Northern Kentucky L 89-99 OT 52%     15 - 10 9 - 4 -9.1 +8.0 -16.0
  Feb 10, 2024 156   @ Wright St. W 74-60 44%     16 - 10 10 - 4 +17.0 -0.1 +17.7
  Feb 14, 2024 164   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 71-63 46%     17 - 10 11 - 4 +10.5 +6.4 +4.8
  Feb 17, 2024 361   IUPUI W 107-59 97%     18 - 10 12 - 4 +28.0 +29.5 +0.4
  Feb 22, 2024 305   @ Robert Morris W 63-43 75%     19 - 10 13 - 4 +14.5 -9.8 +25.4
  Feb 25, 2024 156   Wright St. L 75-96 64%     19 - 11 13 - 5 -23.2 -11.4 -10.0
  Mar 02, 2024 349   Detroit Mercy W 75-70 94%     20 - 11 14 - 5 -11.5 +6.6 -17.2
  Mar 07, 2024 164   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-65 66%     21 - 11 +7.3 +1.9 +5.4
  Mar 11, 2024 197   Cleveland St. W 74-71 63%     22 - 11 +0.9 -3.6 +4.4
  Mar 12, 2024 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-76 67%     23 - 11 +4.0 +6.8 -2.7
  Mar 21, 2024 16   Kentucky L 76-89 11%    
Projected Record 23 - 12 14 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.8 0.2 21.8 72.1 6.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.2 21.8 72.1 6.0