Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#220
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#217
Pace69.6#136
Improvement+2.4#84

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#217
First Shot+0.6#162
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#296
Layup/Dunks+0.4#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#250
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement-0.5#210

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#225
First Shot-1.5#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#208
Layups/Dunks-3.7#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#129
Freethrows+0.6#154
Improvement+2.9#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 411 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 348   @ Buffalo W 70-56 77%     1 - 0 +3.1 -6.8 +10.1
  Nov 14, 2023 13   @ Alabama L 46-102 3%     1 - 1 -37.3 -22.3 -15.7
  Nov 16, 2023 248   Nicholls St. L 97-102 3OT 65%     1 - 2 -11.9 -4.6 -6.1
  Nov 17, 2023 276   Denver W 82-75 70%     2 - 2 -1.4 +6.3 -7.3
  Nov 19, 2023 292   SIU Edwardsville W 86-74 74%     3 - 2 +2.3 +18.4 -14.7
  Nov 25, 2023 60   @ Maryland L 55-68 9%     3 - 3 -1.1 -1.9 -0.8
  Nov 30, 2023 207   @ Jacksonville St. L 52-70 38%     3 - 4 -17.8 -7.0 -15.0
  Dec 06, 2023 211   @ Mercer W 83-62 39%     4 - 4 +21.0 +9.1 +11.7
  Dec 21, 2023 328   Alabama A&M W 83-67 84%     5 - 4 +2.2 -1.9 +2.3
  Dec 30, 2023 289   @ Old Dominion W 61-59 54%     6 - 4 1 - 0 -2.1 -14.3 +12.1
  Jan 04, 2024 86   Appalachian St. L 84-91 OT 25%     6 - 5 1 - 1 -2.9 +5.6 -7.8
  Jan 06, 2024 216   Georgia St. L 76-90 60%     6 - 6 1 - 2 -19.5 -3.2 -15.8
  Jan 11, 2024 64   @ James Madison L 55-89 10%     6 - 7 1 - 3 -22.6 -14.1 -7.9
  Jan 13, 2024 236   @ Marshall W 91-85 43%     7 - 7 2 - 3 +4.9 +8.2 -4.0
  Jan 18, 2024 131   Troy W 74-71 39%     8 - 7 3 - 3 +2.9 +1.2 +1.7
  Jan 20, 2024 153   Louisiana L 79-88 46%     8 - 8 3 - 4 -10.9 +4.7 -15.4
  Jan 25, 2024 291   @ Louisiana Monroe L 66-80 56%     8 - 9 3 - 5 -18.4 -12.3 -5.4
  Jan 27, 2024 131   @ Troy L 79-83 22%     8 - 10 3 - 6 +1.1 +9.3 -8.2
  Feb 01, 2024 187   @ Texas St. L 66-74 33%     8 - 11 3 - 7 -6.5 -3.3 -3.2
  Feb 03, 2024 153   @ Louisiana L 60-80 27%     8 - 12 3 - 8 -16.7 -10.1 -6.7
  Feb 07, 2024 259   Georgia Southern W 78-65 67%     9 - 12 4 - 8 +5.3 -0.9 +6.2
  Feb 10, 2024 306   Northern Illinois W 75-66 77%     10 - 12 -1.8 +2.8 -3.8
  Feb 15, 2024 187   Texas St. W 72-55 53%     11 - 12 5 - 8 +13.3 +7.4 +7.6
  Feb 17, 2024 133   Arkansas St. L 73-76 40%     11 - 13 5 - 9 -3.3 +1.0 -4.5
  Feb 22, 2024 230   @ Southern Miss W 83-64 42%     12 - 13 6 - 9 +18.1 +2.8 +13.3
  Feb 24, 2024 133   @ Arkansas St. L 78-95 23%     12 - 14 6 - 10 -12.1 +0.9 -12.5
  Feb 28, 2024 230   Southern Miss W 73-70 62%     13 - 14 7 - 10 -3.1 -3.4 +0.3
  Mar 01, 2024 291   Louisiana Monroe W 80-69 74%     14 - 14 8 - 10 +1.4 +9.4 -7.2
  Mar 07, 2024 259   Georgia Southern L 71-76 58%     14 - 15 -10.1 -11.6 +1.9
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%