Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#246
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#284
Pace72.7#69
Improvement-1.4#251

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#187
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#89
Layup/Dunks-2.9#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement-3.3#331

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#293
First Shot-3.5#293
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#228
Layups/Dunks-7.8#359
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#12
Freethrows+0.9#125
Improvement+1.9#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 72 - 14
Quad 46 - 78 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-73 37%     0 - 1 -1.7 +7.0 -8.9
  Nov 14, 2023 52   @ Utah St. L 84-93 7%     0 - 2 +3.7 +11.6 -7.4
  Nov 21, 2023 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 53-67 14%     0 - 3 -6.3 -9.5 +1.8
  Nov 22, 2023 187   Texas St. W 74-67 38%     1 - 3 +5.9 +6.7 -0.5
  Nov 29, 2023 195   California Baptist L 66-91 51%     1 - 4 -29.4 -8.5 -20.6
  Dec 02, 2023 119   @ Seattle L 63-73 17%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -4.3 -6.9 +3.0
  Dec 05, 2023 47   @ Utah L 86-88 6%     1 - 6 +11.3 +15.7 -4.3
  Dec 09, 2023 254   Idaho St. W 82-74 63%     2 - 6 +0.4 +5.0 -4.6
  Dec 16, 2023 311   @ Northern Arizona L 74-76 56%     2 - 7 -7.9 -3.7 -4.1
  Dec 19, 2023 214   @ Montana St. L 88-89 OT 35%     2 - 8 -1.2 +5.8 -6.9
  Dec 22, 2023 265   Middle Tennessee W 69-63 64%     3 - 8 -2.0 -0.3 -1.3
  Jan 04, 2024 59   Grand Canyon L 75-96 15%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -14.2 +2.7 -16.2
  Jan 06, 2024 169   @ Utah Valley L 62-80 26%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -15.6 -6.1 -9.4
  Jan 13, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin L 82-84 45%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -5.0 +10.1 -15.1
  Jan 18, 2024 283   Utah Tech W 75-65 67%     4 - 11 1 - 4 +1.1 -7.4 +7.6
  Jan 20, 2024 195   @ California Baptist L 76-83 31%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -6.2 +4.8 -11.0
  Jan 25, 2024 134   @ Tarleton St. W 73-70 19%     5 - 12 2 - 5 +7.9 +4.2 +3.7
  Jan 27, 2024 204   @ Abilene Christian W 82-67 33%     6 - 12 3 - 5 +15.3 +11.5 +3.9
  Feb 01, 2024 112   Texas Arlington L 68-76 31%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -7.0 -9.7 +3.3
  Feb 03, 2024 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-59 82%     7 - 13 4 - 6 +6.1 -6.8 +11.0
  Feb 08, 2024 283   @ Utah Tech L 68-70 48%     7 - 14 4 - 7 -5.7 -6.9 +1.3
  Feb 10, 2024 59   @ Grand Canyon L 65-94 7%     7 - 15 4 - 8 -17.0 -7.3 -7.3
  Feb 15, 2024 119   Seattle L 68-78 32%     7 - 16 4 - 9 -9.5 -1.7 -7.8
  Feb 17, 2024 169   Utah Valley L 75-78 45%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -5.8 +7.2 -13.1
  Feb 22, 2024 112   @ Texas Arlington L 85-90 16%     7 - 18 4 - 11 +1.2 +10.6 -9.1
  Feb 29, 2024 204   Abilene Christian L 68-77 53%     7 - 19 4 - 12 -13.9 -2.7 -11.6
  Mar 02, 2024 134   Tarleton St. L 83-88 35%     7 - 20 4 - 13 -5.3 +7.2 -12.4
  Mar 07, 2024 170   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-87 27%     7 - 21 4 - 14 -24.8 -12.6 -10.7
  Mar 09, 2024 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-59 67%     8 - 21 5 - 14 +0.3 -3.2 +4.1
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%