Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#293
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#274
Pace70.0#129
Improvement-2.0#274

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#299
First Shot-2.9#263
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#306
Layup/Dunks+1.3#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#287
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#270
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement-2.0#284

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#239
First Shot+0.9#146
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#352
Layups/Dunks+0.9#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#29
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#118
Freethrows-4.0#356
Improvement+0.0#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 414 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2023 286   @ Portland W 75-65 38%     1 - 0 +6.1 -2.5 +8.5
  Nov 17, 2023 54   @ Oregon L 67-92 5%     1 - 1 -12.7 -1.3 -11.0
  Nov 24, 2023 211   Mercer L 59-60 33%     1 - 2 -3.6 -11.8 +8.1
  Nov 25, 2023 310   SE Louisiana W 91-77 55%     2 - 2 +5.6 +15.8 -10.1
  Nov 29, 2023 328   @ Alabama A&M L 83-85 OT 56%     2 - 3 -10.6 -1.2 -9.2
  Dec 02, 2023 222   Austin Peay W 69-65 44%     3 - 3 -1.7 -8.8 +7.3
  Dec 10, 2023 168   @ Lipscomb L 71-78 18%     3 - 4 -4.6 -6.6 +2.1
  Dec 13, 2023 148   @ Liberty L 52-74 15%     3 - 5 -18.2 -14.8 -5.5
  Dec 19, 2023 46   @ Indiana St. L 69-90 4%     3 - 6 -7.6 -3.0 -3.7
  Dec 28, 2023 215   Tennessee Martin L 75-91 44%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -21.5 -8.0 -12.2
  Dec 30, 2023 193   Arkansas Little Rock W 90-82 39%     4 - 7 1 - 1 +3.7 +9.2 -5.9
  Jan 04, 2024 331   @ Southern Indiana L 67-69 57%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -10.8 -10.1 -0.7
  Jan 06, 2024 128   @ Morehead St. L 68-78 13%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -4.8 +0.6 -5.9
  Jan 13, 2024 356   Lindenwood W 75-60 85%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -3.2 -7.7 +4.0
  Jan 18, 2024 334   Tennessee Tech W 85-53 75%     6 - 9 3 - 3 +17.9 +17.0 +4.9
  Jan 20, 2024 279   @ Western Illinois W 58-57 36%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -2.3 -5.1 +2.9
  Jan 27, 2024 321   @ Eastern Illinois W 64-60 48%     8 - 9 5 - 3 -2.7 -6.5 +4.0
  Feb 01, 2024 128   Morehead St. L 49-68 25%     8 - 10 5 - 4 -19.0 -18.1 -3.3
  Feb 03, 2024 331   Southern Indiana W 79-74 75%     9 - 10 6 - 4 -9.0 -0.3 -8.8
  Feb 08, 2024 356   @ Lindenwood W 65-55 71%     10 - 10 7 - 4 -3.0 -7.4 +5.2
  Feb 10, 2024 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 77-74 68%     11 - 10 8 - 4 -8.8 +6.9 -15.5
  Feb 13, 2024 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 50-70 57%     11 - 11 8 - 5 -28.9 -23.5 -6.4
  Feb 17, 2024 279   Western Illinois L 61-68 55%     11 - 12 8 - 6 -15.5 -8.2 -7.9
  Feb 22, 2024 321   Eastern Illinois W 78-73 68%     12 - 12 9 - 6 -6.9 +3.5 -10.2
  Feb 24, 2024 292   SIU Edwardsville W 76-71 60%     13 - 12 10 - 6 -4.7 -8.1 +2.9
  Feb 29, 2024 193   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 60-85 22%     13 - 13 10 - 7 -24.1 -14.4 -9.3
  Mar 02, 2024 215   @ Tennessee Martin L 87-96 26%     13 - 14 10 - 8 -9.3 +7.7 -16.5
  Mar 06, 2024 331   Southern Indiana W 78-64 66%     14 - 14 +2.6 +2.1 +0.7
  Mar 07, 2024 279   Western Illinois L 59-61 45%     14 - 15 -7.9 -14.8 +6.9
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%