Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#150
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#146
Pace58.6#357
Improvement+2.6#71

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#227
First Shot-5.3#315
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#17
Layup/Dunks+0.6#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#307
Freethrows-1.4#274
Improvement-1.3#255

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#93
First Shot+3.3#69
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#225
Layups/Dunks+0.4#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#29
Freethrows-0.8#244
Improvement+3.8#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 35 - 46 - 11
Quad 413 - 319 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 29   @ Colorado L 57-75 10%     0 - 1 -2.6 -4.9 +0.9
  Nov 09, 2023 360   @ Coppin St. W 70-49 92%     1 - 1 +6.3 +4.2 +4.9
  Nov 12, 2023 305   Robert Morris W 66-62 86%     2 - 1 -6.7 -0.1 -5.8
  Nov 16, 2023 2   Houston L 49-65 4%     2 - 2 +5.0 -4.6 +7.3
  Nov 17, 2023 32   Wake Forest L 61-71 15%     2 - 3 +2.4 +4.2 -3.7
  Nov 19, 2023 78   North Texas L 39-65 28%     2 - 4 -18.9 -22.5 -0.6
  Nov 26, 2023 333   Morgan St. W 67-58 91%     3 - 4 -5.1 -3.3 -0.6
  Dec 01, 2023 139   South Dakota St. L 48-61 48%     3 - 5 -11.3 -14.6 +0.6
  Dec 06, 2023 97   Massachusetts W 81-71 42%     4 - 5 +13.2 +14.8 -0.9
  Dec 09, 2023 268   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-73 65%     5 - 5 +13.0 +16.0 -2.4
  Dec 16, 2023 183   Bryant L 93-101 2OT 58%     5 - 6 -9.0 -2.3 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2023 248   Nicholls St. W 65-55 78%     6 - 6 +3.1 -2.0 +6.7
  Jan 04, 2024 200   @ Monmouth L 43-51 52%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -7.5 -27.1 +19.0
  Jan 06, 2024 130   UNC Wilmington W 67-64 55%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +2.9 +3.9 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2024 174   Stony Brook W 73-64 OT 66%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +5.8 +1.0 +5.1
  Jan 13, 2024 250   @ Northeastern L 59-67 61%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -9.9 +0.7 -12.8
  Jan 18, 2024 100   @ College of Charleston W 82-78 26%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +11.8 +14.0 -2.1
  Jan 20, 2024 309   Campbell W 77-43 87%     10 - 8 4 - 2 +23.1 +5.8 +20.7
  Jan 25, 2024 136   Drexel W 70-67 57%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +2.3 +2.6 +0.0
  Jan 27, 2024 181   @ Delaware W 67-56 48%     12 - 8 6 - 2 +12.6 +0.7 +12.8
  Feb 01, 2024 250   Northeastern W 83-76 78%     13 - 8 7 - 2 -0.1 +6.9 -6.9
  Feb 03, 2024 122   @ Hofstra L 56-59 33%     13 - 9 7 - 3 +2.5 -3.4 +5.4
  Feb 08, 2024 181   Delaware L 62-74 67%     13 - 10 7 - 4 -15.6 -3.8 -13.3
  Feb 12, 2024 318   Elon W 80-55 88%     14 - 10 8 - 4 +13.2 +7.8 +7.9
  Feb 15, 2024 313   @ William & Mary W 61-52 76%     15 - 10 9 - 4 +2.7 -4.5 +8.9
  Feb 17, 2024 338   @ Hampton L 61-67 84%     15 - 11 9 - 5 -15.6 -11.6 -4.3
  Feb 22, 2024 200   Monmouth W 80-61 71%     16 - 11 10 - 5 +14.3 +12.5 +3.8
  Feb 24, 2024 100   College of Charleston L 56-72 44%     16 - 12 10 - 6 -13.4 -9.7 -6.1
  Feb 29, 2024 347   @ N.C. A&T W 84-58 87%     17 - 12 11 - 6 +15.2 +4.4 +10.1
  Mar 02, 2024 130   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-75 35%     17 - 13 11 - 7 -5.9 -1.4 -6.0
  Mar 09, 2024 313   William & Mary W 67-56 83%     18 - 13 +2.1 -0.4 +4.2
  Mar 10, 2024 130   UNC Wilmington W 66-56 45%     19 - 13 +12.5 +1.1 +12.9
  Mar 11, 2024 100   College of Charleston L 56-61 35%     19 - 14 +0.2 -12.6 +12.4
Projected Record 19 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%