Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#131
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#152
Pace72.6#70
Improvement+3.4#52

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#157
First Shot-1.6#223
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#52
Layup/Dunks-1.2#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#243
Freethrows+4.8#3
Improvement+1.8#86

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#125
First Shot+1.9#115
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks-1.3#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#96
Freethrows-1.4#278
Improvement+1.5#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 33 - 84 - 10
Quad 413 - 217 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 143   @ Ohio L 70-88 44%     0 - 1 -14.0 -7.0 -5.6
  Nov 10, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 80-81 2OT 42%     0 - 2 +3.5 -8.7 +12.4
  Nov 20, 2023 138   Sam Houston St. L 86-88 OT 62%     0 - 3 -2.8 +1.1 -3.6
  Nov 24, 2023 282   Grambling St. W 80-67 85%     1 - 3 +4.2 +3.2 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2023 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-77 59%     1 - 4 -0.9 +2.2 -3.1
  Dec 01, 2023 292   SIU Edwardsville W 83-60 87%     2 - 4 +13.3 +12.2 +2.9
  Dec 09, 2023 44   @ Dayton L 70-82 15%     2 - 5 +1.5 +5.5 -4.8
  Dec 19, 2023 83   @ Mississippi L 53-74 25%     2 - 6 -11.6 -16.8 +5.0
  Dec 21, 2023 208   Eastern Kentucky W 88-81 76%     3 - 6 +1.9 +5.8 -4.3
  Dec 30, 2023 307   @ Coastal Carolina W 72-65 78%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +1.3 +1.0 +0.8
  Jan 04, 2024 289   Old Dominion W 86-73 86%     5 - 6 2 - 0 +3.7 +0.5 +1.7
  Jan 06, 2024 86   Appalachian St. W 66-62 44%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +8.1 -1.4 +9.6
  Jan 10, 2024 153   Louisiana W 79-73 66%     7 - 6 4 - 0 +4.1 +1.9 +1.9
  Jan 13, 2024 230   Southern Miss W 82-56 79%     8 - 6 5 - 0 +19.9 +10.2 +10.5
  Jan 18, 2024 220   @ South Alabama L 71-74 61%     8 - 7 5 - 1 -3.4 -2.7 -0.7
  Jan 20, 2024 230   @ Southern Miss L 63-64 63%     8 - 8 5 - 2 -1.9 -3.0 +1.0
  Jan 24, 2024 187   Texas St. W 78-65 72%     9 - 8 6 - 2 +9.3 +6.9 +2.5
  Jan 27, 2024 220   South Alabama W 83-79 78%     10 - 8 7 - 2 -1.6 +7.2 -8.8
  Feb 01, 2024 259   @ Georgia Southern W 84-63 68%     11 - 8 8 - 2 +18.5 +9.4 +9.5
  Feb 03, 2024 216   @ Georgia St. W 78-74 61%     12 - 8 9 - 2 +3.7 +4.3 -0.6
  Feb 07, 2024 236   Marshall W 82-66 80%     13 - 8 10 - 2 +9.7 +6.2 +3.2
  Feb 10, 2024 173   Kent St. W 78-68 71%     14 - 8 +6.8 +2.4 +4.3
  Feb 15, 2024 133   Arkansas St. L 71-82 61%     14 - 9 10 - 3 -11.3 -2.9 -8.8
  Feb 17, 2024 291   Louisiana Monroe W 85-57 87%     15 - 9 11 - 3 +18.4 +5.1 +12.3
  Feb 22, 2024 133   @ Arkansas St. L 71-79 41%     15 - 10 11 - 4 -3.1 -5.4 +2.5
  Feb 24, 2024 291   @ Louisiana Monroe W 84-78 75%     16 - 10 12 - 4 +1.6 +4.5 -3.3
  Feb 28, 2024 153   @ Louisiana W 87-73 47%     17 - 10 13 - 4 +17.3 +9.5 +6.6
  Mar 01, 2024 187   @ Texas St. L 79-82 OT 54%     17 - 11 13 - 5 -1.5 +1.9 -3.1
  Mar 09, 2024 187   Texas St. L 68-74 64%     17 - 12 -7.1 -1.4 -5.8
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%