Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#166
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#138
Pace69.4#141
Improvement+2.6#72

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#155
First Shot+0.6#165
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#165
Layup/Dunks-2.2#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#113
Freethrows+3.5#18
Improvement+0.6#148

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#201
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#209
Layups/Dunks-5.4#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#55
Freethrows-1.5#281
Improvement+1.9#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 37 - 68 - 10
Quad 411 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 117   @ Michigan L 74-99 28%     0 - 1 -19.1 +1.2 -19.7
  Nov 11, 2023 130   UNC Wilmington L 66-83 50%     0 - 2 -17.1 -12.9 -3.6
  Nov 24, 2023 168   Lipscomb L 75-86 50%     0 - 3 -11.2 -7.7 -2.6
  Nov 25, 2023 199   Wofford W 85-82 OT 58%     1 - 3 +0.9 -3.9 +4.4
  Nov 26, 2023 127   Western Kentucky W 77-67 40%     2 - 3 +12.6 +8.2 +4.6
  Dec 05, 2023 264   @ Kennesaw St. L 76-79 OT 60%     2 - 4 -5.8 -7.4 +1.9
  Dec 09, 2023 121   @ Western Carolina L 63-78 29%     2 - 5 -9.3 -2.6 -7.9
  Dec 13, 2023 3   Auburn L 62-87 4%     2 - 6 -4.0 +0.3 -4.5
  Dec 18, 2023 304   South Carolina St. W 79-75 84%     3 - 6 -6.6 +4.9 -11.3
  Dec 21, 2023 86   Appalachian St. W 76-63 26%     4 - 6 +19.7 +8.2 +11.4
  Dec 23, 2023 264   Kennesaw St. W 79-70 77%     5 - 6 +1.0 -3.5 +4.1
  Dec 29, 2023 99   @ UAB L 85-90 22%     5 - 7 +2.8 +14.3 -11.5
  Jan 03, 2024 290   South Carolina Upstate W 95-67 81%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +18.6 +14.8 +2.8
  Jan 06, 2024 273   @ Presbyterian W 84-80 62%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +0.8 +13.1 -12.1
  Jan 10, 2024 124   @ High Point L 79-84 30%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +0.4 -2.7 +3.5
  Jan 13, 2024 163   Longwood W 65-61 59%     8 - 8 3 - 1 +1.5 -5.4 +7.0
  Jan 18, 2024 184   @ Winthrop W 82-77 43%     9 - 8 4 - 1 +6.6 +6.2 +0.1
  Jan 24, 2024 238   Radford W 81-69 73%     10 - 8 5 - 1 +5.6 +8.9 -2.4
  Jan 27, 2024 316   @ Charleston Southern W 71-65 73%     11 - 8 6 - 1 -0.4 +2.7 -2.7
  Jan 31, 2024 212   @ Gardner-Webb L 73-80 50%     11 - 9 6 - 2 -7.1 +1.9 -9.0
  Feb 03, 2024 184   Winthrop W 82-78 63%     12 - 9 7 - 2 +0.4 +4.0 -3.7
  Feb 07, 2024 124   High Point W 86-81 49%     13 - 9 8 - 2 +5.2 +3.5 +1.4
  Feb 10, 2024 290   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-64 66%     14 - 9 9 - 2 +8.8 +1.8 +6.8
  Feb 14, 2024 273   Presbyterian W 71-69 78%     15 - 9 10 - 2 -6.4 +0.6 -6.8
  Feb 17, 2024 316   Charleston Southern W 86-55 86%     16 - 9 11 - 2 +19.4 +7.4 +10.9
  Feb 21, 2024 163   @ Longwood L 75-80 39%     16 - 10 11 - 3 -2.3 +6.8 -9.4
  Feb 24, 2024 212   Gardner-Webb L 77-78 69%     16 - 11 11 - 4 -6.3 +5.1 -11.4
  Mar 02, 2024 238   @ Radford W 71-62 54%     17 - 11 12 - 4 +7.8 +5.5 +3.7
  Mar 08, 2024 316   Charleston Southern W 60-55 80%     18 - 11 -4.0 -10.1 +6.4
  Mar 09, 2024 212   Gardner-Webb W 83-72 OT 60%     19 - 11 +8.3 +1.3 +5.9
  Mar 10, 2024 163   Longwood L 59-85 49%     19 - 12 -25.9 -10.2 -17.2
Projected Record 19 - 12 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%