Pre-tourney Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#300
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#295
Pace57.0#361
Improvement+2.4#80

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#337
First Shot-5.7#322
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#284
Layup/Dunks-4.5#327
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#85
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement-0.2#193

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#184
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#84
Layups/Dunks-1.5#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#218
Freethrows+0.3#171
Improvement+2.6#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four100.0% n/a n/a
First Round42.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 33 - 33 - 5
Quad 411 - 1014 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 185   @ Fordham L 64-68 OT 19%     0 - 1 -2.5 -3.8 +1.2
  Nov 14, 2023 210   @ Rhode Island L 53-69 23%     0 - 2 -16.0 -14.8 -3.1
  Nov 18, 2023 58   @ Seton Hall L 51-72 4%     0 - 3 -9.0 -8.9 -2.7
  Nov 25, 2023 335   NJIT W 64-51 74%     1 - 3 -1.3 -6.4 +7.0
  Nov 28, 2023 50   @ Providence L 52-86 4%     1 - 4 -21.1 -11.9 -9.2
  Dec 02, 2023 174   @ Stony Brook W 60-59 18%     2 - 4 +2.9 -6.4 +9.4
  Dec 06, 2023 360   @ Coppin St. W 62-59 75%     3 - 4 -11.7 -9.3 -2.2
  Dec 10, 2023 296   Boston University L 59-73 59%     3 - 5 -23.9 -9.5 -16.2
  Dec 17, 2023 175   @ Fairfield L 51-63 19%     3 - 6 -10.2 -17.0 +5.4
  Dec 30, 2023 339   @ Manhattan W 68-56 58%     4 - 6 +2.3 +0.7 +3.2
  Jan 04, 2024 350   @ LIU Brooklyn L 67-69 64%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -13.4 -5.2 -8.2
  Jan 06, 2024 355   St. Francis (PA) W 71-56 83%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -3.0 -1.4 +0.4
  Jan 15, 2024 358   Stonehill W 64-54 85%     6 - 7 2 - 1 -9.0 -6.0 -1.4
  Jan 19, 2024 237   @ Merrimack W 71-65 27%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +4.8 +9.9 -4.5
  Jan 21, 2024 298   @ Sacred Heart L 61-66 40%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -9.9 -6.8 -3.8
  Jan 25, 2024 237   Merrimack L 44-60 45%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -22.4 -17.9 -7.7
  Jan 27, 2024 277   @ Central Connecticut St. L 68-69 OT 33%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -4.3 +1.2 -5.6
  Feb 01, 2024 308   Le Moyne W 80-57 62%     8 - 10 4 - 4 +12.1 +11.3 +3.3
  Feb 03, 2024 358   @ Stonehill L 61-71 72%     8 - 11 4 - 5 -23.8 -8.0 -17.2
  Feb 08, 2024 326   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 66-62 53%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -4.4 -3.4 -0.6
  Feb 15, 2024 355   @ St. Francis (PA) W 65-63 OT 69%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -10.8 -11.7 +1.0
  Feb 17, 2024 298   Sacred Heart L 53-63 60%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -20.1 -18.9 -2.6
  Feb 22, 2024 277   Central Connecticut St. L 72-73 53%     10 - 13 6 - 7 -9.4 -2.3 -7.2
  Feb 25, 2024 350   LIU Brooklyn W 72-57 80%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -1.5 -1.3 +0.9
  Feb 29, 2024 308   @ Le Moyne L 56-70 42%     11 - 14 7 - 8 -19.7 -16.8 -3.5
  Mar 02, 2024 326   Fairleigh Dickinson L 54-57 72%     11 - 15 7 - 9 -16.6 -18.5 +1.6
  Mar 06, 2024 298   @ Sacred Heart W 60-57 40%     12 - 15 -1.9 -6.2 +4.8
  Mar 09, 2024 277   @ Central Connecticut St. W 66-56 33%     13 - 15 +6.7 +0.9 +7.1
  Mar 12, 2024 237   @ Merrimack W 54-47 27%     14 - 15 +5.8 -3.7 +10.9
  Mar 19, 2024 275   Howard L 64-66 43%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0