Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#121
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#121
Pace67.3#214
Improvement+1.5#117

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#132
First Shot+2.2#123
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#213
Layup/Dunks+1.4#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#140
Freethrows-1.5#279
Improvement+0.5#153

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#135
First Shot+0.9#147
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#140
Layups/Dunks+0.8#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#30
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement+1.1#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 4
Quad 35 - 67 - 10
Quad 412 - 019 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 110   @ Notre Dame W 71-61 37%     1 - 0 +16.5 +8.6 +8.4
  Nov 13, 2023 265   @ Middle Tennessee W 66-64 71%     2 - 0 -0.8 -0.3 -0.4
  Nov 18, 2023 75   McNeese St. W 76-74 44%     3 - 0 +6.7 +15.2 -8.3
  Nov 26, 2023 247   North Alabama W 81-63 82%     4 - 0 +11.2 +4.3 +7.2
  Nov 28, 2023 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 69-65 87%     5 - 0 -4.9 -5.7 +0.9
  Dec 02, 2023 212   @ Gardner-Webb L 77-82 62%     5 - 1 -5.1 +0.4 -5.1
  Dec 05, 2023 124   @ High Point L 71-97 41%     5 - 2 -20.6 -6.4 -13.3
  Dec 09, 2023 166   UNC Asheville W 78-63 71%     6 - 2 +12.3 +8.7 +4.7
  Dec 16, 2023 290   @ South Carolina Upstate W 70-53 76%     7 - 2 +12.8 +0.8 +13.1
  Dec 19, 2023 167   @ Vanderbilt W 63-62 52%     8 - 2 +3.4 -9.4 +12.9
  Jan 03, 2024 267   @ The Citadel W 80-71 72%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +6.1 +13.1 -6.2
  Jan 06, 2024 199   Wofford W 70-66 77%     10 - 2 2 - 0 -0.7 -2.2 +1.7
  Jan 10, 2024 186   @ East Tennessee St. W 80-66 56%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +15.5 +8.1 +7.2
  Jan 13, 2024 211   @ Mercer W 64-52 62%     12 - 2 4 - 0 +12.0 -4.1 +17.0
  Jan 16, 2024 90   Samford L 71-75 47%     12 - 3 4 - 1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1
  Jan 20, 2024 144   @ Furman L 62-65 46%     12 - 4 4 - 2 +1.0 -7.5 +8.3
  Jan 24, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro L 82-85 OT 68%     12 - 5 4 - 3 -4.9 +4.3 -9.1
  Jan 27, 2024 359   VMI W 102-77 97%     13 - 5 5 - 3 +5.6 +5.5 -4.3
  Jan 31, 2024 147   Chattanooga L 85-91 67%     13 - 6 5 - 4 -7.4 +9.2 -16.6
  Feb 03, 2024 199   @ Wofford L 86-88 OT 60%     13 - 7 5 - 5 -1.5 +7.0 -8.4
  Feb 07, 2024 267   The Citadel W 71-64 85%     14 - 7 6 - 5 -1.1 -1.0 +0.4
  Feb 10, 2024 211   Mercer W 79-46 79%     15 - 7 7 - 5 +27.8 +3.7 +24.3
  Feb 14, 2024 90   @ Samford L 62-88 28%     15 - 8 7 - 6 -17.0 -6.8 -10.5
  Feb 17, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. W 70-65 74%     16 - 8 8 - 6 +1.3 +5.1 -3.2
  Feb 21, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-71 49%     16 - 9 8 - 7 -2.7 +0.4 -3.8
  Feb 24, 2024 359   @ VMI W 84-51 94%     17 - 9 9 - 7 +18.8 -1.5 +16.6
  Feb 28, 2024 144   Furman W 85-77 66%     18 - 9 10 - 7 +6.8 +11.9 -4.9
  Mar 02, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga W 82-63 47%     19 - 9 11 - 7 +22.8 +16.4 +8.2
  Mar 09, 2024 144   Furman L 76-79 OT 57%     19 - 10 -1.6 +1.0 -2.6
Projected Record 19 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%