Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#243
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#238
Pace67.0#212
Improvement+2.4#91

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#217
First Shot-5.0#309
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#20
Layup/Dunks-3.0#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#213
Freethrows-4.3#360
Improvement-0.1#196

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#257
First Shot-4.2#307
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#65
Layups/Dunks-0.7#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#273
Freethrows-0.6#228
Improvement+2.5#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 71 - 9
Quad 413 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2024 79   @ Stanford L 64-90 10%     0 - 1 -16.2 +5.1 -25.0
  Nov 14, 2024 288   @ Pacific W 60-57 51%     1 - 1 -1.8 -11.7 +10.1
  Nov 22, 2024 262   Incarnate Word W 75-74 64%     2 - 1 -7.2 +2.0 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2024 275   Eastern Michigan L 68-72 58%     2 - 2 -10.4 -8.8 -1.7
  Nov 27, 2024 283   @ Houston Christian W 74-71 49%     3 - 2 -1.3 +6.5 -7.5
  Dec 04, 2024 319   @ Oral Roberts L 76-83 59%     3 - 3 -13.8 -0.6 -13.4
  Dec 07, 2024 235   South Dakota W 95-82 59%     4 - 3 +6.2 +8.2 -2.9
  Dec 14, 2024 216   @ Pepperdine L 76-86 34%     4 - 4 -10.2 +1.0 -11.1
  Dec 21, 2024 303   @ Southern Utah W 83-75 54%     5 - 4 +2.4 +7.5 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2025 211   Idaho St. L 67-72 55%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -10.6 -6.0 -4.9
  Jan 04, 2025 285   Weber St. W 80-77 70%     6 - 5 1 - 1 -6.9 +7.6 -14.2
  Jan 09, 2025 155   @ Montana L 76-81 24%     6 - 6 1 - 2 -1.9 -0.8 -0.9
  Jan 11, 2025 186   @ Montana St. L 53-58 29%     6 - 7 1 - 3 -3.8 -19.9 +16.2
  Jan 16, 2025 336   Sacramento St. W 77-53 82%     7 - 7 2 - 3 +9.8 +0.1 +10.1
  Jan 18, 2025 200   Portland St. L 69-80 53%     7 - 8 2 - 4 -16.1 +1.2 -18.0
  Jan 23, 2025 290   @ Eastern Washington W 70-61 52%     8 - 8 3 - 4 +4.2 +1.0 +4.0
  Jan 25, 2025 267   @ Idaho W 80-72 46%     9 - 8 4 - 4 +4.7 +9.4 -3.9
  Feb 01, 2025 122   @ Northern Colorado L 69-87 18%     9 - 9 4 - 5 -12.9 -2.6 -10.5
  Feb 03, 2025 285   @ Weber St. L 73-77 50%     9 - 10 4 - 6 -8.4 -4.4 -3.8
  Feb 06, 2025 186   Montana St. W 69-64 49%     10 - 10 5 - 6 +0.7 +2.9 -1.5
  Feb 08, 2025 155   Montana L 80-83 42%     10 - 11 5 - 7 -5.4 +13.0 -18.7
  Feb 13, 2025 200   @ Portland St. L 46-58 32%     10 - 12 5 - 8 -11.6 -16.5 +3.1
  Feb 15, 2025 336   @ Sacramento St. W 65-61 66%     11 - 12 6 - 8 -4.7 -6.7 +2.2
  Feb 20, 2025 267   Idaho L 78-83 66%     11 - 13 6 - 9 -13.8 +0.6 -14.6
  Feb 22, 2025 290   Eastern Washington W 87-67 72%     12 - 13 7 - 9 +9.7 +17.4 -5.8
  Mar 01, 2025 122   Northern Colorado L 73-83 35%     12 - 14 7 - 10 -10.4 -1.9 -8.6
  Mar 03, 2025 211   @ Idaho St. W 82-79 34%     13 - 14 8 - 10 +2.9 +14.5 -11.4
  Mar 08, 2025 290   Eastern Washington W 66-53 62%     14 - 14 +5.4 -3.4 +10.2
  Mar 09, 2025 155   Montana L 65-74 32%     14 - 15 -8.6 -12.2 +3.9
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%