Pre-tourney Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#336
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#349
Pace64.0#289
Improvement-0.7#227

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#341
First Shot-5.7#322
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#279
Layup/Dunks-2.2#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows-2.5#318
Improvement+1.9#99

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#295
First Shot-2.6#257
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#301
Layups/Dunks+2.5#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#324
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement-2.5#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 80 - 12
Quad 44 - 134 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 259   @ Fresno St. L 57-64 20%     0 - 1 -9.5 -15.0 +5.4
  Nov 12, 2024 42   @ UC San Diego L 54-64 2%     0 - 2 +4.9 -4.0 +7.7
  Nov 16, 2024 115   Cal St. Northridge L 69-79 13%     0 - 3 -9.6 -3.2 -6.4
  Nov 24, 2024 108   @ California L 77-83 6%     0 - 4 +0.7 +4.5 -3.7
  Nov 27, 2024 296   @ Air Force W 63-61 27%     1 - 4 -3.0 -5.5 +2.7
  Nov 30, 2024 340   Mercyhurst L 60-66 63%     1 - 5 -20.9 -13.0 -8.6
  Dec 04, 2024 298   @ Denver L 59-80 27%     1 - 6 -26.1 -8.7 -19.7
  Dec 07, 2024 146   Nebraska Omaha L 60-70 18%     1 - 7 -11.9 -13.1 +0.7
  Dec 14, 2024 236   UC Davis L 62-69 33%     1 - 8 -14.0 -7.8 -6.5
  Dec 17, 2024 89   @ Oregon St. L 45-82 4%     1 - 9 -28.4 -25.3 -4.7
  Jan 04, 2025 200   Portland St. W 56-53 27%     2 - 9 1 - 0 -2.1 -7.0 +5.3
  Jan 09, 2025 267   Idaho L 67-80 40%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -21.8 -4.5 -19.0
  Jan 11, 2025 290   Eastern Washington L 54-65 46%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -21.3 -20.7 -1.4
  Jan 16, 2025 243   @ Northern Arizona L 53-77 18%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -25.7 -20.3 -5.8
  Jan 18, 2025 122   @ Northern Colorado L 64-68 7%     2 - 13 1 - 4 +1.1 -0.7 +1.4
  Jan 23, 2025 211   Idaho St. W 75-71 29%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -1.6 +2.3 -3.7
  Jan 25, 2025 285   Weber St. L 81-87 44%     3 - 14 2 - 5 -15.9 +6.8 -22.9
  Jan 30, 2025 186   @ Montana St. L 58-70 12%     3 - 15 2 - 6 -10.8 -10.8 -0.6
  Feb 01, 2025 155   @ Montana L 59-87 9%     3 - 16 2 - 7 -24.9 -7.3 -21.2
  Feb 06, 2025 290   @ Eastern Washington L 80-83 26%     3 - 17 2 - 8 -7.8 +7.7 -15.6
  Feb 08, 2025 267   @ Idaho L 76-78 22%     3 - 18 2 - 9 -5.3 -4.5 -0.7
  Feb 13, 2025 122   Northern Colorado L 61-77 15%     3 - 19 2 - 10 -16.4 -13.6 -2.9
  Feb 15, 2025 243   Northern Arizona L 61-65 34%     3 - 20 2 - 11 -11.2 -12.4 +1.0
  Feb 20, 2025 285   @ Weber St. W 80-77 25%     4 - 20 3 - 11 -1.4 +13.5 -14.5
  Feb 22, 2025 211   @ Idaho St. L 66-83 14%     4 - 21 3 - 12 -17.1 -4.9 -13.0
  Feb 27, 2025 155   Montana L 54-60 19%     4 - 22 3 - 13 -8.4 -14.8 +5.6
  Mar 01, 2025 186   Montana St. L 60-87 25%     4 - 23 3 - 14 -31.3 -8.7 -25.2
  Mar 03, 2025 200   @ Portland St. L 56-59 14%     4 - 24 3 - 15 -2.6 -11.0 +8.2
  Mar 08, 2025 285   Weber St. L 70-83 34%     4 - 25 -20.1 +1.2 -22.7
Projected Record 4 - 25 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%