Preseason Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#321
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.9#355
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#347
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.6% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 25.4% 36.6% 15.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.3% 42.5% 27.2%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.7% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 16.8% 11.5% 21.3%
First Four1.7% 2.0% 1.4%
First Round2.4% 3.5% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 411 - 1112 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 259   Albany L 70-71 46%    
  Nov 08, 2024 4   @ Duke L 49-79 0.3%   
  Nov 15, 2024 235   @ Marist L 55-63 22%    
  Nov 20, 2024 347   Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-66 71%    
  Nov 22, 2024 331   @ Manhattan L 63-65 44%    
  Dec 03, 2024 335   @ Le Moyne L 63-64 46%    
  Dec 08, 2024 172   Cornell L 67-73 32%    
  Dec 13, 2024 150   @ George Washington L 63-75 14%    
  Dec 22, 2024 318   Binghamton W 65-62 59%    
  Dec 29, 2024 232   Texas San Antonio L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 02, 2025 171   @ Colgate L 56-68 16%    
  Jan 05, 2025 266   @ Boston University L 58-65 28%    
  Jan 08, 2025 350   Loyola Maryland W 65-58 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 264   @ Lehigh L 63-70 29%    
  Jan 15, 2025 199   Lafayette L 58-62 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 266   Boston University L 61-62 47%    
  Jan 22, 2025 348   @ Holy Cross W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 26, 2025 258   Navy L 61-62 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 171   Colgate L 59-65 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 252   @ American L 57-64 27%    
  Feb 05, 2025 348   Holy Cross W 67-61 70%    
  Feb 08, 2025 268   Bucknell L 61-62 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 350   @ Loyola Maryland W 62-61 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 258   @ Navy L 58-65 28%    
  Feb 19, 2025 252   American L 60-61 45%    
  Feb 23, 2025 268   @ Bucknell L 58-65 29%    
  Feb 25, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 55-65 20%    
  Mar 01, 2025 264   Lehigh L 66-67 47%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 5.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 15.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.7 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.5 9th
10th 0.5 1.7 3.1 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 11.1 10th
Total 0.5 1.8 3.9 6.4 8.3 10.5 11.8 11.6 11.0 9.9 8.0 6.0 4.4 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 84.3% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 55.9% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.1
13-5 25.1% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 71.4% 71.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 57.1% 57.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 39.7% 39.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 30.3% 30.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.7% 18.8% 18.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4
13-5 2.9% 13.9% 13.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.5
12-6 4.4% 10.6% 10.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.9
11-7 6.0% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.6
10-8 8.0% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.5
9-9 9.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.6
8-10 11.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.8
7-11 11.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-13 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.5
4-14 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
3-15 6.4% 6.4
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.3 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%