Preseason Rankings
Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#264
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.9#52
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#236
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 16.9% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 43.8% 75.6% 42.0%
.500 or above in Conference 62.5% 81.5% 61.4%
Conference Champion 10.9% 21.6% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 1.6% 5.8%
First Four2.6% 1.4% 2.6%
First Round8.4% 16.2% 8.0%
Second Round0.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 42 - 8
Quad 412 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 60   @ Northwestern L 61-78 5%    
  Nov 06, 2024 101   @ Georgetown L 68-81 10%    
  Nov 12, 2024 230   @ Columbia L 74-79 34%    
  Nov 15, 2024 23   @ UCLA L 58-78 3%    
  Nov 26, 2024 354   @ St. Francis (PA) W 74-68 69%    
  Nov 30, 2024 235   Marist W 68-66 55%    
  Dec 04, 2024 216   Monmouth W 74-73 52%    
  Dec 07, 2024 59   @ Dayton L 61-78 7%    
  Dec 21, 2024 352   @ LIU Brooklyn W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 02, 2025 268   Bucknell W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 05, 2025 350   @ Loyola Maryland W 72-67 65%    
  Jan 08, 2025 171   @ Colgate L 67-75 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 321   Army W 70-63 71%    
  Jan 15, 2025 266   @ Boston University L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 350   Loyola Maryland W 75-64 81%    
  Jan 22, 2025 252   @ American L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 199   Lafayette L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 258   Navy W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 348   @ Holy Cross W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 03, 2025 171   Colgate L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 252   American W 70-67 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 258   @ Navy L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 348   Holy Cross W 77-67 80%    
  Feb 17, 2025 268   @ Bucknell L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 266   Boston University W 72-69 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 321   @ Army W 67-66 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.9 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.2 10.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.4 4.2 2.5 0.7 0.1 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.5 4.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 4.0 1.2 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.4 3.8 0.9 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 4.9 7.0 8.8 10.4 11.4 11.3 10.6 9.3 7.8 5.7 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 96.3% 1.7    1.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 79.9% 2.9    2.1 0.8 0.0
14-4 51.7% 2.9    1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.3% 1.8    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 6.7 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 57.4% 57.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 48.0% 48.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.8% 44.1% 44.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.6% 31.9% 31.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.4
14-4 5.7% 26.5% 26.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 4.2
13-5 7.8% 19.6% 19.6% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 6.3
12-6 9.3% 14.8% 14.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.0
11-7 10.6% 10.1% 10.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 9.5
10-8 11.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 10.6
9-9 11.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.9
8-10 10.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.2
7-11 8.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.6
6-12 7.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.9
5-13 4.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-14 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.7 4.4 90.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%