Preseason Rankings
Oakland
Horizon
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#146
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.4#246
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#140
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.5% 29.8% 18.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 12.9 13.9
.500 or above 67.8% 87.0% 64.3%
.500 or above in Conference 87.3% 94.3% 86.0%
Conference Champion 27.4% 40.8% 24.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four1.0% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round20.1% 29.6% 18.4%
Second Round2.7% 5.1% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Away) - 15.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 33 - 44 - 10
Quad 413 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 63   @ Boise St. L 64-75 16%    
  Nov 13, 2024 22   @ Illinois L 67-82 9%    
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Kansas L 63-84 3%    
  Nov 21, 2024 287   Eastern Michigan W 73-63 82%    
  Nov 30, 2024 168   @ Toledo L 74-76 43%    
  Dec 05, 2024 196   Wright St. W 81-75 68%    
  Dec 07, 2024 198   @ Youngstown St. L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 17, 2024 24   Michigan St. L 62-73 17%    
  Dec 19, 2024 213   @ Cleveland St. W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 22, 2024 100   Loyola Chicago L 68-73 35%    
  Dec 30, 2024 15   @ Arkansas L 67-83 9%    
  Jan 02, 2025 200   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-73 68%    
  Jan 04, 2025 295   Robert Morris W 76-65 82%    
  Jan 09, 2025 196   @ Wright St. L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 174   @ Northern Kentucky L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 15, 2025 360   IU Indianapolis W 79-60 95%    
  Jan 18, 2025 342   @ Detroit Mercy W 75-66 78%    
  Jan 22, 2025 180   Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-71 65%    
  Jan 25, 2025 295   @ Robert Morris W 73-68 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 310   Green Bay W 73-61 83%    
  Feb 01, 2025 174   Northern Kentucky W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 198   Youngstown St. W 75-69 68%    
  Feb 12, 2025 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 76-63 86%    
  Feb 16, 2025 342   Detroit Mercy W 78-63 90%    
  Feb 21, 2025 180   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 23, 2025 213   Cleveland St. W 74-67 71%    
  Feb 27, 2025 200   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-76 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 310   @ Green Bay W 70-64 68%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 6.3 7.0 5.5 3.0 1.0 27.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.0 6.2 3.9 1.2 0.2 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.9 4.8 1.8 0.3 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 3.6 1.0 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 2.6 0.6 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.2 3.3 4.8 6.5 8.1 9.9 11.1 11.9 11.5 10.5 8.2 5.7 3.0 1.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
19-1 100.0% 3.0    3.0 0.0
18-2 96.8% 5.5    5.0 0.5 0.0
17-3 85.0% 7.0    5.4 1.5 0.1
16-4 60.2% 6.3    3.6 2.3 0.4 0.0
15-5 29.8% 3.4    1.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.7% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 27.4% 27.4 19.4 6.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.0% 69.3% 67.1% 2.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6.7%
19-1 3.0% 56.4% 55.6% 0.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 1.8%
18-2 5.7% 48.7% 48.6% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 2.9 0.1%
17-3 8.2% 39.5% 39.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.0
16-4 10.5% 33.2% 33.2% 13.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.0 7.0
15-5 11.5% 25.4% 25.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 8.6
14-6 11.9% 19.1% 19.1% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.3 9.6
13-7 11.1% 12.8% 12.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 9.6
12-8 9.9% 9.4% 9.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 8.9
11-9 8.1% 6.5% 6.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 7.6
10-10 6.5% 5.0% 5.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 6.2
9-11 4.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.7
8-12 3.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 3.3
7-13 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.2
6-14 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.5% 20.4% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.9 5.3 5.1 4.1 2.0 79.5 0.1%