Preseason Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#104
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#314
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#75
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#140
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.7% 2.0% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.6% 34.6% 22.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.8 11.6 12.8
.500 or above 83.4% 87.1% 64.9%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 89.2% 78.3%
Conference Champion 40.2% 42.8% 27.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.7% 4.4%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.7%
First Round32.1% 34.1% 22.0%
Second Round8.3% 9.2% 3.7%
Sweet Sixteen2.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 83.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 4
Quad 37 - 49 - 8
Quad 48 - 117 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 210   Iona W 75-65 84%    
  Nov 08, 2024 128   Duquesne W 69-66 60%    
  Nov 10, 2024 220   @ Northeastern W 71-66 67%    
  Nov 15, 2024 100   Loyola Chicago W 71-69 59%    
  Nov 17, 2024 243   @ Merrimack W 69-63 70%    
  Nov 21, 2024 196   Wright St. W 81-74 72%    
  Nov 27, 2024 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 07, 2024 165   @ Furman W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 10, 2024 216   Monmouth W 76-65 82%    
  Dec 21, 2024 29   Rutgers L 64-71 28%    
  Dec 30, 2024 131   Akron W 71-65 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 182   @ Harvard W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 18, 2025 313   @ Dartmouth W 71-61 81%    
  Jan 20, 2025 230   Columbia W 78-67 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 172   Cornell W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 31, 2025 113   Yale W 69-64 65%    
  Feb 01, 2025 181   Brown W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 07, 2025 166   @ Penn W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 14, 2025 181   @ Brown W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 14, 2025 113   @ Yale L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 21, 2025 182   Harvard W 73-64 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 313   @ Dartmouth W 71-61 80%    
  Feb 28, 2025 230   @ Columbia W 75-70 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 172   @ Cornell W 78-76 58%    
  Mar 08, 2025 166   Penn W 74-66 74%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 5.0 10.5 11.9 8.3 3.4 40.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 6.2 8.6 4.6 0.9 21.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.6 5.2 1.6 0.1 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.3 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 2.0 1.5 0.2 4.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.6 5.6 8.3 11.2 13.3 15.2 15.1 12.7 8.3 3.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 3.4    3.4
13-1 100.0% 8.3    8.0 0.3
12-2 93.1% 11.9    9.7 2.1 0.0
11-3 69.3% 10.5    6.3 3.7 0.5
10-4 33.2% 5.0    1.6 2.5 0.9 0.1
9-5 8.5% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 40.2% 40.2 29.1 9.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 3.4% 81.3% 67.9% 13.3% 7.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 41.6%
13-1 8.3% 67.0% 60.8% 6.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 2.7 15.8%
12-2 12.7% 52.9% 50.2% 2.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 5.3%
11-3 15.1% 42.3% 41.7% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 8.7 1.0%
10-4 15.2% 33.4% 33.4% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.1 0.1%
9-5 13.3% 27.0% 27.0% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 9.7 0.0%
8-6 11.2% 17.6% 17.6% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 9.2
7-7 8.3% 5.9% 5.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.8
6-8 5.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 5.6
5-9 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 3.6
4-10 1.9% 1.9
3-11 1.0% 1.0
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 32.6% 31.2% 1.4% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 4.9 10.7 7.4 3.3 1.4 0.3 67.4 2.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 3.4 16.9 17.8 16.5 25.4 12.5 6.3 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 98.5% 4.0 13.2 7.4 47.1 29.4 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 88.0% 5.9 20.0 10.0 38.0 20.0