IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wright St.
Horizon
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#196
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.6	#23
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.7	#102

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.3	#322

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.9%	21.8%	11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.1	14.2

.500 or above	63.7%	89.1%	62.5%
.500 or above in Conference	74.7%	90.2%	74.0%
Conference Champion	14.7%	30.1%	14.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.1%	1.4%

First Four	0.9%	0.3%	1.0%
First Round	11.4%	21.5%	11.0%
Second Round	1.0%	3.0%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 4.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 5	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	16	@ Kentucky	L	78-96	4%
Nov 09, 2024	233	@ Miami (OH)	L	77-78	46%
Nov 13, 2024	168	@ Toledo	L	82-86	35%
Nov 21, 2024	104	Princeton	L	74-81	28%
Nov 30, 2024	229	Air Force	W	75-70	66%
Dec 05, 2024	146	@ Oakland	L	75-81	32%
Dec 07, 2024	342	@ Detroit Mercy	W	82-75	72%
Dec 11, 2024	194	Marshall	W	84-81	60%
Dec 18, 2024	198	Youngstown St.	W	82-79	60%
Dec 21, 2024	287	@ Eastern Michigan	W	77-75	55%
Dec 29, 2024	213	@ Cleveland St.	L	78-80	44%
Jan 02, 2025	310	Green Bay	W	78-69	78%
Jan 09, 2025	146	Oakland	W	79-78	51%
Jan 12, 2025	295	@ Robert Morris	W	80-78	58%
Jan 15, 2025	180	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	83-81	57%
Jan 18, 2025	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	76-80	37%
Jan 22, 2025	200	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	86-83	60%
Jan 25, 2025	342	Detroit Mercy	W	85-72	85%
Jan 30, 2025	198	@ Youngstown St.	L	79-82	40%
Feb 02, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	83-75	75%
Feb 05, 2025	180	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	80-84	37%
Feb 08, 2025	360	IU Indianapolis	W	86-69	92%
Feb 14, 2025	200	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	83-86	40%
Feb 16, 2025	310	@ Green Bay	W	75-72	60%
Feb 21, 2025	174	Northern Kentucky	W	79-77	56%
Feb 27, 2025	213	Cleveland St.	W	81-77	63%
Mar 01, 2025	360	@ IU Indianapolis	W	83-72	81%
Projected Record						15 - 12	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.8	2.4	3.9	3.7	2.4	1.1	0.3		14.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.6	3.9	4.4	2.4	0.7	0.1				13.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.3	2.0	4.8	4.1	1.4	0.2	0.0					12.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.5	5.1	3.8	1.0	0.1							12.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.0	0.5	2.6	5.0	3.1	0.6	0.0								11.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	2.7	4.4	2.5	0.4	0.0									10.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.8	2.6	3.4	1.8	0.3	0.0										9.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.0	2.2	2.3	1.1	0.2	0.0											7.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	0.9	1.6	1.4	0.5	0.1													4.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.3	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.7	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.9	3.3	4.6	6.1	7.8	9.5	10.7	10.8	10.9	9.9	8.3	6.5	4.4	2.5	1.1	0.3			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	100.0%	1.1		1.1	0.0
18-2	96.9%	2.4		2.2	0.2	0.0
17-3	84.9%	3.7		2.8	0.9	0.0
16-4	60.3%	3.9		2.3	1.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	28.7%	2.4		0.8	1.0	0.5	0.1
14-6	8.3%	0.8		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0			0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	14.7%	14.7		9.6	3.9	1.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		63.0%	61.2%	1.9%	11.2							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		4.8%
19-1	1.1%		52.2%	52.0%	0.2%	12.1							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.5		0.5%
18-2	2.5%		39.0%	38.9%	0.1%	12.8											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.5		0.2%
17-3	4.4%		35.3%	35.3%		13.3												0.0	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	2.8
16-4	6.5%		28.4%	28.4%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0	4.6
15-5	8.3%		22.4%	22.4%		14.2												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.6	0.1	6.4
14-6	9.9%		16.3%	16.3%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.3	8.3
13-7	10.9%		11.8%	11.8%		15.0														0.1	0.3	0.6	0.3	9.6
12-8	10.8%		7.8%	7.8%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	9.9
11-9	10.7%		5.3%	5.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	10.1
10-10	9.5%		3.6%	3.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	9.2
9-11	7.8%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	7.7
8-12	6.1%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	6.0
7-13	4.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
6-14	3.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
5-15	1.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
4-16	1.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.0
3-17	0.5%																							0.5
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	14.1							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	1.1	2.3	3.2	3.0	2.0	88.1		0.0%