Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana St.
Big Sky
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#218
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#192
Pace68.7#184
Improvement-2.1#272

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#237
First Shot-0.8#203
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#272
Layup/Dunks-1.1#216
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#316
Freethrows+4.2#2
Improvement-1.1#241

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#213
First Shot-1.1#210
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#221
Layups/Dunks+1.8#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#97
Freethrows-3.3#337
Improvement-1.0#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 49 - 311 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 166   @ UNLV W 91-78 29%     1 - 0 +15.1 +12.9 +1.5
  Dec 02, 2020 123   @ Pacific L 70-74 OT 21%     1 - 1 +0.9 -5.0 +6.1
  Dec 18, 2020 98   @ Washington St. L 54-82 15%     1 - 2 -20.8 -12.0 -8.6
  Dec 22, 2020 322   @ Portland L 59-62 72%     1 - 3 -13.0 -23.8 +11.0
  Jan 07, 2021 231   @ Northern Colorado W 79-67 46%     2 - 3 1 - 0 +9.3 +3.3 +5.8
  Jan 09, 2021 231   @ Northern Colorado W 76-74 OT 46%     3 - 3 2 - 0 -0.7 -1.8 +1.0
  Jan 14, 2021 247   Portland St. W 71-64 64%     4 - 3 3 - 0 -0.4 -2.7 +2.1
  Jan 16, 2021 247   Portland St. W 69-64 64%     5 - 3 4 - 0 -2.4 -3.8 +1.4
  Jan 21, 2021 308   @ Northern Arizona W 62-51 65%     6 - 3 5 - 0 +3.4 -6.3 +11.6
  Jan 23, 2021 308   @ Northern Arizona W 58-53 65%     7 - 3 6 - 0 -2.6 -16.5 +14.2
  Feb 04, 2021 125   @ Weber St. L 88-96 21%     7 - 4 6 - 1 -3.4 +10.1 -13.1
  Feb 06, 2021 125   @ Weber St. L 74-82 21%     7 - 5 6 - 2 -3.4 -1.2 -2.0
  Feb 11, 2021 105   Eastern Washington L 77-93 26%     7 - 6 6 - 3 -13.2 +1.2 -13.7
  Feb 13, 2021 105   Eastern Washington L 69-85 26%     7 - 7 6 - 4 -13.2 -3.0 -10.4
  Feb 26, 2021 340   @ Idaho L 69-74 83%     7 - 8 6 - 5 -18.8 -6.4 -12.7
  Feb 28, 2021 340   @ Idaho W 71-61 83%     8 - 8 7 - 5 -3.8 +3.0 -5.1
  Mar 05, 2021 256   Sacramento St. W 77-75 65%     9 - 8 8 - 5 -5.9 -4.9 -1.0
  Mar 06, 2021 256   Sacramento St. L 73-74 65%     9 - 9 8 - 6 -8.9 -3.5 -5.4
  Mar 11, 2021 261   Idaho St. W 71-63 60%     10 - 9 +1.5 -1.3 +2.9
  Mar 12, 2021 139   Southern Utah W 80-77 OT 30%     11 - 9 +4.7 -4.7 +9.1
  Mar 13, 2021 105   Eastern Washington L 55-65 21%     11 - 10 -5.3 -15.8 +10.3
Projected Record 11 - 10 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 100.0
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%