Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#231
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#251
Pace68.1#200
Improvement+2.3#71

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#235
First Shot-0.2#181
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#301
Layup/Dunks-2.5#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#50
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+2.5#47

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#239
First Shot-2.8#266
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#136
Layups/Dunks-4.7#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#2
Freethrows-0.4#201
Improvement-0.2#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 32 - 6
Quad 46 - 58 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 14, 2020 23   @ Colorado L 45-81 4%     0 - 1 -19.7 -21.2 +2.0
  Dec 16, 2020 333   @ Denver W 83-75 74%     1 - 1 -3.4 -3.1 -1.0
  Dec 18, 2020 41   @ Utah St. L 50-63 6%     1 - 2 +0.1 -6.4 +4.8
  Dec 22, 2020 261   Idaho St. W 69-64 64%     2 - 2 1 - 0 -3.4 -2.0 -1.1
  Dec 23, 2020 261   Idaho St. L 56-71 64%     2 - 3 1 - 1 -23.4 -18.4 -4.8
  Jan 02, 2021 199   @ Montana W 64-62 35%     3 - 3 2 - 1 +1.2 -2.8 +4.2
  Jan 04, 2021 199   @ Montana L 54-56 35%     3 - 4 2 - 2 -2.8 -15.1 +12.2
  Jan 07, 2021 218   Montana St. L 67-79 54%     3 - 5 2 - 3 -17.7 -9.6 -7.9
  Jan 09, 2021 218   Montana St. L 74-76 OT 54%     3 - 6 2 - 4 -7.7 -4.8 -2.8
  Jan 14, 2021 340   @ Idaho W 74-54 81%     4 - 6 3 - 4 +6.2 +1.7 +6.5
  Jan 16, 2021 340   @ Idaho W 75-61 81%     5 - 6 4 - 4 +0.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 21, 2021 105   Eastern Washington W 78-76 24%     6 - 6 5 - 4 +4.8 +5.6 -0.8
  Jan 23, 2021 105   Eastern Washington L 76-82 24%     6 - 7 5 - 5 -3.2 -1.7 -1.1
  Jan 29, 2021 308   @ Northern Arizona L 64-68 62%     6 - 8 5 - 6 -11.6 -5.1 -7.2
  Feb 25, 2021 247   Portland St. W 66-64 61%     7 - 8 6 - 6 -5.4 -6.6 +1.2
  Feb 27, 2021 247   Portland St. L 65-73 61%     7 - 9 6 - 7 -15.4 -7.2 -8.2
  Mar 04, 2021 125   @ Weber St. L 59-60 19%     7 - 10 6 - 8 +3.6 -12.3 +15.9
  Mar 10, 2021 256   Sacramento St. W 90-83 55%     8 - 10 +1.0 +14.9 -13.5
  Mar 11, 2021 139   Southern Utah L 83-91 27%     8 - 11 -6.3 -0.7 -4.7
Projected Record 8 - 11 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 100.0% 100.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%