Big South
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
High Point 62%   13   Likely Out 2 - 0 0 - 0 +9.1 64 B +5 72 B +4 64 +10 32 0 1
Longwood 9%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.4 214 C- -2 230 C- -1 206 -8 320 0 1
Winthrop 10%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.7 218 C +0 150 D -4 309 -13 341 0 1
Presbyterian 8%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.3 234 C- -1 200 D+ -3 270 -15 345 0 1
Radford 6%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -5.7 264 D+ -3 250 D+ -3 272 -7 317 0 1
UNC Asheville 4%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.7 297 D+ -4 287 D+ -4 295 -7 315 0 1
Charleston Southern 2%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.3 321 D -6 324 D -4 305 -4 295 0 1
SC Upstate 1%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.4 344 D- -7 343 D -5 326 -11 332 0 1
Gardner-Webb 1%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -12.5 353 D- -7 348 D- -5 337 +10 35 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 64 High Point 72 140 Liberty 57   
353 Gardner-Webb 46 5 Connecticut 86   
321 Charleston Southern 71 96 South Florida 98   
234 Presbyterian 78 138 St. Thomas 87   
159 Queens 103 218 Winthrop 98   
119 Richmond 100 297 UNC Asheville 77   
264 Radford 62 148 San Francisco 76   
170 East Carolina 83 344 South Carolina Upstate 70   
Wed, Nov 4 64 High Point 63 364 Maryland Eastern Shore 49   
91 California 84 264 Radford 70   
214 Longwood 73 127 Saint Joseph's 82   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Thu, Nov 5 353 Gardner-Webb 56 10 Texas 90 99%   
Fri, Nov 6 43 Georgia 84 234 Presbyterian 65 95%   
352 South Carolina St. 69 344 South Carolina Upstate 73 65%   
Sat, Nov 7 64 High Point 82 165 Washington St. 69 89%   
297 UNC Asheville 73 164 Western Carolina 77 65%   
325 North Dakota 73 218 Winthrop 82 81%   
214 Longwood 77 357 NC Central 64 89%   
Mon, Nov 9 264 Radford 61 14 Tennessee 87 98%   
250 Coastal Carolina 75 344 South Carolina Upstate 65 81%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1 85% 73% 10% 1% 85 11 3 1 0 0 0 0
Longwood 4 10% 5% 4% 1% 10 25 20 15 11 8 5 3 2
Winthrop 4 7% 3% 3% 1% 7 25 21 16 12 9 6 3 2
Radford 4 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 17 18 16 15 11 8 6 3
Presbyterian 4 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 17 18 17 14 12 9 6 3
UNC Asheville 5 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 10 14 15 15 14 13 10 7
Charleston Southern 6 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 5 7 10 13 15 17 17 16
SC Upstate 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 5 8 11 15 18 21 21
Gardner-Webb 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 3 5 7 10 13 17 21 24

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 2 25 - 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 9 17 26 27 14
Longwood 9 - 7 15 - 14 0 0 1 2 4 8 12 15 16 15 12 8 4 2 0 0
Winthrop 9 - 6 14 - 14 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 13 16 17 15 12 7 3 1 0
Radford 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 1 2 4 8 12 15 16 15 13 8 4 2 1 0 0
Presbyterian 8 - 7 13 - 15 0 0 1 2 4 8 12 15 16 16 12 8 4 2 0 0
UNC Asheville 7 - 9 11 - 18 0 0 2 4 8 12 15 16 15 12 8 5 2 1 0 0 0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 10 - 19 0 2 5 9 14 17 17 14 10 7 3 2 1 0 0 0
SC Upstate 5 - 10 9 - 20 0 2 6 12 16 18 17 12 8 5 2 1 0 0 0
Gardner-Webb 5 - 11 7 - 21 1 3 8 13 16 18 16 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
High Point 62% 60% 5% 13 Likely Out 1 2 4 14 29 9 1 38
Longwood 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 4 5 91
Winthrop 10% 10% 0% Negligible 4 6 90
Presbyterian 8% 8% 0% Negligible 2 5 92
Radford 6% 6% 0% Negligible 2 4 94
UNC Asheville 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 3 96
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 1 98
SC Upstate 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99
Gardner-Webb 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 98 2
1st Round 83% 0.8 17 83 1
2nd Round 15% 0.2 85 15 0
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 62% 2% 61% 14% 4% 1%
Longwood 9% 8% 5%
Winthrop 10% 8% 6%
Presbyterian 8% 7% 5%
Radford 6% 5% 3%
UNC Asheville 4% 3% 2%
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 1%
SC Upstate 1% 1% 1%
Gardner-Webb 1% 1%