Mid-Eastern
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Howard 50%   16   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -1.5 175 C- -1 193 C +0 161 -10 331 0 1
Norfolk St. 18%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.4 307 D -5 317 D+ -3 282 0 137 0 1
South Carolina St. 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.4 353 D- -7 351 D- -5 334 0 137 0 1
Morgan St. 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.6 355 D -6 330 F+ -7 362 0 137 0 1
NC Central 6%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -13.7 357 D- -8 355 D- -6 351 +2 108 0 1
Coppin St. 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.9 359 F+ -9 362 D- -5 336 0 137 0 1
Delaware St. 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.2 360 F+ -8 361 D- -6 348 0 137 0 1
MD Eastern Shore 3%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -17.9 364 F -12 364 D- -6 353 -4 306 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 42 Georgia 78 357 NC Central 62   
Mon, Nov 2 175 Howard 62 152 Yale 72   
Mon, Nov 2 364 Maryland Eastern Shore 62 93 Wake Forest 83   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Tue, Nov 3 359 Coppin St. 57 49 Virginia Tech 85 99%   
Wed, Nov 4 62 High Point 83 364 Maryland Eastern Shore 52 99%   
Thu, Nov 5 349 Alcorn St. 68 175 Howard 76 76%   
Thu, Nov 5 360 Delaware St. 60 322 Navy 68 77%   
Fri, Nov 6 359 Coppin St. 56 98 George Mason 78 97%   
Fri, Nov 6 353 South Carolina St. 69 345 South Carolina Upstate 73 65%   
Sat, Nov 7 211 Longwood 76 357 NC Central 63 89%   
Sat, Nov 7 355 Morgan St. 70 331 Niagara 76 70%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 1 73% 60% 11% 2% 73 17 6 2 1 1 0 0
Norfolk St. 3 19% 11% 6% 2% 19 30 18 12 8 6 4 2
South Carolina St. 4 7% 3% 2% 1% 7 16 17 17 14 13 10 8
Coppin St. 5 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 14 16 16 15 13 11 9
Morgan St. 5 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 13 15 15 15 14 12 10
NC Central 5 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 13 15 16 15 14 13 10
MD Eastern Shore 5 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 7 10 13 15 17 18 18
Delaware St. 5 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 7 10 13 15 16 17 19

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 11 - 3 18 - 10 0 0 0 0 1 3 6 11 16 20 22 15 6
Norfolk St. 8 - 6 11 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 6 10 14 17 17 14 10 5 2 0
South Carolina St. 7 - 7 10 - 18 0 1 2 5 9 14 17 17 15 11 6 3 1 0 0
Coppin St. 6 - 8 9 - 21 0 1 2 6 10 14 18 17 14 9 5 2 1 0 0
Morgan St. 6 - 8 9 - 18 0 1 2 6 11 15 17 16 13 10 5 2 1 0 0
NC Central 6 - 8 8 - 18 0 1 3 6 11 16 18 16 13 9 5 2 1 0 0
MD Eastern Shore 5 - 9 7 - 22 0 2 5 11 16 19 17 14 9 4 2 1 0 0
Delaware St. 5 - 9 8 - 18 0 2 6 11 16 17 17 13 9 5 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Howard 50% 50% 0% 16 Negligible 1 10 39 50
Norfolk St. 18% 18% 0% Negligible 1 16 82
South Carolina St. 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
Morgan St. 6% 6% 0% Negligible 6 94
NC Central 6% 6% 0% Negligible 6 94
Coppin St. 6% 6% 0% Negligible 6 94
Delaware St. 4% 4% 0% Negligible 4 96
MD Eastern Shore 3% 3% 0% Negligible 3 97

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 54% 0.5 46 54
2nd Round 2% 0.0 98 2
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 50% 47% 31% 2%
Norfolk St. 18% 17% 9%
South Carolina St. 7% 7% 3%
Morgan St. 6% 6% 3%
NC Central 6% 6% 2%
Coppin St. 6% 6% 3%
Delaware St. 4% 4% 1%
MD Eastern Shore 3% 3% 1%