Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -15.1 351 34%
INCC Stats Results Rating -12.5 337 46%
Consistency 0.15 150
Pace 74.9 30
Improvement +1.1 139

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 330 F+ D D+ B D
Defense F+ 352 D F D F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 250 F+ 49% 358 -4.7 335
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 21 D+ 34% 298 +1.9 81
Three Pointers 35% 290 D 31% 314 -4.5 326
Selection / Accuracy D -1.1 321 F+ -6.3 351
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.87 356
Second Chance C- 28.4% 236 F+ 0.86 357 D 0.24 317
Opponents' Steals C- 9.7% 224
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 293
Turnovers D+ 17.8% 263
Freethrows B- 0.33 81 B- 75% 99 B 0.25 64
Total Offense D- -6.9 330

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 168 D 13.6% 327
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 86 C- 5.6% 230
Three Pointers C- 81% 265 D+ 1.3% 288
Total C- 54% 214 D 7.0% 318

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 4 D 63% 317 +8.0 363
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 358 D+ 41% 290 -2.4 15
Three Pointers 38% 255 C+ 33% 132 -1.8 107
Selection / Accuracy F +1.6 365 D+ +2.1 266
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 310
Second Chance F+ 35.7% 343 F+ 1.19 357 F 0.42 360
Turnovers from Steals F 5.1% 364
Other Turnovers A 9.2% 11
Turnovers D 14.3% 324
Freethrows F 0.42 364 C+ 71% 120 F 0.30 360
Total Defense F+ -8.3 352

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 341 D+ 8.5% 275
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 357 D+ 3.1% 295
Three Pointers C- 86% 245 D 0.3% 308
Total D- 63% 333 D+ 4.6% 250
Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 125 16.2 20
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 118 0.25 361
Consistency 0.11 85 0.09 8
Improvement -0.7 229 +1.8 98



Stat Type Preseason Nov 9 Dec 7 Jan 4 Jan 18 Feb 1 Feb 15 Feb 22 Mar 1 Mar 8 Mar 15
Predictive Rank 358 350 357 361 362 354 352 351 352 348 350
Results Rank 227 364 361 351 334 333 334 335 328 335
Projected Overall Record 10 - 18 10 - 18 7 - 20 6 - 21 7 - 20 10 - 17 11 - 17 11 - 17 11 - 17 12 - 16 11 - 16
Projected Conference Record 6 - 8 0 - 14 0 - 14 0 - 14 0 - 14 8 - 6 9 - 5 9 - 5 9 - 5 10 - 4 10 - 4
Conference Champion 7% 10% 4% 2% 1% 22% 32% 19% 12% 0% 0%
Conference Finish 5 4 5 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2
NCAA Tournament Seed
Opening Round Bye 8% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -100%
At-Large Tourney Chance 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
At Large Status Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 68 Georgetown L 70 - 87 1% -10  21% 0 - 1 C- -5 D- -4 D+ C- F+ C +1 A D- F
Tue, Nov 11 197 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79 - 81 17% -6  16% 0 - 2 D+ -7 D -1 D- B- C+ D- -6 F C A+
Sat, Nov 15 282 Mercyhurst L 72 - 86 16% -13  6% 0 - 3 F+ -18 C- -1 F A+ F F -17 F+ F C+
Tue, Nov 18 287 N.C. A&T L 73 - 79 33% -4  9% 0 - 4 F+ -17 D- -8 D F A+ F -8 F F B-
Fri, Nov 21 253 Old Dominion L 56 - 88 12% -18  0% 0 - 5 F -34 F -18 F F+ D F -18 F+ D- F
Tue, Nov 25 219 Drexel L 66 - 71 20% -7  2% 0 - 6 D -11 D -4 C F A D -7 D A- A-
Sat, Dec 6 264 Longwood L 80 - 84 28% -1  46% 0 - 7 D- -13 D -4 D- D- C- F+ -9 D F C
Tue, Dec 9 90 DePaul L 49 - 92 2% -28  0% 0 - 8 F -34 F -16 F F F F -19 F F F+
Sat, Dec 13 333 Niagara W 81 - 73 50% +4  89% 1 - 8 D+ -7 C +2 A+ A F F+ -9 C- F F
Fri, Dec 19 78 California L 50 - 97 2% -22  0% 1 - 9 F -36 F -19 F D- F+ F -17 F F D+
Sun, Dec 21 119 San Francisco L 64 - 94 4% -13  21% 1 - 10 F -24 D -8 D+ C- F+ F -17 C+ F C-
Tue, Dec 23 162 Loyola Marymount L 56 - 83 6% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -24 F -16 F B+ F F+ -9 F F C+
Sat, Jan 3 353 MD Eastern Shore L 49 - 66 39% -6  17% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -29 F -27 F F F C -3 B- D- F
Sat, Jan 10 357 South Carolina St. W 72 - 67 67% -2  16% 2 - 12 1 - 1 D- -15 D- -8 F+ F A D -6 D- F A+
Mon, Jan 12 348 NC Central L 78 - 89 60% -4  14% 2 - 13 1 - 2 F -29 D+ -6 D+ F B- F -23 F A+ F
Sat, Jan 17 361 Delaware St. W 80 - 79 54% +5  76% 3 - 13 2 - 2 D- -15 C -1 D+ F B F -14 F F F
Sat, Jan 24 195 Howard W 78 - 77 7% -3  15% 4 - 13 3 - 2 C+ +2 D- -5 F A+ D B +7 A+ F B-
Mon, Jan 26 325 Norfolk St. W 79 - 78 25% -3  36% 5 - 13 4 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -7 C- F D+ C -0 A F F
Sat, Jan 31 362 Coppin St. W 89 - 80 55% +12  100% 6 - 13 5 - 2 D+ -7 C- +2 F+ A D F+ -10 F C F+
Sat, Feb 7 353 MD Eastern Shore W 79 - 71 62% +2  79% 7 - 13 6 - 2 D -10 C+ +1 D+ D A+ F+ -11 C+ C+ F
Mon, Feb 16 348 NC Central L 76 - 80 37% -11  7% 7 - 14 6 - 3 F+ -16 D- -9 F F D+ D -6 D- F A-
Sat, Feb 21 361 Delaware St. W 82 - 68 75% +3  66% 8 - 14 7 - 3 D+ -8 C- -2 C- D D+ D+ -6 C- C- F
Wed, Feb 25 357 South Carolina St. W 90 - 83 44% +5  83% 9 - 14 8 - 3 D+ -7 B +6 A- B+ F F -13 F D+ F
Sat, Feb 28 195 Howard L 59 - 84 17% -10  2% 9 - 15 8 - 4 F -30 F -18 F C A+ F -11 C- F D+
Mon, Mar 2 325 Norfolk St. W 90 - 84 46% +10  91% 10 - 15 9 - 4 D+ -8 B +1 A F A F -10 A- F F
Thu, Mar 5 362 Coppin St. W 70 - 66 76% -0  42% 11 - 15 10 - 4 F+ -18 F -12 F B C+ D+ -6 D B+ F
Wed, Mar 11 361 Delaware St. L 70 - 75 OT 65% -4  12% 11 - 16 F -24 F -14 F F A+ D- -10 D+ F F+
Totals 11 - 16 10 - 4 -15 D- -7 C F+ D F+ -8 D B- B


Stat History by Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Proj Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ		 NCAA
Seed		 Conf
Finish
Preseason 358 10 - 18 6 - 8 8% 7% 5 Negligible 0%
Mon, Nov 3 68 Georgetown L 70 - 87 354 312 10 - 18 0 - 14 9% 8% 5 Negligible 0%
Tue, Nov 11 197 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79 - 81 348 353 10 - 18 0 - 14 1% 10% 4 Negligible 0%
Sat, Nov 15 282 Mercyhurst L 72 - 86 354 363 9 - 19 0 - 14 1% 9% 4 Negligible 0%
Tue, Nov 18 287 N.C. A&T L 73 - 79 357 365 8 - 20 0 - 14 0% 7% 5 Negligible 0%
Fri, Nov 21 253 Old Dominion L 56 - 88 362 365 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 5% 5 Negligible 0%
Tue, Nov 25 219 Drexel L 66 - 71 360 363 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 3% 5 Negligible 0%
Sat, Dec 6 264 Longwood L 80 - 84 357 363 7 - 21 0 - 14 0% 3% 5 Negligible 0%
Tue, Dec 9 90 DePaul L 49 - 92 362 363 7 - 21 0 - 14 0% 3% 5 Negligible 0%
Sat, Dec 13 333 Niagara W 81 - 73 359 360 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 4% 5 Negligible 0%
Fri, Dec 19 78 California L 50 - 97 361 360 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 2% 5 Negligible 0%
Sun, Dec 21 119 San Francisco L 64 - 94 360 360 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 1% 6 Negligible 0%
Tue, Dec 23 162 Loyola Marymount L 56 - 83 360 361 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 1% 6 Negligible 0%
Sat, Jan 3 353 MD Eastern Shore L 49 - 66 361 360 6 - 21 0 - 14 0% 1% 6 Negligible 0%
Sat, Jan 10 357 South Carolina St. W 72 - 67 362 354 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 2% 6 Negligible 0%
Mon, Jan 12 348 NC Central L 78 - 89 363 357 6 - 21 0 - 14 0% 0% 6 Negligible 0%
Sat, Jan 17 361 Delaware St. W 80 - 79 362 351 7 - 20 0 - 14 0% 1% 5 Negligible 0%
Sat, Jan 24 195 Howard W 78 - 77 357 347 8 - 19 7 - 7 0% 5% 5 Negligible 0%
Mon, Jan 26 325 Norfolk St. W 79 - 78 356 336 10 - 18 8 - 6 0% 14% 3 Negligible 0%
Sat, Jan 31 362 Coppin St. W 89 - 80 354 334 10 - 18 8 - 6 0% 21% 3 Negligible 0%
Sat, Feb 7 353 MD Eastern Shore W 79 - 71 352 333 11 - 17 9 - 5 0% 34% 2 Negligible 0%
Mon, Feb 16 348 NC Central L 76 - 80 353 336 10 - 17 9 - 5 0% 18% 2 Negligible 0%
Sat, Feb 21 361 Delaware St. W 82 - 68 351 335 11 - 17 9 - 5 0% 20% 2 Negligible 0%
Wed, Feb 25 357 South Carolina St. W 90 - 83 348 331 11 - 17 9 - 5 0% 31% 2 Negligible 0%
Sat, Feb 28 195 Howard L 59 - 84 353 335 11 - 17 9 - 5 0% 12% 2 Negligible 0%
Mon, Mar 2 325 Norfolk St. W 90 - 84 349 330 12 - 16 10 - 4 0% 25% 2 Negligible 0%
Thu, Mar 5 362 Coppin St. W 70 - 66 348 326 12 - 16 10 - 4 0% 0% 2 Negligible 0%
Wed, Mar 11 361 Delaware St. L 70 - 75 OT 350 336 11 - 16 10 - 4 -100% 0% 2 Negligible 0%
Selection Sunday 350 335 11 - 16 10 - 4 -100% 0% 2 Negligible 0%


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- F+ D+ D F+ 36% 58% 35% D F+ C- F+ D D+ B- B- B F+ D D+ C+ D+ 48% 13% 38% F D F+ F+ F D F C+ F
0.98 49% 34% 31% -6 -1 0.87 28% 0.9 .24 18% .33 75% .25 1.21 63% 41% 33% +2 +2 1.10 36% 1.2 .42 14% .42 71% .24
Nov
3		 Georgetown D- F F+ A+ D+ 38% 27% 35% C D+ C D+ C- F+ A+ C- A+ C C+ F A+ A+ 46% 9% 44% F A C- F+ D- F F A- F
0.93 39% 31% 41% -5 -1 0.90 30% 0.9 .27 21% .40 71% .29 1.15 56% 80% 17% -9 +2 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 9% .57 69% .39
Nov
11		 UMBC D F F A+ D- 45% 22% 33% C D- B+ C- B- C+ D+ A- C- D- F F F F 45% 5% 50% F F C- C+ C A+ F A+ F
1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16 1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30
Nov
15		 Mercyhurst C- C+ F F F 38% 43% 20% F F A+ C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 32% 28% 40% D F+ F F F C+ F A+ F
1.06 60% 18% 25% -11 -3 0.75 51% 1.0 .51 24% .74 84% .62 1.27 69% 29% 40% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.7 .69 16% .49 61% .30
Nov
18		 N.C. A&T D- C+ A+ F D 41% 25% 34% C- D F F F A+ D C+ D F F F C+ F 29% 29% 42% C+ F C+ F F B- F D F
1.05 60% 53% 24% -1 0 1.00 14% 0.4 .05 7% .26 71% .19 1.14 69% 54% 32% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.8 .52 20% .49 78% .38
Nov
21		 Old Dom F D- D- F F 52% 20% 28% B F C F F+ D C F F F D C F F 28% 22% 50% C- F+ F B D- F F C F
0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20 1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34
Nov
25		 Drexel D B B+ F C+ 40% 38% 23% F+ C F F F A B+ C+ B+ D F A+ C+ D+ 45% 12% 43% F D F A+ A- A- F F F
1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28 1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42
Dec
6		 Longwood D D- A+ F D- 44% 19% 37% C D- F+ D+ D- C- C+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ F D+ 46% 18% 36% F+ D C F F C F A F
1.07 54% 70% 25% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.9 .18 19% .36 91% .33 1.12 56% 14% 43% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.6 .53 20% .74 66% .49
Dec
9		 DePaul F F F F F 26% 38% 36% F F A+ F F F A+ A A+ F F A+ F F 38% 17% 45% D+ F B- F F F+ F F F
0.72 27% 25% 20% -21 -3 0.55 45% 0.3 .13 30% .65 77% .50 1.36 88% 14% 42% +13 0 1.29 28% 1.6 .44 13% .63 78% .49
Dec
13		 Niagara C A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% F A+ A+ F+ A F A+ A A+ F+ C- F B+ C 50% 8% 42% F C- A F F F F C- F
1.21 78% 73% 44% +22 -2 1.42 56% 0.9 .50 34% .48 86% .41 1.09 58% 50% 30% -1 +2 1.04 14% 2.8 .38 13% .33 74% .24
Dec
19		 California F B- B+ F F 35% 29% 35% D- F F A- D- F+ B F C F D- A F F 50% 14% 36% F F A- F F D+ D- F F
0.72 59% 43% 6% -13 -1 0.73 16% 1.2 .19 20% .34 58% .20 1.40 68% 29% 50% +12 +2 1.30 22% 2.6 .57 13% .38 96% .36
Dec
21		 San Fran D A+ D C C+ 15% 39% 46% F D+ F A+ C- F+ A D- B F F A- A+ C 42% 23% 35% C+ C+ F F F C- F B- F
0.95 71% 33% 33% 0 -4 0.93 18% 1.5 .26 18% .34 68% .23 1.39 83% 30% 20% +1 0 1.05 47% 1.5 .70 15% .78 69% .54
Dec
23		 L. Marymount F F F F F 32% 49% 19% F F A+ D B+ F A- F C+ F+ D F D- F 44% 9% 47% F F F D+ F C+ F A F
0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23 1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30
Jan
3		 MD E Shore F F B- F F 26% 32% 43% F F F F F F D D- D- C D A+ A+ B+ 55% 13% 32% F B- D+ F D- F F B+ F
0.73 42% 40% 20% -12 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21 0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33
Jan
10		 SC St. D- B+ F+ F F+ 48% 20% 33% D+ F+ D- F F A A F C D F D A+ D 40% 28% 33% F+ D- F F F A+ F+ A+ B
1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29 1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18
Jan
12		 NC Central D+ A F B+ C- 33% 27% 40% F+ D+ D F F B- A+ D+ A+ F F F F F 64% 20% 16% F F A+ A+ A+ F F C- F
1.14 73% 25% 39% +5 -1 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 16% .57 70% .40 1.30 68% 67% 57% +18 +2 1.41 17% 0.8 .13 13% .55 76% .42
Jan
17		 Delaware St. C F B+ A+ C- 30% 26% 44% F D+ F+ F+ F B A+ B- A+ F B+ F A+ F 43% 26% 30% F F F F+ F F F C- F
1.09 44% 43% 42% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 15% .43 74% .32 1.08 45% 75% 21% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 15% .63 69% .43
Jan
24		 Howard D- F D C F 48% 22% 30% C- F A- A+ A+ D A+ A A+ B A+ B+ A+ A+ 51% 24% 25% C+ A+ F F F B- F F+ F
0.96 28% 31% 33% -17 +1 0.70 40% 1.4 .58 21% .45 79% .36 0.95 32% 31% 14% -22 +1 0.58 53% 1.2 .66 21% .63 80% .50
Jan
26		 Norfolk St. D+ B- C C+ C 34% 20% 46% D- C- F A+ F D+ B+ B+ A- C B+ F A+ A+ 62% 9% 29% F A D- F F F F A C-
1.04 65% 40% 35% +3 0 1.08 12% 1.5 .18 18% .42 77% .32 1.03 47% 60% 12% -15 +3 0.79 34% 1.3 .45 12% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Coppin St. C- A- F D- D- 34% 28% 38% F F+ C A+ A D A+ D A+ F+ D A F F 48% 23% 29% F+ F F A+ C F+ F A+ F
1.17 71% 29% 32% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.6 .54 18% .61 71% .44 1.05 60% 25% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 18% .57 57% .32
Feb
7		 MD E Shore C+ B F+ C- C- 41% 29% 31% D- D+ D+ D- D A+ A- A- A F+ C A A+ B 51% 22% 27% F+ C+ F A+ C+ F F F F
1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33 1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
16		 NC Central D- F F A+ F 41% 21% 38% D+ F A- F F D+ A C+ A D A+ D F D- 48% 22% 30% D D- D- F F A- F F+ F
1.04 48% 17% 43% -4 0 0.95 47% 0.5 .23 19% .39 74% .29 1.10 41% 40% 50% 0 +1 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 22% .44 80% .35
Feb
21		 Delaware St. C- C+ B- C C 39% 20% 41% D+ C- B- F D D+ A+ B- A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ C+ 55% 20% 25% F C- D+ C+ C- F F B- F+
1.12 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.8 .31 19% .45 74% .34 0.93 57% 18% 21% -10 +1 0.85 28% 0.8 .21 15% .37 65% .24
Feb
25		 SC St. B F A+ A+ A- 57% 2% 40% A A- C A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 43% 29% 27% F+ F F A D+ F F B+ F
1.23 46% 100% 59% +10 +4 1.29 37% 1.4 .53 22% .60 82% .49 1.14 73% 47% 21% +4 -1 1.08 41% 0.8 .31 12% .45 62% .28
Feb
28		 Howard F F F F F 37% 20% 43% D F C+ D+ C A+ A+ C+ A+ F B F C- B- 65% 8% 27% F C- F D F D+ F A F
0.82 35% 18% 9% -29 0 0.44 33% 1.0 .33 12% .44 71% .32 1.17 47% 50% 36% -6 +4 0.98 47% 1.2 .53 18% .49 66% .32
Mar
2		 Norfolk St. B D+ F A+ A 38% 13% 49% C A F F F A C- A+ B F B A+ A+ A+ 63% 13% 24% F A- F D+ F F D- B- D+
1.19 57% 29% 52% +12 +1 1.27 10% 0.7 .06 12% .36 83% .30 1.11 49% 25% 20% -13 +3 0.82 41% 1.0 .43 9% .38 65% .25
Mar
5		 Coppin St. F F F F+ F 43% 19% 38% C F D- A+ B C+ F C F D+ A- A+ F C 59% 10% 31% F D D A+ B+ F D- F F
1.02 43% 20% 30% -12 +1 0.79 29% 1.6 .46 16% .21 75% .16 0.96 45% 20% 40% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.6 .20 17% .37 76% .28
Mar
11		 Delaware St. F F A- F F 47% 17% 36% C F D+ F F A+ A+ B A+ D- D+ F+ A+ D- 35% 48% 17% A D+ F F F F+ F D- F
0.93 44% 44% 16% -15 +1 0.74 29% 0.8 .24 12% .54 75% .41 1.00 56% 44% 11% -4 -4 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 16% .47 73% .35