Southeastern
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Florida 100%   1   Lock 1 - 0 0 - 0 +23.5 2 A+ +12 3 A+ +11 2 +29 2 0 1
Texas 90%   4   Likely In 1 - 0 0 - 0 +18.1 10 A +10 7 A- +8 15 -2 290 0 1
Tennessee 87%   5   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +17.1 14 A +10 11 A- +8 16 0 137 0 1
Alabama 88%   4   Likely In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +16.8 17 A +10 8 A- +7 27 0 137 0 1
Arkansas 74%   7   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +16.2 20 A- +9 21 A- +7 23 0 137 0 1
Vanderbilt 83%   6   Likely In 1 - 0 0 - 0 +16.1 22 A- +8 28 A +8 14 +1 118 0 1
Kentucky 75%   6   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +15.7 25 A- +9 13 A- +6 29 0 137 0 1
Auburn 68%   9   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +14.6 26 A- +9 18 B+ +6 40 0 137 0 1
Texas A&M 69%   7   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +14.2 29 A- +8 26 B+ +6 39 0 137 0 1
Missouri 60%   10   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +13.4 35 A- +8 29 B+ +5 47 0 137 0 1
LSU 55%   11   Bubble - In 0 - 0 0 - 0 +12.5 39 B+ +7 38 B+ +5 45 0 137 0 1
Georgia 47%   Bubble - Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +12.2 42 B+ +8 35 B +5 59 -4 309 0 1
Mississippi 47%   Bubble - Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +11.6 48 B +5 66 A- +6 28 -2 289 0 1
Oklahoma 13%   Likely Out 0 - 1 0 - 0 +10.8 55 B+ +7 44 B +4 69 -24 364 0 1
Mississippi St. 36%   Bubble - Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +8.4 70 B +6 56 B- +3 94 +6 67 0 1
South Carolina 9%   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +5.9 97 B- +3 94 B- +3 91 0 137 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 2 Florida 77 19 Miami (FL) 67   
Mon, Nov 2 55 Oklahoma 64 294 East Texas A&M 68   
Mon, Nov 2 42 Georgia 78 357 NC Central 62   
Mon, Nov 2 311 Bellarmine 47 22 Vanderbilt 93   
Mon, Nov 2 350 Chicago St. 59 10 Texas 109   
Mon, Nov 2 70 Mississippi St. 106 222 Tennessee Tech 88   
Mon, Nov 2 349 Alcorn St. 58 48 Mississippi 99   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Tue, Nov 3 17 Alabama 92 176 Sam Houston St. 71 97%   
Tue, Nov 3 14 Tennessee 84 259 Wofford 59 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 39 LSU 85 260 New Orleans 64 96%   
Tue, Nov 3 297 Alabama St. 66 29 Texas A&M 90 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 287 Cleveland St. 63 35 Missouri 87 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 25 Kentucky 89 332 Manhattan 60 99%   
Tue, Nov 3 362 Arkansas Pine Bluff 60 20 Arkansas 95 100%   
Tue, Nov 3 97 South Carolina 78 271 Stetson 63 91%   
Wed, Nov 4 26 Auburn 82 270 SE Louisiana 58 98%   
Thu, Nov 5 22 Vanderbilt 80 93 Wake Forest 67 88%   
Thu, Nov 5 2 Florida 87 237 Jacksonville 56 99%   
Thu, Nov 5 354 Gardner-Webb 56 10 Texas 90 99%   
Thu, Nov 5 70 Mississippi St. 84 291 Northwestern St. 65 95%   
Fri, Nov 6 35 Missouri 78 59 Saint Louis 75 62%   
Fri, Nov 6 17 Alabama 94 173 Arkansas St. 73 96%   
Fri, Nov 6 162 James Madison 63 25 Kentucky 83 95%   
Fri, Nov 6 143 Central Arkansas 63 48 Mississippi 77 90%   
Fri, Nov 6 194 Northern Kentucky 69 29 Texas A&M 88 96%   
Fri, Nov 6 42 Georgia 84 235 Presbyterian 65 95%   
Fri, Nov 6 39 LSU 85 333 Texas Southern 59 98%   
Fri, Nov 6 365 Mississippi Valley 52 55 Oklahoma 87 100%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 3 36% 23% 9% 4% 36 18 12 9 7 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
Texas 5 19% 11% 5% 3% 19 14 12 10 8 7 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 0
Alabama 6 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 13 12 10 9 8 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 1 1
Tennessee 6 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 12 11 9 8 8 7 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 1
Vanderbilt 6 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 1
Kentucky 7 7% 3% 2% 1% 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 3 1
Arkansas 7 7% 3% 2% 1% 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 3 1
Auburn 8 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 2
Texas A&M 8 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 2
Missouri 8 4% 2% 2% 1% 4 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 3
Georgia 9 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 8 7 8 8 7 7 7 6 4
Mississippi 9 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 8 7 7 5
LSU 9 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 5
Oklahoma 10 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 9 9 7
Mississippi St. 11 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 10 11 12 13
South Carolina 13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 6 7 9 13 18 30

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 12 - 6 23 - 7 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 6 10 14 16 17 15 10 5 2 0
Texas 11 - 7 22 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 7 11 13 15 15 12 9 5 2 1 0
Alabama 11 - 7 19 - 11 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 12 15 15 14 11 7 3 1 0 0
Tennessee 10 - 8 20 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 10 12 14 14 13 10 7 3 2 0 0
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 22 - 10 0 0 1 1 3 5 8 12 14 15 15 12 8 5 2 1 0 0
Kentucky 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 15 14 13 10 7 3 2 0 0 0
Arkansas 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 15 15 13 10 6 3 1 0 0 0
Auburn 9 - 9 19 - 11 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 14 15 14 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 20 - 12 0 0 1 1 3 5 8 11 13 15 14 12 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
Missouri 9 - 9 19 - 13 0 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 14 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Georgia 8 - 10 19 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 14 15 14 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi 8 - 10 18 - 12 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 13 14 14 11 9 6 3 1 0 0 0 0
LSU 8 - 10 19 - 13 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 14 14 14 11 8 5 3 1 1 0 0
Oklahoma 8 - 10 17 - 15 0 0 1 4 7 10 14 15 14 13 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi St. 7 - 11 16 - 15 0 1 3 6 10 13 14 14 13 10 7 5 2 1 0 0 0
South Carolina 5 - 13 15 - 17 1 4 8 12 16 16 15 11 8 5 3 1 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Florida 100% 20% 100% 1 Lock 68 10 9 6 3 2 1 1 1
Texas 90% 13% 88% 4 Likely In 6 14 12 11 10 9 7 6 4 4 7 1 10
Tennessee 87% 11% 86% 5 Likely In 6 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 4 5 8 1 13
Alabama 88% 9% 87% 4 Likely In 6 11 12 11 10 9 7 6 5 5 7 1 12
Arkansas 74% 6% 73% 7 Bubble - In 2 4 6 6 8 7 7 7 5 7 12 2 26
Vanderbilt 83% 9% 82% 6 Likely In 3 8 8 9 9 8 8 7 5 6 10 2 17
Kentucky 75% 6% 74% 6 Bubble - In 2 5 6 7 8 8 7 7 5 7 12 2 25
Auburn 68% 5% 66% 9 Bubble - In 1 3 4 5 7 7 6 6 6 7 13 3 32
Texas A&M 69% 5% 67% 7 Bubble - In 1 4 5 6 7 7 7 6 5 7 12 2 31
Missouri 60% 4% 59% 10 Bubble - In 1 2 4 4 5 6 6 6 5 7 12 2 40
LSU 55% 3% 53% 11 Bubble - In 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 12 3 45
Georgia 47% 3% 45% Bubble - Out 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 6 13 2 53
Mississippi 47% 3% 46% Bubble - Out 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 4 6 12 3 53
Oklahoma 13% 2% 12% Likely Out 1 1 1 2 1 3 4 87
Mississippi St. 36% 1% 35% Bubble - Out 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 10 4 64
South Carolina 9% 0% 9% Likely Out 0 1 1 1 4 1 91

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 10.0 0 0 2 9 23 31 24 9 1 0
1st Round 100% 8.9 0 0 2 11 24 31 22 8 2 0 0
2nd Round 100% 6.1 0 0 2 9 20 28 23 12 4 1 0 0
Sweet Sixteen 99% 3.3 1 6 19 31 26 12 4 1 0 0
Elite Eight 89% 1.7 11 33 34 17 4 0 0
Final Four 65% 0.9 35 45 18 2 0
Final Game 40% 0.4 60 36 4
Champion 22% 0.2 78 22

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100% 100% 92% 61% 37% 21% 12% 6%
Texas 90% 11% 85% 66% 39% 22% 12% 6% 3%
Tennessee 87% 12% 82% 61% 35% 19% 11% 6% 3%
Alabama 88% 10% 83% 61% 33% 17% 9% 4% 2%
Arkansas 74% 19% 65% 42% 21% 10% 5% 2% 1%
Vanderbilt 83% 16% 76% 53% 29% 15% 7% 4% 2%
Kentucky 75% 19% 66% 43% 22% 11% 5% 2% 1%
Auburn 68% 20% 58% 36% 17% 8% 4% 2% 1%
Texas A&M 69% 18% 60% 38% 19% 9% 5% 2% 1%
Missouri 60% 19% 51% 31% 15% 7% 3% 1% 1%
LSU 55% 19% 45% 26% 11% 5% 2% 1%
Georgia 47% 19% 37% 21% 9% 4% 2% 1%
Mississippi 47% 18% 38% 22% 10% 4% 2% 1%
Oklahoma 13% 6% 10% 6% 3% 1% 1%
Mississippi St. 36% 15% 27% 13% 5% 2% 1%
South Carolina 9% 6% 6% 2% 1%