Southwestern Athletic
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Bethune-Cookman 26%   16   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.4 212 C- -2 224 C- -1 209 -12 335 0 1
Southern 14%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.6 296 D -5 318 D+ -2 248 -1 251 0 1
Jackson St. 11%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.9 301 D -4 293 D+ -3 287 +8 54 0 1
Alabama St. 9%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.9 302 D -4 291 D+ -4 293 +4 95 0 1
Prairie View 12%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.3 306 D -5 304 D+ -4 294 0 164 0 1
Alabama A&M 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.5 309 D -5 297 D -4 308 0 164 0 1
Grambling St. 7%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.3 320 D -5 308 D -4 317 +7 59 0 1
Texas Southern 7%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.4 333 D- -7 346 D+ -3 285 +2 132 0 1
Florida A&M 4%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.7 337 D- -6 334 D -5 322 -2 281 0 1
Alcorn St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.9 348 D- -7 344 D- -5 339 +2 140 0 1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.2 362 F+ -8 360 F+ -7 360 +6 74 0 1
Mississippi Valley St. 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -20.5 365 F -12 365 F -8 365 0 164 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 301 Jackson St. 42 11 Texas Tech 76   
62 SMU 85 296 Southern 72   
44 Grand Canyon 103 333 Texas Southern 79   
337 Florida A&M 69 56 Florida St. 112   
348 Alcorn St. 58 49 Mississippi 99   
212 Bethune-Cookman 70 135 Furman 79   
320 Grambling St. 89 265 Northern Illinois 87   
Tue, Nov 3 302 Alabama St. 66 29 Texas A&M 97   
362 Arkansas Pine Bluff 61 20 Arkansas 106   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Thu, Nov 5 212 Bethune-Cookman 61 11 Texas Tech 85 98%   
301 Jackson St. 69 168 Tulane 79 82%   
348 Alcorn St. 68 174 Howard 76 76%   
Fri, Nov 6 296 Southern 61 40 TCU 84 97%   
35 LSU 88 333 Texas Southern 61 99%   
362 Arkansas Pine Bluff 59 34 Baylor 91 99%   
365 Mississippi Valley 52 55 Oklahoma 87 100%   
Sat, Nov 7 212 Bethune-Cookman 66 44 Grand Canyon 84 95%   
306 Prairie View 69 256 UT Rio Grande Valley 74 72%   
Sun, Nov 8 131 Drake 78 296 Southern 66 87%   
Mon, Nov 9 320 Grambling St. 56 10 Texas 87 99%   
301 Jackson St. 67 72 Mississippi St. 87 95%   
309 Alabama A&M 56 70 DePaul 76 96%   
337 Florida A&M 68 147 UAB 82 90%   
365 Mississippi Valley 54 78 Washington 86 99%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 3 32% 21% 9% 3% 32 20 14 10 7 5 4 3 2 2 1 0
Southern 4 22% 13% 6% 2% 22 16 13 11 9 8 6 5 4 3 2 2
Prairie View 5 18% 10% 5% 2% 18 15 13 11 10 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
Alabama A&M 5 15% 9% 4% 2% 15 12 11 10 9 8 8 7 6 5 5 4
Jackson St. 6 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 10 11 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 5 4
Alabama St. 6 8% 4% 2% 1% 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 6 4
Alcorn St. 6 9% 5% 3% 1% 9 9 9 10 9 10 9 9 8 7 6 5
Grambling St. 6 8% 4% 2% 1% 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 5
Texas Southern 6 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 8 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 6
Florida A&M 8 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 12
Mississippi Valley St. 8 2% 1% 1% 1% 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 14 17

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 5 14 - 17 0 0 0 1 2 4 8 11 15 17 17 13 8 4 1
Southern 10 - 7 11 - 18 0 0 1 1 2 5 8 11 14 15 14 12 9 5 2 1 0
Prairie View 10 - 7 11 - 17 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 9 12 15 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0
Alabama A&M 9 - 9 12 - 16 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 13 13 12 8 6 3 1 1 0 0
Jackson St. 9 - 7 11 - 21 0 0 0 1 3 6 9 13 15 16 14 10 6 4 1 0 0
Alabama St. 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 14 15 13 9 6 3 1 0 0
Alcorn St. 8 - 10 9 - 23 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 15 14 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
Grambling St. 8 - 9 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 14 15 14 12 9 6 3 1 0 0 0
Texas Southern 8 - 8 11 - 19 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 14 16 14 12 8 5 2 1 0 0
Florida A&M 7 - 9 10 - 20 0 1 2 5 9 13 16 15 14 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Mississippi Valley St. 7 - 11 7 - 25 0 1 2 6 10 14 16 16 13 10 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 - 11 8 - 22 0 1 3 7 11 14 16 15 13 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Bethune-Cookman 26% 26% 0% 16 Negligible 2 9 15 74
Southern 14% 14% 0% Negligible 2 12 86
Jackson St. 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 10 89
Alabama St. 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 8 91
Prairie View 12% 12% 0% Negligible 1 11 88
Alabama A&M 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Grambling St. 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
Texas Southern 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
Florida A&M 4% 4% 0% Negligible 4 96
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98
Mississippi Valley St. 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 52% 0.5 48 52
2nd Round 2% 0.0 98 2
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 26% 22% 16% 1%
Southern 14% 14% 7%
Jackson St. 11% 11% 6%
Alabama St. 9% 9% 5%
Prairie View 12% 12% 6%
Alabama A&M
Grambling St. 7% 7% 3%
Texas Southern 7% 7% 3%
Florida A&M 4% 4% 2%
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 2%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 1%
Mississippi Valley St. 2% 2% 1%