Avon
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #38
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #14
Ben Davis Regional Rank: #5
South Putnam Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 94.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight North Central JV Invitational Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/8 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 455 522 450 459 329 901 896 484 466 502
Team Adjusted Rating 522 450 459 329 455 455 484 466 502
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight North Central JV Invitational Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
130  Isabella Wall 11 19:59 20:09 19:58 19:43 19:37 19:41 20:20 20:06 20:24
136  Clare Wigger 10 20:02 20:28 20:08 19:51 19:34 19:23 20:22 20:14 20:28
338  Katie Risner 12 20:50 20:48 22:24 21:20 21:26 20:44 20:56 20:29 20:56
389  Hannah Taylor 9 21:00 21:11 20:42 21:28 20:18 20:52 21:59 20:56
443  Juliana Wall 11 21:11 21:09 21:40 21:12 20:48 20:28 21:26 21:14 21:28
522  Jaiden Davis 10 21:27 21:39 21:18 22:28 21:37 21:16 21:17 21:24
580  Addy Walker 10 21:37 21:39 21:42 22:00 21:24 21:36 21:37 21:38
602  Kayla Logeais 11 21:41 21:47 21:37 21:47 21:26 21:23 22:18
771  Lizzy Maharas 10 22:04 23:27 21:46 21:50 22:01 22:07 22:16 22:24
797  Brooke Paul 11 22:08 22:07 21:52 21:58 21:52 22:23 22:37 22:16
949  Maya Abramson 12 22:26 21:19 23:17 22:50 22:26 22:13 22:03
1,050  Bailey Nicholson 9 22:40 22:53 23:05 22:20 22:39
1,135  Emma Carew 10 22:51 22:31 23:15 22:37 22:58 23:20 22:26
1,184  Kylie Nabb 10 22:56 22:02 23:16 22:53 23:03 22:46
1,304  Kate Steiner 12 23:13 22:47 24:01 23:17 22:59 23:04
1,397  Taylor Rueff 11 23:25 23:54 23:44 24:13 23:08 22:44
Alicja Stoppel 11 23:31 22:36 23:10 23:25 24:03 23:38 23:18 23:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0% 17.3 405 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 94.6% 11.5 296 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 10.4 16.3 18.5 19.4 16.5 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.7 116 0.4 2.8 31.9 59.5 5.5
Sectionals 100% 2.6 59 3.5 34.5 62.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isabella Wall 0.7% 81.5 0.7% 0.7%
Clare Wigger 0.7% 81.5 0.7% 0.7%
Katie Risner 0.0% 148.5 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Taylor 0.0% 143.5 0.0% 0.0%
Juliana Wall 0.0% 153.5 0.0% 0.0%
Jaiden Davis 0.0% 172.5 0.0% 0.0%
Addy Walker 0.0% 185.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isabella Wall 100% 52.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Clare Wigger 100% 54.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Katie Risner 99.4% 89.8 88.1% 95.8%
Hannah Taylor 98.0% 96.8 63.1% 87.3%
Juliana Wall 95.9% 104.7 23.9% 68.9%
Jaiden Davis 94.7% 115.8 3.5% 35.4%
Addy Walker 94.6% 124.2 0.2% 17.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isabella Wall 100% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.6 7.6 8.4 10.1 9.7 9.7 8.2 7.6 6.2 5.7 4.1 3.5 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.5 100.0%
Clare Wigger 100% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.2 5.8 7.6 8.4 9.1 8.8 9.0 8.2 7.5 6.6 5.2 4.4 3.3 2.7 2.3 1.4 1.0 100.0%
Katie Risner 100% 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.8 3.9 5.2 100.0%
Hannah Taylor 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.2 100.0%
Juliana Wall 100% 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Jaiden Davis 100% 38.3 0.0 100.0%
Addy Walker 100% 41.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isabella Wall 4.5 6.8 13.6 19.8 18.8 14.3 9.5 6.2 4.2 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Clare Wigger 4.9 4.5 10.8 17.0 19.0 16.6 10.7 6.8 5.5 3.8 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Katie Risner 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.2 4.5 7.5 13.5 16.3 18.1 13.9 9.8 5.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Hannah Taylor 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 3.3 6.0 10.3 14.1 17.4 16.6 12.9 7.7 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Juliana Wall 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 3.3 6.2 10.6 14.9 18.1 17.7 12.2 7.5 4.1 1.8 0.8 0.2
Jaiden Davis 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.7 7.1 12.4 18.1 17.8 15.2 10.8 6.4 3.3
Addy Walker 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 4.4 8.7 14.2 17.7 18.5 14.1 9.3