Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.4#341
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#340
Pace77.7#38
Improvement+2.2#89

Offense
Total Offense-9.7#341
First Shot-8.2#337
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#284
Layup/Dunks-2.9#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#339
Freethrows-3.1#336
Improvement-0.2#187

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#294
First Shot-3.8#282
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#263
Layups/Dunks-3.0#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#254
Freethrows+0.3#152
Improvement+2.3#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 79   @ Nebraska L 51-97 2%     0 - 1 -36.1 -22.5 -9.3
  Nov 19, 2015 237   @ Air Force L 64-65 12%     0 - 2 -2.7 -9.1 +6.4
  Nov 21, 2015 112   @ New Mexico St. L 46-85 4%     0 - 3 -32.4 -21.5 -10.0
  Nov 23, 2015 134   @ Grand Canyon L 60-94 5%     0 - 4 -28.9 -10.2 -18.4
  Nov 25, 2015 50   @ BYU L 68-75 1%     0 - 5 +6.3 -1.1 +7.6
  Nov 28, 2015 306   Robert Morris L 64-67 32%     0 - 6 -12.5 -11.8 -0.6
  Nov 29, 2015 197   @ Tennessee Tech L 64-101 9%     0 - 7 -36.2 -19.7 -12.2
  Dec 01, 2015 151   @ Duquesne L 77-91 6%     0 - 8 -10.3 -4.8 -3.7
  Dec 03, 2015 308   @ NC Central L 79-86 24%     0 - 9 -13.9 -0.8 -12.8
  Dec 06, 2015 292   @ Seattle L 72-84 21%     0 - 10 -17.7 -12.4 -3.3
  Dec 12, 2015 78   @ Evansville L 60-95 2%     0 - 11 -25.1 -15.6 -4.4
  Dec 15, 2015 65   @ Northwestern L 48-78 2%     0 - 12 -18.8 -21.7 +4.0
  Dec 17, 2015 290   @ North Texas L 74-87 20%     0 - 13 -18.6 -10.8 -6.3
  Dec 29, 2015 68   @ Hawaii L 48-77 2%     0 - 14 -17.9 -17.5 -0.7
  Jan 04, 2016 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-60 63%     1 - 14 1 - 0 -11.8 -12.1 +0.2
  Jan 09, 2016 295   @ Alabama St. L 74-75 OT 21%     1 - 15 1 - 1 -6.9 -12.3 +5.5
  Jan 11, 2016 315   @ Alabama A&M W 79-73 25%     2 - 15 2 - 1 -1.4 +7.7 -8.6
  Jan 16, 2016 313   Alcorn St. L 87-93 OT 45%     2 - 16 2 - 2 -19.1 -14.2 -3.4
  Jan 18, 2016 242   Southern L 54-67 26%     2 - 17 2 - 3 -20.7 -18.7 -2.6
  Jan 23, 2016 186   @ Texas Southern L 60-75 8%     2 - 18 2 - 4 -13.6 -15.8 +2.8
  Jan 25, 2016 335   @ Prairie View W 76-73 35%     3 - 18 3 - 4 -7.4 -5.4 -2.3
  Jan 30, 2016 261   Jackson St. L 62-77 30%     3 - 19 3 - 5 -24.1 -11.6 -12.2
  Feb 01, 2016 346   Grambling St. W 72-59 64%     4 - 19 4 - 5 -5.2 -4.7 -0.2
  Feb 06, 2016 295   Alabama St. L 62-73 40%     4 - 20 4 - 6 -22.8 -15.9 -6.9
  Feb 08, 2016 315   Alabama A&M W 66-64 46%     5 - 20 5 - 6 -11.3 -9.6 -1.5
  Feb 13, 2016 313   @ Alcorn St. L 71-72 OT 25%     5 - 21 5 - 7 -8.3 -8.7 +0.4
  Feb 15, 2016 242   @ Southern L 64-97 12%     5 - 22 5 - 8 -34.8 -14.4 -17.4
  Feb 20, 2016 186   Texas Southern L 67-98 17%     5 - 23 5 - 9 -35.4 -13.8 -19.6
  Feb 22, 2016 335   Prairie View L 61-63 57%     5 - 24 5 - 10 -18.3 -13.0 -5.3
  Feb 27, 2016 261   @ Jackson St. L 49-60 15%     5 - 25 5 - 11 -14.3 -23.2 +9.6
  Feb 29, 2016 346   @ Grambling St. W 58-57 42%     6 - 25 6 - 11 -11.3 -17.8 +6.5
  Mar 05, 2016 344   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-78 41%     6 - 26 6 - 12 -19.0 -6.2 -12.6
  Mar 08, 2016 346   Grambling St. W 87-73 53%     7 - 26 -1.3 -0.3 -2.6
  Mar 09, 2016 313   Alcorn St. W 64-61 34%     8 - 26 -7.2 -15.8 +8.5
  Mar 11, 2016 261   Jackson St. L 68-74 22%     8 - 27 -12.2 -5.9 -6.0
Projected Record 8.0 - 27.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%