Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#94
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#87
Pace73.6#51
Improvement-0.8#213

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#48
First Shot+4.3#60
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#72
Layup/Dunks+2.6#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#191
Freethrows+1.2#95
Improvement+1.3#103

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot+1.3#126
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#331
Layups/Dunks+0.2#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#230
Freethrows+1.7#75
Improvement-2.1#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 181   Georgia Southern W 81-79 78%     1 - 0 -1.3 +4.5 -5.8
  Nov 13, 2016 346   St. Francis Brooklyn W 86-61 98%     2 - 0 +5.2 +12.9 -5.7
  Nov 18, 2016 198   Montana W 85-72 75%     3 - 0 +10.9 +8.6 +2.2
  Nov 20, 2016 27   Creighton L 94-112 18%     3 - 1 -3.3 +17.8 -19.1
  Nov 21, 2016 179   Saint Joseph's W 73-63 70%     4 - 1 +9.3 +8.2 +2.1
  Nov 26, 2016 102   Loyola Chicago W 79-77 62%     5 - 1 +3.6 +5.6 -2.0
  Nov 29, 2016 64   @ Illinois L 74-88 27%     5 - 2 -3.0 +6.5 -9.1
  Dec 03, 2016 200   Boston University W 77-73 82%     6 - 2 -0.7 +4.8 -5.4
  Dec 10, 2016 183   Tennessee St. W 67-55 OT 71%     7 - 2 +11.2 -2.0 +13.4
  Dec 15, 2016 272   Appalachian St. W 97-64 90%     8 - 2 +23.7 +4.0 +14.6
  Dec 18, 2016 212   Fairfield W 99-78 84%     9 - 2 +15.2 +12.1 +0.2
  Dec 22, 2016 319   McNeese St. W 89-57 94%     10 - 2 +18.9 +6.1 +11.3
  Dec 28, 2016 217   Rider W 99-71 85%     11 - 2 +21.9 +10.3 +7.7
  Dec 31, 2016 31   @ Miami (FL) L 63-81 16%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -2.6 +7.2 -11.8
  Jan 04, 2017 36   Virginia Tech W 104-78 33%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +35.2 +16.5 +14.9
  Jan 08, 2017 3   @ North Carolina L 56-107 5%     12 - 4 1 - 2 -27.9 -14.6 -6.8
  Jan 11, 2017 138   @ Boston College L 66-74 54%     12 - 5 1 - 3 -4.1 -5.8 +1.9
  Jan 15, 2017 77   Georgia Tech L 76-86 52%     12 - 6 1 - 4 -5.8 +10.8 -16.4
  Jan 17, 2017 73   Pittsburgh W 79-74 49%     13 - 6 2 - 4 +10.1 +8.0 +2.3
  Jan 21, 2017 29   Wake Forest L 88-93 30%     13 - 7 2 - 5 +5.4 +5.2 +0.7
  Jan 23, 2017 10   @ Duke W 84-82 8%     14 - 7 3 - 5 +22.9 +18.4 +4.5
  Jan 29, 2017 7   @ Louisville L 60-85 7%     14 - 8 3 - 6 -3.2 +1.1 -5.6
  Feb 01, 2017 46   Syracuse L 93-100 OT 36%     14 - 9 3 - 7 +1.6 +18.0 -16.2
  Feb 04, 2017 31   Miami (FL) L 79-84 30%     14 - 10 3 - 8 +5.3 +22.1 -17.3
  Feb 08, 2017 18   @ Florida St. L 71-95 9%     14 - 11 3 - 9 -4.3 +9.5 -14.7
  Feb 11, 2017 29   @ Wake Forest L 58-88 16%     14 - 12 3 - 10 -14.6 -12.5 -2.1
  Feb 15, 2017 3   North Carolina L 73-97 11%     14 - 13 3 - 11 -5.9 +4.6 -9.7
  Feb 18, 2017 25   Notre Dame L 72-81 22%     14 - 14 3 - 12 +3.9 +9.0 -5.7
  Feb 21, 2017 77   @ Georgia Tech W 71-69 33%     15 - 14 4 - 12 +11.3 +10.9 +0.4
  Feb 25, 2017 11   Virginia L 55-70 16%     15 - 15 4 - 13 +0.4 +1.0 -2.6
  Mar 01, 2017 39   @ Clemson L 74-78 19%     15 - 16 4 - 14 +10.1 +12.2 -2.4
  Mar 07, 2017 39   Clemson L 61-75 26%     15 - 17 -2.5 -4.9 +1.9
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%