Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Irvine
Big West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#143
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#168
Pace64.9#249
Improvement+0.5#144

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#239
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#175
Layup/Dunks+1.3#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#236
Freethrows-2.1#299
Improvement+2.5#49

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#71
First Shot+2.4#101
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#38
Layups/Dunks+4.6#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#90
Freethrows-2.2#304
Improvement-2.0#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 121   Utah St. L 56-72 55%     0 - 1 -16.2 -15.8 -0.9
  Nov 14, 2016 175   South Dakota St. W 73-58 66%     1 - 1 +12.1 -3.7 +16.1
  Nov 16, 2016 57   @ California L 65-75 OT 16%     1 - 2 +2.0 +6.3 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2016 227   Pacific W 72-65 77%     2 - 2 +0.3 +2.1 -1.2
  Nov 25, 2016 175   South Dakota St. W 63-52 56%     3 - 2 +10.6 -13.1 +23.9
  Nov 26, 2016 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 37-54 74%     3 - 3 -22.4 -36.8 +13.7
  Nov 27, 2016 69   East Tennessee St. L 66-72 26%     3 - 4 +1.9 +2.1 -0.5
  Nov 30, 2016 110   @ Santa Clara W 58-55 33%     4 - 4 +8.7 -1.3 +10.6
  Dec 06, 2016 19   @ Arizona L 57-79 6%     4 - 5 -2.8 -0.5 -4.6
  Dec 11, 2016 22   @ St. Mary's L 53-84 6%     4 - 6 -12.3 -3.1 -13.6
  Dec 14, 2016 54   @ Nevada L 69-76 15%     4 - 7 +5.3 +2.8 +2.3
  Dec 19, 2016 90   @ New Mexico St. L 79-85 OT 27%     4 - 8 +1.5 +3.0 -1.2
  Dec 21, 2016 105   Akron L 80-88 40%     4 - 9 -4.2 +10.6 -15.3
  Dec 22, 2016 195   @ UTEP W 62-57 51%     5 - 9 +5.9 -3.0 +9.3
  Jan 04, 2017 226   Long Beach St. W 82-67 77%     6 - 9 1 - 0 +8.4 +6.0 +2.7
  Jan 07, 2017 264   Hawaii W 84-56 82%     7 - 9 2 - 0 +19.5 +9.1 +10.5
  Jan 12, 2017 328   @ UC Santa Barbara W 66-62 84%     8 - 9 3 - 0 -5.6 -2.1 -3.1
  Jan 14, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton W 87-67 81%     9 - 9 4 - 0 +12.0 +14.7 -2.4
  Jan 18, 2017 301   @ Cal Poly W 70-48 77%     10 - 9 5 - 0 +15.6 +1.3 +17.0
  Jan 21, 2017 280   @ Cal St. Northridge W 105-73 72%     11 - 9 6 - 0 +27.0 +19.8 +5.2
  Jan 26, 2017 301   Cal Poly L 66-79 88%     11 - 10 6 - 1 -24.5 -3.8 -22.6
  Jan 28, 2017 213   @ UC Davis L 65-74 57%     11 - 11 6 - 2 -9.8 -4.8 -5.0
  Feb 04, 2017 226   @ Long Beach St. L 63-72 60%     11 - 12 6 - 3 -10.5 -8.4 -2.6
  Feb 08, 2017 328   UC Santa Barbara W 64-47 92%     12 - 12 7 - 3 +2.4 -2.7 +7.8
  Feb 11, 2017 264   @ Hawaii W 72-58 67%     13 - 12 8 - 3 +10.5 +2.8 +8.5
  Feb 18, 2017 307   UC Riverside W 79-60 89%     14 - 12 9 - 3 +6.9 +14.7 -5.3
  Feb 22, 2017 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 54-56 65%     14 - 13 9 - 4 -4.9 -14.8 +9.8
  Feb 25, 2017 280   Cal St. Northridge W 83-80 85%     15 - 13 10 - 4 -7.1 +3.9 -10.9
  Mar 01, 2017 307   @ UC Riverside W 68-56 78%     16 - 13 11 - 4 +4.9 +2.1 +3.9
  Mar 04, 2017 213   UC Davis W 79-49 75%     17 - 13 12 - 4 +24.2 +12.0 +14.2
  Mar 09, 2017 307   UC Riverside W 76-67 84%     18 - 13 -0.6 +4.4 -4.8
  Mar 10, 2017 226   Long Beach St. W 62-57 69%     19 - 13 +0.9 -6.6 +8.1
  Mar 11, 2017 213   UC Davis L 47-50 67%     19 - 14 -6.3 -20.8 +14.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%